Sport Picks
AZ Alkmaar vs FC Volendam
Netherlands
Eredivisie 2025/2026 AFAS Stadion, Alkmaar 
Match Events
9'
9'
Mijnans S.
45'
45'
van Cruijsen R.
46'
46'
Sub
Veerman H. In: Muhren R.
Out: Veerman H.
AI Match Summary
The Eredivisie 2025/2026 game between AZ Alkmaar and FC Volendam finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward AZ Alkmaar.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
57%
20%
23%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: AZ Alkmaar
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
57%
/ Very High Confidence
- Look at the last few games and AZ Alkmaar come out ahead of FC Volendam on wins alone.
- AZ Alkmaar are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.400000000000006%
AZ Alkmaar Clean Sheet 68%
FC Volendam Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | AZ Alkmaar | FC Volendam |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 28 |
| Wins | 15 | 9 |
| Draws | 7 | 5 |
| Losses | 6 | 14 |
| Goals Scored | 2.13 | 1.88 |
| Goals Conceded | 1 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.13 | 1.88 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.00 | 2.00 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jan 10, 2026 Eredivisie
AZ Alkmaar vs FC Volendam
1:0
Aug 17, 2025 Eredivisie
FC Volendam vs AZ Alkmaar
2:2
Mar 17, 2024 Eredivisie
FC Volendam vs AZ Alkmaar
0:4
Nov 26, 2023 Eredivisie
AZ Alkmaar vs FC Volendam
3:0
Feb 4, 2023 Eredivisie
FC Volendam vs AZ Alkmaar
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
AZ Alkmaar Compare
Top Goalscorer Mijnans S.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1.06
FC Volendam Compare
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
AZ Alkmaar 95 / 100
FC Volendam 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AZ Alkmaar FC Volendam
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick ALK Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Defensive concern: FC Volendam conceded in 89% of 28 recent games.
Attacking prowess: AZ Alkmaar scored in 79% of their last 28 outings.
Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.
AZ Alkmaar has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
AZ Alkmaar VS FC Volendam
2.13 Goals Scored 1.88
1 Goals Conceded 2
75% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 100%
50% Over 3.5 75%
Recent Form & Match History
AZ Alkmaar
(Home) 02 Aug
PSV
0 : 4 AZ Alkmaar
25 Jul
AZ Alkmaar
3 : 2 Olympiacos Piraeus
22 Jul
AZ Alkmaar
4 : 0 Genk
18 Jul
Waregem
1 : 1 AZ Alkmaar
15 Jul
AZ Alkmaar
0 : 1 Anderlecht
Page 1 of 6
25 Jul
AZ Alkmaar
3 : 2 Olympiacos Piraeus
22 Jul
AZ Alkmaar
4 : 0 Genk
15 Jul
AZ Alkmaar
0 : 1 Anderlecht
11 Jul
AZ Alkmaar
2 : 1 Almere City
04 Jul
AZ Alkmaar
3 : 3 Gent
Page 1 of 4
FC Volendam
(Away) 02 Aug
FC Volendam
1 : 3 Ajax
24 Jul
Groningen
0 : 4 FC Volendam
18 Jul
Waalwijk
2 : 2 FC Volendam
15 Jul
Almere City
2 : 1 FC Volendam
11 Jul
Jong AZ Alkmaar
3 : 1 FC Volendam
Page 1 of 6
24 Jul
Groningen
0 : 4 FC Volendam
18 Jul
Waalwijk
2 : 2 FC Volendam
15 Jul
Almere City
2 : 1 FC Volendam
11 Jul
Jong AZ Alkmaar
3 : 1 FC Volendam
05 Jul
RKAV Volendam
2 : 3 FC Volendam
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | PSV | 34 | 27 | 3 | 4 | 101:45 | 84 |
| 2 | Feyenoord | 34 | 19 | 8 | 7 | 70:44 | 65 |
| 3 | Nijmegen | 34 | 16 | 11 | 7 | 77:53 | 59 |
| 4 | Twente | 34 | 15 | 13 | 6 | 59:40 | 58 |
| 5 | Ajax | 34 | 14 | 14 | 6 | 62:41 | 56 |
| 6 | Utrecht | 34 | 15 | 8 | 11 | 55:42 | 53 |
| 7 | AZ Alkmaar | 34 | 14 | 10 | 10 | 58:51 | 52 |
| 8 | Heerenveen | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 57:53 | 51 |
| 9 | Groningen | 34 | 14 | 6 | 14 | 49:45 | 48 |
| 10 | Sparta Rotterdam | 34 | 12 | 7 | 15 | 40:62 | 43 |
| 11 | Sittard | 34 | 11 | 6 | 17 | 49:63 | 39 |
| 12 | G.A. Eagles | 34 | 8 | 14 | 12 | 54:53 | 38 |
| 13 | Excelsior | 34 | 10 | 8 | 16 | 43:56 | 38 |
| 14 | Telstar | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 49:55 | 37 |
| 15 | Zwolle | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 44:71 | 37 |
| 16 | FC Volendam | 34 | 8 | 8 | 18 | 35:55 | 32 |
| 17 | NAC Breda | 34 | 6 | 11 | 17 | 35:58 | 29 |
| 18 | Heracles | 34 | 5 | 4 | 25 | 35:85 | 19 |
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League (Qualification)
Promotion - Eredivisie 2025/2026 (Conference League - Play Offs)
Promotion - Europa League (League phase)
Promotion - Eredivisie 2025/2026 (Conference League - Play Offs)
Relegation - Eredivisie 2025/2026 (Relegation - Play Offs)
Relegation - Eerste Divisie (Main)
