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Chico vs Once Caldas - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Colombia Colombia

Primera A Estadio La Independencia, Tunja
Our Tip

Match Events

2' Event
Mera S.
Assist: Salazar S.
19'
Mera S.
34'
Zapata Ramirez J. A.

AI Match Summary

The Primera A game between Chico and Once Caldas finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Chico.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Chico
20%
Draws
29%
Once Caldas
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Chico

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Once Caldas come out ahead of Chico on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Chico's way, sitting at 40%.
  • Regular Primera A form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.6%
Chico Clean Sheet 68%
Once Caldas Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Chico Once Caldas
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 9 11
Draws 6 10
Losses 14 7
Goals Scored 1.03 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.48 1.11
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 5, 2026 Primera A
Chico vs Once Caldas
2:0
Feb 28, 2026 Primera A
Once Caldas vs Chico
3:0
Sep 26, 2025 Primera A
Once Caldas vs Chico
5:2
Apr 13, 2025 Primera A
Chico vs Once Caldas
0:0
Jul 16, 2024 Primera A
Chico vs Once Caldas
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Chico Compare

Top Goalscorer Mera S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Cifuentes F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Once Caldas Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Chico 50 / 100
Once Caldas 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Chico Once Caldas

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Chico Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Once Caldas has conceded goals in 71% of their last 28 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Chico stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Away concern: Once Caldas has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Chico VS Once Caldas
1.25 Goals Scored 0.88
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Chico

(Home)
03 Oct
Deportes Tolima
0 : 0
Chico
25 Sept
Chico
3 : 0
Dep. Pasto
19 Sept
Millonarios
3 : 0
Chico
16 Sept
Chico
1 : 2
Alianza
12 Sept
Chico
2 : 1
Ind. Medellin
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Once Caldas

(Away)
04 Oct
Inter Bogotá
1 : 1
Once Caldas
26 Sept
Once Caldas
1 : 3
Bucaramanga
20 Sept
Dep. Pasto
1 : 0
Once Caldas
16 Sept
Once Caldas
1 : 0
Deportes Tolima
13 Sept
Once Caldas
1 : 2
Dep. Cali
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 America De Cali 12 8 3 1 24:7 27
2 Dep. Cali 12 7 3 2 20:9 24
3 Bucaramanga 11 6 5 0 20:10 23
4 Atl. Nacional 10 7 1 2 21:10 22
5 Santa Fe 12 6 4 2 19:12 22
6 Millonarios 13 5 6 2 18:11 21
7 Ind. Medellin 12 6 2 4 19:16 20
8 Deportes Tolima 12 5 4 3 15:13 19
9 Cucuta 12 4 3 5 15:19 15
10 Llaneros 12 4 2 6 15:16 14
11 Aguilas Doradas 11 3 5 3 14:15 14
12 Once Caldas 12 3 4 5 15:16 13
13 Inter Bogotá 13 2 7 4 14:18 13
14 Chico 11 3 3 5 10:18 12
15 Alianza 12 3 2 7 12:24 11
16 Fortaleza C.E.I.F. 12 1 7 4 13:18 10
17 Junior 11 2 3 6 16:20 9
18 Dep. Pasto 12 2 3 7 9:18 9
19 Dep. Pereira 11 1 5 5 7:17 8
20 Jaguares de Cordoba 11 1 4 6 11:20 7
Promotion - Primera A (Clausura - Quadrangular)