Sport Picks
Boca Juniors vs Estudiantes L.P.
Argentina
Liga Profesional Estadio Tomás Adolfo Duco, Buenos Aires 
Match Events
45'
45'
Ascacibar S.
Assist: Blanco L.
56'
56'
Piovi L.
60'
60'
Sub
Perez Fabricio In: Aguirre B.
Out: Perez Fabricio
AI Match Summary
The Liga Profesional game between Boca Juniors and Estudiantes L.P. finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Boca Juniors.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
37%
35%
28%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Boca Juniors
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
37%
/ Low Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Boca Juniors come out ahead of Estudiantes L.P. on wins alone.
- 37% — that's where the model lands on Boca Juniors taking it.
- Regular Liga Profesional form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26.8%
Boca Juniors Clean Sheet 68%
Estudiantes L.P. Clean Sheet 17%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Boca Juniors | Estudiantes L.P. |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 29 |
| Wins | 16 | 13 |
| Draws | 10 | 8 |
| Losses | 5 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 1.52 | 1.17 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.71 | 0.62 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.88 | 1.13 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 5, 2026 Liga Profesional
Boca Juniors vs Estudiantes L.P.
1:0
Jan 29, 2026 Liga Profesional
Estudiantes L.P. vs Boca Juniors
2:1
Nov 2, 2025 Liga Profesional
Estudiantes L.P. vs Boca Juniors
1:2
Apr 19, 2025 Liga Profesional
Boca Juniors vs Estudiantes L.P.
2:0
Aug 27, 2024 Liga Profesional
Estudiantes L.P. vs Boca Juniors
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Boca Juniors Compare
Top Goalscorer Ascacibar S.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44
Estudiantes L.P. Compare
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Boca Juniors 59 / 100
Estudiantes L.P. 23 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Boca Juniors Estudiantes L.P.
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Boca Juniors Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Boca Juniors's goal record stands at 84% scoring rate across 31 recent games.
Boca Juniors has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.
Defensive concern: Estudiantes L.P. conceded in 55% of 29 recent games.
Scoring Trends
Boca Juniors VS Estudiantes L.P.
1 Goals Scored 1.38
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.75
50% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Boca Juniors
(Home) 16 Aug
Platense
1 : 1 Boca Juniors
11 Aug
Boca Juniors
3 : 1 Recoleta
08 Aug
Boca Juniors
1 : 1 Velez Sarsfield
05 Aug
Boca Juniors
1 : 0 Estudiantes L.P.
02 Aug
Newells Old Boys
2 : 2 Boca Juniors
Page 1 of 7
11 Aug
Boca Juniors
3 : 1 Recoleta
08 Aug
Boca Juniors
1 : 1 Velez Sarsfield
05 Aug
Boca Juniors
1 : 0 Estudiantes L.P.
24 Jul
Boca Juniors
1 : 0 O Higgins
09 Jul
Boca Juniors
1 : 0 Athletico-PR
Page 1 of 4
Estudiantes L.P.
(Away) 15 Aug
Estudiantes L.P.
4 : 0 Gimnasia L.P.
12 Aug
Estudiantes L.P.
1 : 1 U. Catolica
08 Aug
Deportivo Riestra
2 : 0 Estudiantes L.P.
05 Aug
Boca Juniors
1 : 0 Estudiantes L.P.
01 Aug
Estudiantes L.P.
3 : 0 Defensa y Justicia
Page 1 of 6
08 Aug
Deportivo Riestra
2 : 0 Estudiantes L.P.
05 Aug
Boca Juniors
1 : 0 Estudiantes L.P.
21 May
Flamengo RJ
1 : 0 Estudiantes L.P.
06 May
Cusco
1 : 1 Estudiantes L.P.
03 May
Platense
0 : 2 Estudiantes L.P.
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Velez Sarsfield | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 6:2 | 10 |
| 2 | Instituto | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 4:2 | 9 |
| 3 | Newells Old Boys | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6:5 | 7 |
| 4 | Defensa y Justicia | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5:6 | 7 |
| 5 | Estudiantes L.P. | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 7:5 | 6 |
| 6 | Lanus | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5:3 | 6 |
| 7 | Deportivo Riestra | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 6:5 | 6 |
| 8 | Independiente | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3:2 | 6 |
| 9 | Gimnasia Mendoza | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3:2 | 6 |
| 10 | Central Cordoba (Santiago del Estero) | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3:4 | 6 |
| 11 | Boca Juniors | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 5:7 | 6 |
| 12 | San Lorenzo | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 2:4 | 6 |
| 13 | Platense | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5:9 | 5 |
| 14 | Union de Santa Fe | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5:8 | 4 |
| 15 | Talleres Cordoba | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5:7 | 3 |
Promotion - Liga Profesional (Clausura - Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Argentinos Jrs | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 9:3 | 12 |
| 2 | CA Belgrano de Cordoba | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 6:2 | 10 |
| 3 | Barracas Central | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 3:2 | 9 |
| 4 | Gimnasia L.P. | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 6:7 | 9 |
| 5 | Tigre | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 4:2 | 8 |
| 6 | Huracan | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4:2 | 7 |
| 7 | Rosario Central | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4:3 | 7 |
| 8 | Ind. Rivadavia | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5:6 | 7 |
| 9 | Banfield | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4:5 | 7 |
| 10 | Sarmiento Junin | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8:8 | 6 |
| 11 | Atl. Tucuman | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3:2 | 5 |
| 12 | Racing Club | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4:7 | 4 |
| 13 | Estudiantes Rio Cuarto | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2:5 | 4 |
| 14 | Aldosivi | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3:6 | 2 |
| 15 | River Plate | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0:4 | 0 |
Promotion - Liga Profesional (Clausura - Play Offs)
