Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Austin FC vs Seattle Sounders

USA USA

MLS Q2 Stadium
Thu, Jul 23, 2026
VS
12:30 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Austin FC play Seattle Sounders in the MLS. It looks like a close match. Recently, Austin FC averaged 1.5 goals scored and 2.38 conceded. Seattle Sounders averaged 1.75 goals scored and 1.25 conceded. In past meetings, Austin FC won 1, Seattle Sounders won 3, and they drew 1. Their last match on Sep 21, 2025 ended 2:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.38 for Austin FC and 2.06 for Seattle Sounders. This points to a Seattle Sounders double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Austin FC
33%
Draws
40%
Seattle Sounders
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Seattle Sounders

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Seattle Sounders has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Austin FC.
  • Model forecasts a 40% win probability edge for Seattle Sounders.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in MLS provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
Austin FC Clean Sheet 10%
Seattle Sounders Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Austin FC Seattle Sounders
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 7 17
Draws 7 4
Losses 16 9
Goals Scored 1.5 1.75
Goals Conceded 2.38 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.38 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 21, 2025 MLS
Austin FC vs Seattle Sounders
2:1
Jun 29, 2025 MLS
Seattle Sounders vs Austin FC
2:0
Jul 14, 2024 MLS
Austin FC vs Seattle Sounders
0:1
Mar 3, 2024 MLS
Seattle Sounders vs Austin FC
0:0
Aug 31, 2023 MLS
Austin FC vs Seattle Sounders
1:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Austin FC 26 / 100
Seattle Sounders 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Austin FC Seattle Sounders

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SEA Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Austin FC scored in 73% of their last 30 games.

Seattle Sounders let in goals in 70% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 1.80 goals.

Austin FC went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Seattle Sounders lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Austin FC VS Seattle Sounders
1.5 Goals Scored 1.75
2.38 Goals Conceded 1.25
100% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Vancouver Whitecaps14102234:1232
2San Jose Earthquakes15102334:1532
3Real Salt Lake1482426:1926
4FC Dallas1574430:2225
5Los Angeles FC1573524:1724
6Seattle Sounders1373317:1124
7Houston Dynamo1471619:2322
8Minnesota United1564518:2222
9Los Angeles Galaxy1555522:2220
10San Diego FC1545630:2717
11Colorado Rapids1551925:2416
12St. Louis City1444616:2016
13Portland Timbers1442822:2814
14Austin FC1535719:3114
15Sporting Kansas City1432914:3611
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Nashville SC14103131:1133
2Inter Miami1594239:2831
3Chicago Fire1482427:1626
4New England Revolution1481522:1825
5New York Red Bulls1564525:3222
6Charlotte FC1563624:2321
7FC Cincinnati1555536:3720
8New York City1554625:2119
9DC United1546521:2518
10Columbus Crew1544721:2316
11CF Montreal1442822:3114
12Orlando City1542923:4414
13Toronto FC1435622:2914
14Atlanta United1432914:2311
15Philadelphia Union15141018:307