AD Tarma vs Cajamarca Expected Goals (xG), Forecast & Details

Sport Picks

Peru

Liga 1 Estadio Unión Tarma

Scoring Trends

AD Tarma

Cajamarca

0.75

Goals Scored

1.25

Goals Conceded

1.13

0.94 Expected Goals (xG) 1.25

50%

Over 1.5

63%

38%

Over 2.5

38%

25%

Over 3.5

25%

Detailed Analysis

Explore Head-to-Head and Form below for more insights.

Expert Analysis by Omoye ThankGod

AD Tarma hold a slight statistical advantage, though this match remains competitive. The game flow could swing back and forth as teams find their rhythm.

Their head-to-head record shows a history of competitive battles. The data points towards a tight game, making 'Under' markets particularly attractive. The numbers provide a solid foundation for this match outlook.

Possible Outcome Probability

Match Winner

Home Win40%

Draw33%

Away Win27%

Goals & Scoring

Both Teams to Score45%

Over 1.5 Goals63%

Over 2.5 Goals40%

Match Events

30'

Benites Vargas L. E.

(Penalty)

46'

Sub

Rojas J. In: Arakaki H.

Out: Rojas J.

58'

Caro D.

Previous Encounters

22 Feb 26 LIG

AD Tarma

2:2

Cajamarca

16 Sept 25 LIG

AD Tarma ✓

3:1

Cajamarca

20 Apr 25 LIG

Cajamarca

0:1

✓ AD Tarma

20 Aug 24 LIG

Cajamarca

1:1

AD Tarma

16 Mar 24 LIG

AD Tarma ✓

2:1

Cajamarca

Recent Form (Last 5)

AD Tarma

Home Team

20 Mar

AD Tarma

1 : 1

FBC Melgar

14 Mar

Sport Huancayo

0 : 1

AD Tarma

08 Mar

AD Tarma

2 : 3

Juan Pablo II

27 Feb

Alianza Atl.

0 : 0

AD Tarma

22 Feb

AD Tarma

2 : 2

Cajamarca

Away Team

22 Mar

Cajamarca

1 : 1

Alianza Atl.

15 Mar

Universitario de Deportes

2 : 0

Cajamarca

07 Mar

Comerciantes Unidos

1 : 2

Cajamarca

28 Feb

Cajamarca

0 : 1

A. Lima

22 Feb

AD Tarma

2 : 2

Cajamarca

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	A. Lima	8	6	2	0	12:4	20
2	Los Chankas	8	6	2	0	17:10	20
3	Cienciano	8	5	1	2	19:10	16
4	Universitario de Deportes	8	4	3	1	11:7	15
5	Cajamarca	8	4	2	2	11:9	14
6	Sporting Cristal	8	3	2	3	15:11	11
7	FBC Melgar	8	3	2	3	12:10	11
8	Comerciantes Unidos	8	3	2	3	12:12	11
9	Alianza Atl.	8	2	4	2	7:6	10
10	Cusco	8	3	1	4	9:9	10
11	Juan Pablo II	8	3	1	4	13:20	10
12	AD Tarma	8	2	3	3	7:9	9
13	Sport Boys	8	2	2	4	6:9	8
14	Deportivo Garcilaso	8	1	4	3	6:8	7
15	Sport Huancayo	8	2	1	5	8:12	7
16	Moquegua	8	2	1	5	6:14	7
17	Atletico Grau	8	1	3	4	3:8	6
18	FC Cajamarca	8	1	2	5	10:16	5

Match Preview: AD Tarma vs Cajamarca

The upcoming fixture between AD Tarma and Cajamarca promises to be an engaging encounter in Liga 1. Scheduled for Sunday, February 22, 2026 at 16:00 UTC, the match will take place at Estadio Unión Tarma. Both sides will be looking to make their mark in this scheduled event.

Team Context & Standings

The context of this match is defined by the current standings and the ambitions of both squads. AD Tarma will look to leverage their competitive standing to gain an advantage, while Cajamarca aims to improve their league position with a positive result on the road.

Head-to-Head & History

History suggests that matches between AD Tarma and Cajamarca are competitively fought. While past results offer a glimpse into tactical matchups, this fresh encounter brings new dynamics. The teams have their own recent history to draw upon as they prepare tactically.

Tactical Overview

Tactically, this game could be decided in the midfield battles. Control of possession, defensive discipline, and clinical finishing in the final third are expected to be the deciding factors. AD Tarma will try to assert dominance early, whereas Cajamarca might look for opportunities on the break or through set-pieces.

Following the Match

For those following the action, staying updated is key. From the first whistle to the final moments, fans can follow every goal, momentum shift, and key event as the drama unfolds on the pitch.

Key Statistics

Beyond the scoreline, the match statistics will tell the deeper story of the performance. Expect close scrutiny on metrics such as shots on target, possession percentages, and corner counts. These figures will illustrate which team effectively controlled the tempo and created the most dangerous chances.

Why This Matters

Three points here could be pivotal for the ambitions of either AD Tarma or Cajamarca. Momentum is crucial in Liga 1, and a victory in this match would serve as a significant morale booster for the winning side moving forward in the campaign.