Barakaldo vs Guadalajara Expected Goals (xG), Forecast & Details

Sport Picks

Spain

Primera RFEF - Group 1 Campo de Lasesarre

Scoring Trends

Barakaldo

Guadalajara

1.25

Goals Scored

1.25

0.88

Goals Conceded

1.13

1.19 Expected Goals (xG) 1.06

63%

Over 1.5

63%

50%

Over 2.5

38%

13%

Over 3.5

25%

Detailed Analysis

Explore Head-to-Head and Form below for more insights.

Expert Analysis by Omoye ThankGod

Barakaldo hold a slight statistical advantage, though this match remains competitive. The game flow could swing back and forth as teams find their rhythm.

Their head-to-head record shows a history of competitive battles. The data points towards a tight game, making 'Under' markets particularly attractive. The numbers provide a solid foundation for this match outlook.

Possible Outcome Probability

Match Winner

Home Win47%

Draw27%

Away Win26%

Goals & Scoring

Both Teams to Score54%

Over 1.5 Goals77%

Over 2.5 Goals48%

Match Events

28'

Tavares R.

30'

Huidobro J.

(Penalty)

32'

Gomez J.

Previous Encounters

18 Jan 26 PRI

Barakaldo ✓

2:1

Guadalajara

18 Oct 25 PRI

Guadalajara

1:1

Barakaldo

07 Feb 16 SEG

Barakaldo ✓

3:2

Guadalajara

19 Sept 15 SEG

Guadalajara

0:1

✓ Barakaldo

19 Apr 15 SEG

Guadalajara

0:4

✓ Barakaldo

Recent Form (Last 5)

Barakaldo

Home Team

15 Mar

Unionistas de Salamanca

0 : 3

Barakaldo

08 Mar

Barakaldo

1 : 0

Ourense CF

01 Mar

Arenas Getxo

2 : 1

Barakaldo

22 Feb

Barakaldo

1 : 0

Osasuna B

15 Feb

Zamora

2 : 2

Barakaldo

Guadalajara

Away Team

13 Mar

AD Merida

1 : 4

Guadalajara

08 Mar

Guadalajara

3 : 0

Celta Vigo B

01 Mar

Zamora

1 : 1

Guadalajara

22 Feb

Guadalajara

1 : 0

Ourense CF

15 Feb

Lugo

2 : 0

Guadalajara

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Tenerife	28	18	6	4	49:17	60
2	Celta Vigo B	29	14	9	6	44:36	51
3	Ath Bilbao B	29	12	8	9	31:31	44
4	Pontevedra	28	10	13	5	32:20	43
5	Barakaldo	28	11	10	7	38:29	43
6	Ponferradina	29	12	7	10	31:24	43
7	Zamora	29	11	10	8	38:33	43
8	Real Madrid B	29	12	7	10	40:38	43
9	Racing Club Ferrol	28	12	5	11	34:33	41
10	Lugo	28	10	11	7	27:27	41
11	AD Merida	29	11	8	10	38:39	41
12	Unionistas de Salamanca	29	10	8	11	38:39	38
13	Arenas Getxo	27	10	4	13	31:38	34
14	Ourense CF	29	8	9	12	31:33	33
15	Real Aviles	28	9	6	13	40:48	33
16	Guadalajara	28	8	7	13	30:41	31
17	CF Talavera	28	8	6	14	29:38	30
18	Cacereno	28	6	11	11	26:37	29
19	Arenteiro	29	6	8	15	26:37	26
20	Osasuna B	28	5	9	14	18:33	24

Match Preview: Barakaldo vs Guadalajara

Barakaldo welcomes Guadalajara for what is shaping up to be a crucial match in Primera RFEF - Group 1. Scheduled for Sunday, January 18, 2026 at 17:15 UTC, the match will take place at Campo de Lasesarre. Both sides will be looking to make their mark in this scheduled event.

Team Context & Standings

The context of this match is defined by the current standings and the ambitions of both squads. Barakaldo will look to leverage their competitive standing to gain an advantage, while Guadalajara aims to improve their league position with a positive result on the road.

Head-to-Head & History

Previous meetings between these two sides often provide context for what to expect. While past results offer a glimpse into tactical matchups, this fresh encounter brings new dynamics. The teams have their own recent history to draw upon as they prepare tactically.

Tactical Overview

Tactically, this game could be decided in the midfield battles. Control of possession, defensive discipline, and clinical finishing in the final third are expected to be the deciding factors. Barakaldo will try to assert dominance early, whereas Guadalajara might look for opportunities on the break or through set-pieces.

Following the Match

For those following the action, staying updated is key. From the first whistle to the final moments, fans can follow every goal, momentum shift, and key event as the drama unfolds on the pitch.

Key Statistics

Beyond the scoreline, the match statistics will tell the deeper story of the performance. Expect close scrutiny on metrics such as shots on target, possession percentages, and corner counts. These figures will illustrate which team effectively controlled the tempo and created the most dangerous chances.

Why This Matters

Ultimately, this fixture carries weight for the season's broader narrative. Momentum is crucial in Primera RFEF - Group 1, and a victory in this match would serve as a significant morale booster for the winning side moving forward in the campaign.