Ballymena vs Larne Expected Goals (xG), Forecast & Details

Sport Picks

Northern Ireland

NIFL Premiership Ballymena Showgrounds

Scoring Trends

Ballymena

Larne

Goals Scored

1.75

1.5

Goals Conceded

1.25

1.13 Expected Goals (xG) 1.63

88%

Over 1.5

100%

50%

Over 2.5

63%

13%

Over 3.5

25%

Detailed Analysis

Explore Head-to-Head and Form below for more insights.

Expert Analysis by Omoye ThankGod

Larne enter this game as clear favorites to control the proceedings. The game flow could swing back and forth as teams find their rhythm.

Their head-to-head record shows a history of competitive battles. The data points towards a tight game, making 'Under' markets particularly attractive. The numbers provide a solid foundation for this match outlook.

Possible Outcome Probability

Match Winner

Home Win25%

Draw15%

Away Win60%

Goals & Scoring

Both Teams to Score52%

Over 1.5 Goals86%

Over 2.5 Goals52%

Match Events

Ryan A.

(Penalty)

29'

Ryan A.

(Penalty)

52'

Edogun S.

Previous Encounters

28 Feb 26 NIF

Ballymena

0:2

✓ Larne

03 Feb 26 IRI

Ballymena

1:2

✓ Larne

02 Dec 25 IRI

Ballymena ✓

2:0

Larne

01 Nov 25 NIF

Ballymena

0:2

✓ Larne

29 Aug 25 NIF

Larne ✓

2:0

Ballymena

Recent Form (Last 5)

Ballymena

Home Team

21 Mar

Cliftonville

2 : 2

Ballymena

14 Mar

Ballymena

2 : 1

Carrick Rangers

07 Mar

Ballymena

1 : 1

Portadown

28 Feb

Ballymena

0 : 2

Larne

24 Feb

Ballymena

2 : 2

Glenavon

Larne

Away Team

20 Mar

Glenavon

0 : 3

Larne

13 Mar

Larne

2 : 1

Dungannon

06 Mar

Glentoran

1 : 2

Larne

28 Feb

Ballymena

0 : 2

Larne

24 Feb

Larne

1 : 1

Linfield

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Larne	33	22	7	4	60:22	73
2	Glentoran	33	21	6	6	63:30	69
3	Coleraine	33	20	5	8	62:31	65
4	Linfield	33	18	8	7	56:24	62
5	Cliftonville	33	13	8	12	49:48	47
6	Dungannon	33	15	1	17	40:58	46
7	Carrick Rangers	33	12	7	14	49:51	43
8	Bangor FC	33	10	6	17	38:57	36
9	Portadown	33	11	3	19	36:57	36
10	Ballymena	33	9	7	17	39:50	34
11	Crusaders	33	7	5	21	38:72	26
12	Glenavon	33	8	1	24	33:63	25

Match Preview: Ballymena vs Larne

Ballymena welcomes Larne for what is shaping up to be a crucial match in NIFL Premiership. Scheduled for Saturday, February 28, 2026 at 15:00 UTC, the match will take place at Ballymena Showgrounds. Both sides will be looking to make their mark in this scheduled event.

Team Context & Standings

The context of this match is defined by the current standings and the ambitions of both squads. Ballymena will look to leverage their competitive standing to gain an advantage, while Larne aims to improve their league position with a positive result on the road.

Head-to-Head & History

Previous meetings between these two sides often provide context for what to expect. While past results offer a glimpse into tactical matchups, this fresh encounter brings new dynamics. The teams have their own recent history to draw upon as they prepare tactically.

Tactical Overview

Tactically, this game could be decided in the midfield battles. Control of possession, defensive discipline, and clinical finishing in the final third are expected to be the deciding factors. Ballymena will try to assert dominance early, whereas Larne might look for opportunities on the break or through set-pieces.

Following the Match

For those following the action, staying updated is key. From the first whistle to the final moments, fans can follow every goal, momentum shift, and key event as the drama unfolds on the pitch.

Key Statistics

Modern football is often defined by the underlying numbers. Expect close scrutiny on metrics such as shots on target, possession percentages, and corner counts. These figures will illustrate which team effectively controlled the tempo and created the most dangerous chances.

Why This Matters

Three points here could be pivotal for the ambitions of either Ballymena or Larne. Momentum is crucial in NIFL Premiership, and a victory in this match would serve as a significant morale booster for the winning side moving forward in the campaign.