Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Cucuta vs Once Caldas

Colombia Colombia

Primera A Estadio General Santander, Cúcuta
Our Tip

Match Events

6'
Tamara S.
8'
Alvarado J.
27'
Ballesteros A.

AI Match Summary

Once Caldas in this Primera A matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Once Caldas.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

15%
Cucuta
35%
Draws
50%
Once Caldas
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Once Caldas

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

50% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Once Caldas lately — more wins on the board than Cucuta.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Once Caldas taking it.
  • Regular Primera A form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 38.400000000000006%
Cucuta Clean Sheet 10%
Once Caldas Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cucuta Once Caldas
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 5 11
Draws 12 13
Losses 12 4
Goals Scored 0.63 2.25
Goals Conceded 1.5 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 27, 2026 Primera A
Once Caldas vs Cucuta
5:1
Jan 19, 2026 Primera A
Cucuta vs Once Caldas
1:2
Feb 23, 2023 Copa Colombia
Once Caldas vs Cucuta
1:0
Feb 16, 2023 Copa Colombia
Cucuta vs Once Caldas
3:1
Oct 14, 2020 Primera A
Once Caldas vs Cucuta
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cucuta Compare

Avg xG / game 0.48
Avg xA / game 0.32

Once Caldas Compare

Top Goalscorer Moreno D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.05
Avg xA / game 1.25

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cucuta 10 / 100
Once Caldas 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cucuta Once Caldas

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ONC Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.20 goals as a typical output.

Cucuta found the back of the net in 72% of recent matches (29 games).

Once Caldas's defensive record shows goals conceded in 75% of 28 matches.

Cucuta went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Cucuta VS Once Caldas
0.63 Goals Scored 2.25
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Cucuta

(Home)
04 Aug
Bucaramanga
1 : 1
Cucuta
27 Jul
Once Caldas
5 : 1
Cucuta
02 Jun
Ind. Medellin
2 : 1
Cucuta
29 May
Cucuta
0 : 0
Fortaleza C.E.I.F.
16 May
Cucuta
0 : 0
Leones
Page 1 of 6

Once Caldas

(Away)
06 Aug
Once Caldas
0 : 1
America De Cali
03 Aug
Santa Fe
2 : 2
Once Caldas
30 Jul
Envigado
0 : 3
Once Caldas
27 Jul
Once Caldas
5 : 1
Cucuta
22 Jul
Once Caldas
3 : 0
Envigado
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Atl. Nacional 19 13 1 5 35:15 40
2 Junior 19 11 2 6 31:24 35
3 Dep. Pasto 19 10 4 5 29:25 34
4 America De Cali 19 10 3 6 25:15 33
5 Once Caldas 19 8 9 2 31:22 33
6 Deportes Tolima 19 8 7 4 27:17 31
7 Santa Fe 19 7 8 4 29:22 29
8 Inter Bogotá 19 7 7 5 26:26 28
9 Dep. Cali 19 7 6 6 20:16 27
10 Millonarios 19 7 5 7 31:23 26
11 Ind. Medellin 19 7 5 7 26:24 26
12 Aguilas Doradas 19 7 5 7 20:25 26
13 Bucaramanga 19 5 8 6 26:20 23
14 Llaneros 19 4 10 5 17:20 22
15 Fortaleza C.E.I.F. 19 5 7 7 22:27 22
16 Jaguares de Cordoba 19 5 3 11 20:33 18
17 Alianza 19 3 8 8 13:27 17
18 Chico 19 5 2 12 15:32 17
19 Cucuta 19 3 7 9 22:35 16
20 Dep. Pereira 19 1 7 11 15:32 10
Promotion - Primera A (Apertura - Play Offs)