Chorley vs Southport Expected Goals (xG), Forecast & Details

Sport Picks

England

National League North Victory Park

Scoring Trends

Chorley

Southport

Goals Scored

1.38

1.5

Goals Conceded

0.88

0.94 Expected Goals (xG) 1.44

88%

Over 1.5

75%

50%

Over 2.5

50%

13%

Over 3.5

13%

Detailed Analysis

Explore Head-to-Head and Form below for more insights.

Expert Analysis by Omoye ThankGod

Southport hold a slight statistical advantage, though this match remains competitive. Recent suggest an open game with likely chances at both ends.

Their head-to-head record shows a history of competitive battles. Considering both teams' scoring consistency, goals on both ends seem highly likely. The numbers provide a solid foundation for this match outlook.

Possible Outcome Probability

Match Winner

Home Win28%

Draw34%

Away Win38%

Goals & Scoring

Both Teams to Score67%

Over 1.5 Goals79%

Over 2.5 Goals52%

Match Events

Lavelle T.

17'

Blakeman A.

34'

Popoola A.

Previous Encounters

10 Feb 26 NAT

Chorley ✓

4:2

Southport

21 Oct 25 NAT

Southport

1:1

Chorley

25 Jan 25 NAT

Southport

0:0

Chorley

26 Aug 24 NAT

Chorley ✓

4:1

Southport

17 Feb 24 NAT

Chorley ✓

3:0

Southport

Recent Form (Last 5)

Chorley

Home Team

21 Mar

Oxford City

2 : 0

Chorley

17 Mar

Chorley

2 : 1

Kidderminster

14 Mar

Chorley

1 : 2

Buxton

10 Mar

Chorley

1 : 1

South Shields

07 Mar

Macclesfield

1 : 2

Chorley

Southport

Away Team

21 Mar

Chester

1 : 2

Southport

17 Mar

Southport

2 : 1

Alfreton

14 Mar

Southport

1 : 3

Oxford City

10 Mar

Southport

2 : 0

Spennymoor

07 Mar

Peterborough Sports

0 : 1

Southport

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	AFC Fylde	39	27	4	8	94:42	85
2	South Shields	39	25	9	5	85:36	84
3	Kidderminster	37	18	12	7	54:39	66
4	Merthyr Town	40	21	3	16	87:73	66
5	Darlington FC	39	19	8	12	71:53	65
6	Macclesfield	37	19	7	11	68:55	64
7	Scarborough Athletic	40	16	14	10	55:47	62
8	Telford	40	16	12	12	77:54	60
9	Buxton	39	17	6	16	65:53	57
10	Chester	40	15	12	13	58:62	57
11	Radcliffe	39	17	5	17	65:63	56
12	Marine	37	16	7	14	51:55	55
13	Spennymoor	38	15	9	14	52:63	54
14	Southport	40	13	12	15	55:61	51
15	Chorley	39	13	10	16	60:59	49
16	Curzon Ashton	40	12	11	17	59:74	47
17	Worksop	40	13	8	19	52:69	47
18	King’s Lynn	39	11	13	15	47:53	46
19	Bedford	40	11	10	19	56:70	43
20	Oxford City	39	11	9	19	49:59	42
21	Hereford	35	10	8	17	48:63	38
22	Alfreton	37	9	10	18	36:67	37
23	Peterborough Sports	40	10	7	23	43:75	37
24	Leamington	39	5	8	26	28:70	23

Match Preview: Chorley vs Southport

Chorley welcomes Southport for what is shaping up to be a crucial match in National League North. Scheduled for Tuesday, February 10, 2026 at 19:45 UTC, the match will take place at Victory Park. Both sides will be looking to make their mark in this scheduled event.

Team Context & Standings

Entering this game, both Chorley and Southport are focused on their respective objectives for the season. Chorley will look to leverage their competitive standing to gain an advantage, while Southport aims to improve their league position with a positive result on the road.

Head-to-Head & History

Previous meetings between these two sides often provide context for what to expect. While past results offer a glimpse into tactical matchups, this fresh encounter brings new dynamics. The teams have their own recent history to draw upon as they prepare tactically.

Tactical Overview

Tactically, this game could be decided in the midfield battles. Control of possession, defensive discipline, and clinical finishing in the final third are expected to be the deciding factors. Chorley will try to assert dominance early, whereas Southport might look for opportunities on the break or through set-pieces.

Following the Match

For those following the action, staying updated is key. From the first whistle to the final moments, fans can follow every goal, momentum shift, and key event as the drama unfolds on the pitch.

Key Statistics

Beyond the scoreline, the match statistics will tell the deeper story of the performance. Expect close scrutiny on metrics such as shots on target, possession percentages, and corner counts. These figures will illustrate which team effectively controlled the tempo and created the most dangerous chances.

Why This Matters

Three points here could be pivotal for the ambitions of either Chorley or Southport. Momentum is crucial in National League North, and a victory in this match would serve as a significant morale booster for the winning side moving forward in the campaign.