Al Gharraf vs Baghdad Expected Goals (xG), Forecast & Details

Sport Picks

Iraq

Stars League

Scoring Trends

Al Gharraf

Baghdad

0.88

Goals Scored

0.75

1.88

Goals Conceded

2.25

1.56 Expected Goals (xG) 1.31

63%

Over 1.5

88%

50%

Over 2.5

63%

25%

Over 3.5

38%

Detailed Analysis

Explore Head-to-Head and Form below for more insights.

Expert Analysis by Omoye ThankGod

Al Gharraf hold a slight statistical advantage, though this match remains competitive. The game flow could swing back and forth as teams find their rhythm.

With no recent competitive history, this is a fresh tactical challenge for both. The data points towards a tight game, making 'Under' markets particularly attractive. The numbers provide a solid foundation for this match outlook.

Possible Outcome Probability

Match Winner

Home Win55%

Draw19%

Away Win26%

Goals & Scoring

Both Teams to Score48%

Over 1.5 Goals69%

Over 2.5 Goals50%

Match Events

15'

Kuku K.

(Penalty)

56'

Bobojonov M.

83'

Kosimov B.

(Penalty)

Previous Encounters

26 Jan 26 STA

Al Gharraf ✓

3:2

Baghdad

Recent Form (Last 5)

Al Gharraf

Home Team

25 Mar

Newroz

2 : 1

Al Gharraf

17 Mar

Al Gharraf

0 : 1

Al Zawraa

12 Mar

Al-Karma

3 : 0

Al Gharraf

06 Mar

Al Gharraf

1 : 2

Al Quwa Al Jawiya

26 Feb

Zakho

2 : 0

Al Gharraf

Baghdad

Away Team

25 Mar

Al Talaba

2 : 1

Baghdad

21 Mar

Al Zawraa

3 : 2

Baghdad

17 Mar

Al Quwa Al Jawiya

3 : 1

Baghdad

12 Mar

Baghdad

0 : 2

Newroz

06 Mar

Naft Missan

2 : 1

Baghdad

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Al Quwa Al Jawiya	24	18	4	2	34:12	58
2	Al Shorta	24	16	4	4	43:19	52
3	Erbil	23	15	5	3	35:18	50
4	Al Talaba	24	14	5	5	35:21	47
5	Al Zawraa	24	12	9	3	32:20	45
6	Al-Karma	24	12	7	5	34:18	43
7	Zakho	24	11	7	6	31:21	40
8	Al Karkh	24	10	8	6	32:24	38
9	Duhok	24	9	7	8	27:24	34
10	Newroz	24	11	1	12	30:31	34
11	Al Naft	24	8	8	8	26:23	32
12	Al Mosul	24	8	6	10	24:31	30
13	Diyala	23	7	8	8	25:24	29
14	Al Gharraf	24	8	5	11	24:27	29
15	Al Minaa	24	6	8	10	24:28	26
16	Al Kahraba	24	6	3	15	24:34	21
17	Naft Missan	23	5	6	12	26:39	21
18	Baghdad	24	5	4	15	24:43	19
19	Al Najaf	23	2	3	18	15:41	9
20	Al-Qassim	24	0	2	22	7:54	2

Match Preview: Al Gharraf vs Baghdad

Fans of Stars League turn their attention to the clash involving Al Gharraf and Baghdad. Scheduled for Monday, January 26, 2026 at 14:30 UTC, the match will take place at the stadium. Both sides will be looking to make their mark in this scheduled event.

Team Context & Standings

The context of this match is defined by the current standings and the ambitions of both squads. Al Gharraf will look to leverage their competitive standing to gain an advantage, while Baghdad aims to improve their league position with a positive result on the road.

Head-to-Head & History

History suggests that matches between Al Gharraf and Baghdad are competitively fought. While past results offer a glimpse into tactical matchups, this fresh encounter brings new dynamics. The teams have their own recent history to draw upon as they prepare tactically.

Tactical Overview

The flow of the match will likely depend on which team settles into their rhythm first. Control of possession, defensive discipline, and clinical finishing in the final third are expected to be the deciding factors. Al Gharraf will try to assert dominance early, whereas Baghdad might look for opportunities on the break or through set-pieces.

Following the Match

For those following the action, staying updated is key. From the first whistle to the final moments, fans can follow every goal, momentum shift, and key event as the drama unfolds on the pitch.

Key Statistics

Modern football is often defined by the underlying numbers. Expect close scrutiny on metrics such as shots on target, possession percentages, and corner counts. These figures will illustrate which team effectively controlled the tempo and created the most dangerous chances.

Why This Matters

Ultimately, this fixture carries weight for the season's broader narrative. Momentum is crucial in Stars League, and a victory in this match would serve as a significant morale booster for the winning side moving forward in the campaign.