Sport Picks
Cambuur vs Almere City
Netherlands
Eerste Divisie 2025/2026 Kooi Stadion, Leeuwarden 
Match Events
17'
17'
Apkakou E.
24'
24'
de Haan M.
35'
35'
van der Sande J.
Assist: Apkakou E.
AI Match Summary
The Eerste Divisie 2025/2026 game between Cambuur and Almere City finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Cambuur.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
0%
15%
85%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Almere City
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
85%
/ Very High Confidence
- Almere City carry the better recent record into this one.
- Almere City are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- Regular Eerste Divisie 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- History favors Cambuur here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 63%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 80.6%
Cambuur Clean Sheet 10%
Almere City Clean Sheet 11%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Cambuur | Almere City |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 28 |
| Wins | 11 | 15 |
| Draws | 4 | 3 |
| Losses | 13 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1.46 | 2.11 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.96 | 1.54 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.25 | 2.69 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 3, 2026 Eerste Divisie
Cambuur vs Almere City
3:2
Oct 17, 2025 Eerste Divisie
Almere City vs Cambuur
1:1
Feb 28, 2021 Eerste Divisie
Almere City vs Cambuur
0:2
Nov 15, 2020 Eerste Divisie
Cambuur vs Almere City
7:2
Feb 14, 2020 Eerste Divisie
Almere City vs Cambuur
0:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Cambuur Compare
Top Goalscorer van der Sande J.
2 Goals Assists Leader Amofa J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63
Almere City Compare
Top Goalscorer de Haan M.
1 Goals Assists Leader de Nijs O.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.45
Avg xA / game 1.49
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Cambuur 10 / 100
Almere City 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Cambuur Almere City
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Almere City Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Cambuur scored in 89% of their last 28 games.
Defensive concern: Almere City conceded in 86% of 28 recent games.
Historical meetings average 3.80 goals per match.
Difficult form: Almere City registered 1 defeats in their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Cambuur VS Almere City
0.88 Goals Scored 2.75
2.63 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 63%
Recent Form & Match History
Cambuur
(Home) 30 Aug
Cambuur
1 : 4 Twente
23 Aug
Cambuur
2 : 5 Feyenoord
15 Aug
Sittard
3 : 1 Cambuur
07 Aug
Cambuur
0 : 4 Excelsior
01 Aug
Bologna
3 : 1 Cambuur
Page 1 of 6
30 Aug
Cambuur
1 : 4 Twente
23 Aug
Cambuur
2 : 5 Feyenoord
07 Aug
Cambuur
0 : 4 Excelsior
28 Jul
Cambuur
1 : 2 Volos
24 Jul
Cambuur
0 : 1 Utrecht
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Almere City
(Away) 04 Sept
Almere City
0 : 1 Jong Ajax
29 Aug
De Graafschap
1 : 4 Almere City
21 Aug
Vitesse
0 : 3 Almere City
14 Aug
Almere City
3 : 1 Jong PSV
08 Aug
Den Bosch
1 : 1 Almere City
Page 1 of 6
29 Aug
De Graafschap
1 : 4 Almere City
21 Aug
Vitesse
0 : 3 Almere City
08 Aug
Den Bosch
1 : 1 Almere City
01 Aug
FC Emmen
4 : 0 Almere City
31 Jul
Groningen
1 : 3 Almere City
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Den Haag | 38 | 29 | 2 | 7 | 90:37 | 89 |
| 2 | Cambuur | 38 | 23 | 9 | 6 | 75:48 | 78 |
| 3 | Willem II | 38 | 20 | 8 | 10 | 59:42 | 68 |
| 4 | De Graafschap | 38 | 18 | 9 | 11 | 74:58 | 63 |
| 5 | Almere City | 38 | 18 | 4 | 16 | 78:63 | 58 |
| 6 | Waalwijk | 38 | 16 | 10 | 12 | 71:59 | 58 |
| 7 | Jong PSV | 38 | 17 | 5 | 16 | 66:64 | 56 |
| 8 | Roda | 38 | 14 | 13 | 11 | 59:54 | 55 |
| 9 | Den Bosch | 38 | 14 | 9 | 15 | 65:69 | 51 |
| 10 | Dordrecht | 38 | 12 | 11 | 15 | 48:56 | 47 |
| 11 | Eindhoven FC | 38 | 14 | 5 | 19 | 51:69 | 47 |
| 12 | Jong Utrecht | 38 | 12 | 10 | 16 | 58:62 | 46 |
| 13 | Venlo | 38 | 13 | 6 | 19 | 50:58 | 45 |
| 14 | FC Emmen | 38 | 12 | 9 | 17 | 58:72 | 45 |
| 15 | Vitesse | 38 | 15 | 11 | 12 | 64:55 | 44 |
| 16 | TOP Oss | 38 | 11 | 11 | 16 | 54:64 | 44 |
| 17 | Jong AZ Alkmaar | 38 | 12 | 4 | 22 | 61:76 | 40 |
| 18 | Helmond Sport | 38 | 10 | 9 | 19 | 42:62 | 39 |
| 19 | Maastricht | 38 | 9 | 11 | 18 | 41:73 | 38 |
| 20 | Jong Ajax | 38 | 9 | 8 | 21 | 50:73 | 35 |
Promotion - Eredivisie (Main)
Promotion - Eredivisie 2025/2026 (Relegation - Play Offs)
Promotion - Eredivisie 2025/2026 (Relegation - Play Offs)
