Sport Picks

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Celta Vigo vs Osasuna

Spain Spain

LaLiga Estadio de Balaídos
Sun, Aug 16, 2026
VS
03:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Celta Vigo host Osasuna in the LaLiga. Both sides' recent runs tell most of the story. Osasuna have shipped 1.75 goals a game lately, while Celta Vigo have conceded 1.88 and scored 1.13. Head-to-head, Celta Vigo have won 3 to Osasuna's 2, with 0 draws. They last met on Feb 6, 2026, ending 1:2. Model xG sits at 1.44 vs 1.56, favoring Celta Vigo. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
Celta Vigo
11%
Draws
9%
Osasuna
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: Celta Vigo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence
  • Celta Vigo carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Celta Vigo are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • Regular LaLiga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Celta Vigo Clean Sheet 15%
Osasuna Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Celta Vigo Osasuna
Matches Played 33 30
Wins 16 10
Draws 7 7
Losses 10 13
Goals Scored 1.13 1.25
Goals Conceded 1.88 1.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.88 1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 6, 2026 LaLiga
Celta Vigo vs Osasuna
1:2
Oct 26, 2025 LaLiga
Osasuna vs Celta Vigo
2:3
Feb 21, 2025 LaLiga
Celta Vigo vs Osasuna
1:0
Sep 1, 2024 LaLiga
Osasuna vs Celta Vigo
3:2
Feb 4, 2024 LaLiga
Osasuna vs Celta Vigo
0:3

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Celta Vigo 75 / 100
Osasuna 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Celta Vigo Osasuna

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CEL Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Celta Vigo scored in 85% of their last 33 games.

Osasuna let in goals in 87% of their last 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.40 goals per match.

Osasuna lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Celta Vigo VS Osasuna
1.13 Goals Scored 1.25
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.75
75% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Real Sociedad00000:00
2Elche00000:00
3Alaves00000:00
4Celta Vigo00000:00
5Malaga00000:00
6Rayo Vallecano00000:00
7Real Madrid00000:00
8Villarreal00000:00
9Barcelona00000:00
10Atl. Madrid00000:00
11Sevilla00000:00
12Racing Santander00000:00
13Dep. A Coruna00000:00
14Valencia00000:00
15Ath Bilbao00000:00
16Espanyol00000:00
17Betis00000:00
18Getafe00000:00
19Osasuna00000:00
20Levante00000:00