Scoring Trends
Derby
VS
Watford
1.25
Goals Scored
1.63
1.25
Goals Conceded
0.75
88%
Over 1.5
63%
50%
Over 2.5
50%
13%
Over 3.5
25%
Detailed Analysis
Explore Head-to-Head and Form below for more insights.
Expert Analysis by Omoye ThankGod
The metrics give a narrow advantage to Watford in what should be an interesting battle. We anticipate a fluid match with attacking intent from the first whistle.
Past meetings between them have established a pattern of intensity. The statistical likelihood of both teams scoring stands out as a key value point. The numbers provide a solid foundation for this match outlook.
Match Possible Outcome Percentage
Match Winner
Home Win34%
Draw20%
Away Win46%
Goals & Scoring
Both Teams to Score70%
Over 1.5 Goals77%
Over 2.5 Goals56%
Match Events
18'
18'
Sub
Morris C.
In: Weimann A.
Out: Morris C.
35'
35'
Sub
Baah K.
In: Irankunda N.
Out: Baah K.
36'
36'
Sanderson D.
39'
39'
Sanderson D.
54'
54'
Langas S.
Assist: Ward J.
58'
58'
Brereton Diaz B.
61'
61'
Kjerrumgaard L.
Assist: Ngakia J.
65'
65'
Sub
Kjerrumgaard L.
In: Doumbia M.
Out: Kjerrumgaard L.
65'
65'
Sub
Kyprianou H.
In: Semedo V.
Out: Kyprianou H.
68'
68'
Kayembe E.
70'
70'
Sub
Brereton Diaz B.
In: Jackson K.
Out: Brereton Diaz B.
71'
71'
Sub
Agyemang P.
In: Salvesen L.
Out: Agyemang P.
81'
81'
Sub
Maamma O.
In: Sissoko M.
Out: Maamma O.
85'
85'
Kayembe E.
(Penalty)
88'
88'
Kayembe E.
Assist: Louza I.
89'
89'
Louza I.
90'
90'
Sub
Langas S.
In: Thompson L.
Out: Langas S.
Previous Encounters
22 Nov 25 CHA
Derby
2:3
✓
Watford
18 Jan 25 CHA
Derby
0:2
✓
Watford
24 Aug 24 CHA
Watford
✓
2:1
Derby
19 Feb 21 CHA
Watford
✓
2:1
Derby
16 Oct 20 CHA
Derby
0:1
✓
Watford
Recent Form (Last 5)
Derby
Home Team 11 Jan
Derby
1 : 3 Leeds
04 Jan
Derby
1 : 2 Wrexham
01 Jan
Derby
1 : 0 Middlesbrough
29 Dec
Leicester
2 : 1 Derby
26 Dec
Birmingham
1 : 1 Derby
Watford
Away Team 10 Jan
Bristol City
5 : 1 Watford
01 Jan
Watford
3 : 0 Birmingham
29 Dec
Norwich
0 : 1 Watford
26 Dec
Leicester
1 : 2 Watford
20 Dec
Watford
1 : 0 Stoke City
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Coventry | 26 | 15 | 7 | 4 | 57:29 | 52 |
| 2 | Middlesbrough | 26 | 13 | 7 | 6 | 37:26 | 46 |
| 3 | Ipswich | 25 | 12 | 8 | 5 | 42:24 | 44 |
| 4 | Preston | 26 | 11 | 10 | 5 | 36:25 | 43 |
| 5 | Millwall | 26 | 12 | 7 | 7 | 29:33 | 43 |
| 6 | Watford | 25 | 11 | 8 | 6 | 37:29 | 41 |
| 7 | Hull City | 25 | 12 | 5 | 8 | 40:38 | 41 |
| 8 | Stoke City | 26 | 12 | 4 | 10 | 32:23 | 40 |
| 9 | Wrexham | 26 | 10 | 10 | 6 | 38:32 | 40 |
| 10 | Bristol City | 26 | 11 | 6 | 9 | 38:29 | 39 |
| 11 | QPR | 26 | 11 | 5 | 10 | 38:39 | 38 |
| 12 | Leicester | 26 | 10 | 7 | 9 | 37:38 | 37 |
| 13 | Derby | 26 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 35:35 | 35 |
| 14 | Birmingham | 26 | 9 | 7 | 10 | 35:36 | 34 |
| 15 | Southampton | 26 | 8 | 9 | 9 | 38:38 | 33 |
| 16 | Sheffield Utd | 25 | 10 | 2 | 13 | 36:38 | 32 |
| 17 | Swansea | 26 | 9 | 5 | 12 | 27:33 | 32 |
| 18 | West Brom | 26 | 9 | 4 | 13 | 29:35 | 31 |
| 19 | Charlton | 25 | 7 | 8 | 10 | 25:32 | 29 |
| 20 | Blackburn | 25 | 7 | 7 | 11 | 24:30 | 28 |
| 21 | Portsmouth | 24 | 6 | 7 | 11 | 21:35 | 25 |
| 22 | Norwich | 26 | 6 | 6 | 14 | 28:39 | 24 |
| 23 | Oxford Utd | 25 | 5 | 7 | 13 | 25:35 | 22 |
| 24 | Sheffield Wed | 25 | 1 | 8 | 16 | 18:51 | -7 |
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