Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Celje vs Radomlje

Slovenia Slovenia

Prva liga 2025/2026 Stadion Z'dezele, Celje
Our Tip

Match Events

14'
Zaler Z.
17' Event
Kucys A.
44'
Tutyskinas A.

AI Match Summary

Celje in this Prva liga 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Celje.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

56%
Celje
35%
Draws
9%
Radomlje
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Celje

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

56% / Very High Confidence
  • Celje have won more games recently than Radomlje.
  • Win probability leans Celje's way, sitting at 80%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Celje have taken 5 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 27.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 12%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
Celje Clean Sheet 20%
Radomlje Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Celje Radomlje
Matches Played 28 27
Wins 14 7
Draws 6 5
Losses 8 15
Goals Scored 1.5 0.5
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 0.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 11, 2026 Prva liga
Radomlje vs Celje
1:3
Feb 4, 2026 Prva liga
Celje vs Radomlje
3:1
Oct 5, 2025 Prva liga
Radomlje vs Celje
0:3
Jul 27, 2025 Prva liga
Celje vs Radomlje
2:0
Apr 21, 2025 Prva liga
Radomlje vs Celje
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Celje Compare

Top Goalscorer Kucys A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Poplatnik M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Radomlje Compare

Top Goalscorer Jojic N.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.45
Avg xA / game 0.28

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Celje 76 / 100
Radomlje 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Celje Radomlje

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CEL Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Celje's goal record stands at 89% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Radomlje's defensive record shows goals conceded in 96% of 27 matches.

Games between these two average 3.40 goals.

Recent resilience: Celje stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Celje VS Radomlje
1.5 Goals Scored 0.5
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.5
63% Over 1.5 67%
38% Over 2.5 33%
38% Over 3.5 17%

Recent Form & Match History

Celje

(Home)
04 Aug
Ararat-Armenia
2 : 1
Celje
01 Aug
Celje
1 : 1
Maribor
28 Jul
Celje
3 : 2
KF Egnatia
22 Jul
KF Egnatia
3 : 3
Celje
17 Jul
Celje
2 : 2
Mura
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Radomlje

(Away)
02 Aug
Radomlje
1 : 2
Bravo
26 Jul
Koper
2 : 2
Radomlje
18 Jul
Radomlje
0 : 2
Grosuplje
10 Jul
Radomlje
0 : 1
Varazdin
03 Jul
Radomlje
0 : 2
Rijeka
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Celje 34 23 5 6 85:32 74
2 Koper 34 20 7 7 71:43 67
3 Bravo 34 19 5 10 62:51 62
4 O. Ljubljana 34 16 7 11 50:40 55
5 Maribor 34 15 8 11 57:43 53
6 Radomlje 34 13 6 15 50:63 45
7 Aluminij 34 10 6 18 42:61 36
8 Mura 34 8 7 19 35:55 31
9 Primorje 34 6 4 24 31:74 22
10 Domzale 18 3 3 12 17:38 12
Promotion - Europa League (Qualification)
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Relegation - Prva liga 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - 2. SNL (Main)