Ethiopia vs Guinea Expected Goals (xG), Forecast & Details

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Africa

Africa Cup of Nations 2025 Stade Olympique Alassane Ouattara

Scoring Trends

Ethiopia

Guinea

0.71

Goals Scored

1.25

Goals Conceded

1.13

0.92 Expected Goals (xG) 1.13

57%

Over 1.5

75%

29%

Over 2.5

63%

14%

Over 3.5

13%

Detailed Analysis

Explore Head-to-Head and Form below for more insights.

Expert Analysis by Omoye ThankGod

Guinea hold a slight statistical advantage, though this match remains competitive. The game flow could swing back and forth as teams find their rhythm.

Their head-to-head record shows a history of competitive battles. The data points towards a tight game, making 'Under' markets particularly attractive. The numbers provide a solid foundation for this match outlook.

Possible Outcome Probability

Match Winner

Home Win32%

Draw16%

Away Win52%

Goals & Scoring

Both Teams to Score39%

Over 1.5 Goals73%

Over 2.5 Goals47%

Match Events

16'

Guirassy S.

Assist: Sylla I.

19'

Toure A.

Assist: Camara M.

23'

Guirassy S.

(Penalty)

Previous Encounters

15 Oct 24 AFR

Ethiopia

0:3

✓ Guinea

12 Oct 24 AFR

Guinea ✓

4:1

Ethiopia

27 Mar 23 AFR

Ethiopia

2:3

✓ Guinea

24 Mar 23 AFR

Guinea ✓

2:0

Ethiopia

04 Sept 11 AFR

Guinea ✓

1:0

Ethiopia

Recent Form (Last 5)

Ethiopia

Home Team

12 Oct

Burkina Faso

3 : 1

Ethiopia

08 Oct

Ethiopia

1 : 0

Guinea Bissau

09 Sept

Sierra Leone

2 : 0

Ethiopia

05 Sept

Egypt

2 : 0

Ethiopia

02 Aug

DC United

0 : 3

Ethiopia

Guinea

Away Team

18 Nov

Guinea

1 : 1

Niger

15 Nov

Guinea

2 : 0

Liberia

14 Oct

Guinea

2 : 2

Botswana

09 Oct

Mozambique

1 : 2

Guinea

08 Sept

Guinea

0 : 0

Algeria

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Comoros	6	3	3	0	7:4	12
2	Tunisia	6	3	1	2	7:6	10
3	Gambia	6	2	2	2	6:6	8
4	Madagascar	6	0	2	4	4:8	2

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Morocco	6	6	0	0	26:2	18
2	Gabon	6	3	1	2	7:9	10
3	Lesotho	6	1	1	4	2:13	4
4	Central Africa	6	1	0	5	3:14	3

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Egypt	6	4	2	0	12:2	14
2	Botswana	6	2	2	2	4:7	8
3	Mauritania	6	2	1	3	3:6	7
4	Cape Verde	6	1	1	4	3:7	4

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Nigeria	6	3	2	1	9:3	11
2	Benin	6	2	2	2	7:7	8
3	Rwanda	6	2	2	2	5:7	8
4	Libya	6	1	2	3	3:7	5

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Algeria	6	5	1	0	16:2	16
2	Equatorial Guinea	6	2	2	2	5:8	8
3	Togo	6	1	2	3	7:10	5
4	Liberia	6	1	1	4	4:12	4

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Angola	6	4	2	0	7:2	14
2	Sudan	6	2	2	2	4:6	8
3	Niger	6	2	1	3	7:6	7
4	Ghana	6	0	3	3	3:7	3

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Zambia	6	4	1	1	7:4	13
2	Ivory Coast	6	4	0	2	12:3	12
3	Sierra Leone	6	1	2	3	5:10	5
4	Chad	6	0	3	3	1:8	3

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	D.R. Congo	6	4	0	2	7:3	12
2	Tanzania	6	3	1	2	5:4	10
3	Guinea	6	3	0	3	9:5	9
4	Ethiopia	6	1	1	4	3:12	4

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Mali	6	4	2	0	10:1	14
2	Mozambique	6	3	2	1	9:5	11
3	Guinea Bissau	6	1	2	3	4:6	5
4	Eswatini	6	0	2	4	2:13	2

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Cameroon	6	4	2	0	8:2	14
2	Zimbabwe	6	2	3	1	6:4	9
3	Kenya	6	1	3	2	4:7	6
4	Namibia	6	0	2	4	2:7	2

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	South Africa	6	4	2	0	16:5	14
2	Uganda	6	4	1	1	8:5	13
3	Congo	6	1	1	4	4:12	4
4	South Sudan	6	1	0	5	6:12	3

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Senegal	6	5	1	0	10:1	16
2	Burkina Faso	6	3	1	2	10:7	10
3	Burundi	6	1	1	4	4:11	4
4	Malawi	6	1	1	4	6:11	4

Match Preview: Ethiopia vs Guinea

The upcoming fixture between Ethiopia and Guinea promises to be an engaging encounter in Africa Cup of Nations 2025. Scheduled for Tuesday, October 15, 2024 at 19:00 UTC, the match will take place at Stade Olympique Alassane Ouattara. Both sides will be looking to make their mark in this scheduled event.

Team Context & Standings

Entering this game, both Ethiopia and Guinea are focused on their respective objectives for the season. Ethiopia will look to leverage their competitive standing to gain an advantage, while Guinea aims to improve their league position with a positive result on the road.

Head-to-Head & History

Previous meetings between these two sides often provide context for what to expect. While past results offer a glimpse into tactical matchups, this fresh encounter brings new dynamics. The teams have their own recent history to draw upon as they prepare tactically.

Tactical Overview

Tactically, this game could be decided in the midfield battles. Control of possession, defensive discipline, and clinical finishing in the final third are expected to be the deciding factors. Ethiopia will try to assert dominance early, whereas Guinea might look for opportunities on the break or through set-pieces.

Following the Match

The match atmosphere is expected to be electric, and tracking the game minute-by-minute adds to the excitement. From the first whistle to the final moments, fans can follow every goal, momentum shift, and key event as the drama unfolds on the pitch.

Key Statistics

Modern football is often defined by the underlying numbers. Expect close scrutiny on metrics such as shots on target, possession percentages, and corner counts. These figures will illustrate which team effectively controlled the tempo and created the most dangerous chances.

Why This Matters

Ultimately, this fixture carries weight for the season's broader narrative. Momentum is crucial in Africa Cup of Nations 2025, and a victory in this match would serve as a significant morale booster for the winning side moving forward in the campaign.