Sport Picks
Fulham vs Manchester City
England
Premier League 2025/2026 Craven Cottage, London 
Match Events
17'
17'
Haaland E.
Assist: Doku J.
37'
37'
Reijnders T.
Assist: Haaland E.
44'
44'
Foden P.
AI Match Summary
The Premier League 2025/2026 game between Fulham and Manchester City finished 4-5, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Manchester City.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
37%
30%
33%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Fulham
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
30%
/ Medium Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Manchester City come out ahead of Fulham on wins alone.
- 42% — that's where the model lands on Fulham taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- These two have met 5 times recently and Manchester City have taken 5 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Fulham Clean Sheet 16%
Manchester City Clean Sheet 15%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Fulham | Manchester City |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 29 |
| Wins | 12 | 19 |
| Draws | 6 | 5 |
| Losses | 10 | 5 |
| Goals Scored | 0.88 | 1.88 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.13 | 1.13 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.88 | 1.88 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.13 | 1.13 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Feb 11, 2026 Premier League
Manchester City vs Fulham
3:0
Dec 2, 2025 Premier League
Fulham vs Manchester City
4:5
May 25, 2025 Premier League
Fulham vs Manchester City
0:2
Oct 5, 2024 Premier League
Manchester City vs Fulham
3:2
May 11, 2024 Premier League
Fulham vs Manchester City
0:4
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Fulham Compare
Top Goalscorer Chukwueze S.
2 Goals Assists Leader Smith Rowe E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44
Manchester City Compare
Top Goalscorer Foden P.
2 Goals Assists Leader Haaland E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Fulham 41 / 100
Manchester City 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Fulham Manchester City
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
These sides typically produce 4.60 goals when they meet.
Attacking prowess: Fulham scored in 64% of their last 28 outings.
Fulham has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Manchester City let in goals in 59% of their last 29 matches.
Scoring Trends
Fulham VS Manchester City
0.88 Goals Scored 1.88
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Fulham
(Home) 01 Aug
SC Farense
1 : 2 Fulham
28 Jul
Al Ahli SC
1 : 1 Fulham
25 Jul
Fulham
0 : 2 Norwich
24 May
Fulham
2 : 0 Newcastle Utd
17 May
Wolves
1 : 1 Fulham
Page 1 of 6
25 Jul
Fulham
0 : 2 Norwich
24 May
Fulham
2 : 0 Newcastle Utd
09 May
Fulham
0 : 1 Bournemouth
25 Apr
Fulham
1 : 0 Aston Villa
21 Mar
Fulham
3 : 1 Burnley
Page 1 of 3
Manchester City
(Away) 05 Aug
K-League Stars
1 : 3 Manchester City
01 Aug
Manchester City
1 : 2 Inter
24 May
Manchester City
1 : 2 Aston Villa
19 May
Bournemouth
1 : 1 Manchester City
16 May
Chelsea
0 : 1 Manchester City
Page 1 of 6
05 Aug
K-League Stars
1 : 3 Manchester City
19 May
Bournemouth
1 : 1 Manchester City
16 May
Chelsea
0 : 1 Manchester City
04 May
Everton
3 : 3 Manchester City
22 Apr
Burnley
0 : 1 Manchester City
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arsenal | 38 | 26 | 7 | 5 | 71:27 | 85 |
| 2 | Manchester City | 38 | 23 | 9 | 6 | 77:35 | 78 |
| 3 | Manchester United | 38 | 20 | 11 | 7 | 69:50 | 71 |
| 4 | Aston Villa | 38 | 19 | 8 | 11 | 56:49 | 65 |
| 5 | Liverpool | 38 | 17 | 9 | 12 | 63:53 | 60 |
| 6 | Bournemouth | 38 | 13 | 18 | 7 | 58:54 | 57 |
| 7 | Sunderland | 38 | 14 | 12 | 12 | 42:48 | 54 |
| 8 | Brighton | 38 | 14 | 11 | 13 | 52:46 | 53 |
| 9 | Brentford | 38 | 14 | 11 | 13 | 55:52 | 53 |
| 10 | Chelsea | 38 | 14 | 10 | 14 | 58:52 | 52 |
| 11 | Fulham | 38 | 15 | 7 | 16 | 47:51 | 52 |
| 12 | Newcastle Utd | 38 | 14 | 7 | 17 | 53:55 | 49 |
| 13 | Everton | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 47:50 | 49 |
| 14 | Leeds | 38 | 11 | 14 | 13 | 49:56 | 47 |
| 15 | Crystal Palace | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 41:51 | 45 |
| 16 | Nottingham | 38 | 11 | 11 | 16 | 48:51 | 44 |
| 17 | Tottenham | 38 | 10 | 11 | 17 | 48:57 | 41 |
| 18 | West Ham | 38 | 10 | 9 | 19 | 46:65 | 39 |
| 19 | Burnley | 38 | 4 | 10 | 24 | 38:75 | 22 |
| 20 | Wolves | 38 | 3 | 11 | 24 | 27:68 | 20 |
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League (League phase)
Relegation - Championship (Main)
