Gavilanes de Matamoros vs Chilpancingo Expected Goals (xG), Forecast & Details

Sport Picks

Mexico

Liga Premier Serie A

Scoring Trends

Gavilanes de Matamoros

Chilpancingo

1.63

Goals Scored

1.13

0.75

Goals Conceded

1.38

1.50 Expected Goals (xG) 0.94

63%

Over 1.5

75%

50%

Over 2.5

50%

25%

Over 3.5

13%

Detailed Analysis

Explore Head-to-Head and Form below for more insights.

Expert Analysis by Omoye ThankGod

This clash between Gavilanes de Matamoros and Chilpancingo appears balanced with little difference between the two sides. The game flow could swing back and forth as teams find their rhythm.

With no recent competitive history, this is a fresh tactical challenge for both. The data points towards a tight game, making 'Under' markets particularly attractive. The numbers provide a solid foundation for this match outlook.

Possible Outcome Probability

Match Winner

Home Win39%

Draw24%

Away Win37%

Goals & Scoring

Both Teams to Score52%

Over 1.5 Goals70%

Over 2.5 Goals48%

Match Events

11'

Velazquez E.

57'

Renteria Y.

90'

Previous Encounters

01 Feb 26 LIG

Gavilanes de Matamoros ✓

2:1

Chilpancingo

13 Sept 25 LIG

Chilpancingo ✓

1:0

Gavilanes de Matamoros

Recent Form (Last 5)

Gavilanes de Matamoros

Home Team

04 Apr

Calor De San Pedro

2 : 0

Gavilanes de Matamoros

28 Mar

Cordobes FC

1 : 3

Gavilanes de Matamoros

21 Mar

CS Canamy

1 : 3

Gavilanes de Matamoros

15 Mar

Gavilanes de Matamoros

0 : 1

Halcones de Zapopan

07 Mar

Ciervos

0 : 2

Gavilanes de Matamoros

Chilpancingo

Away Team

28 Mar

Chilpancingo

2 : 1

Correcaminos 2

22 Mar

Calor De San Pedro

4 : 0

Chilpancingo

14 Mar

Chilpancingo

1 : 1

Zitacuaro

06 Mar

Atletico Hidalgo

0 : 1

Chilpancingo

28 Feb

Chilpancingo

2 : 1

Cordobes FC

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Alacranes de Durango	25	20	2	3	69:15	71
2	Tigres de Alica	25	16	3	6	44:25	52
3	Cimarrones de Sonora	25	14	7	4	42:19	50
4	Leones Negros 2	25	15	2	8	41:26	50
5	Tritones Vallarta	25	15	1	9	32:26	46
6	Tecos	25	13	4	8	45:33	45
7	Mineros de Fresnillo	25	11	4	10	39:39	39
8	Los Cabos United	25	11	3	11	37:38	37
9	Guerreros de Autlan	25	8	5	12	38:39	32
10	Ensenada FC	25	8	2	15	29:51	28
11	UA Zacatecas	25	7	4	14	28:48	26
12	Zapotlanejo	25	6	1	18	39:69	21
13	Reboceros de La Piedad	25	6	1	18	36:66	20
14	Colima FC	25	4	3	18	23:48	17

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Apodaca	25	21	2	2	47:18	66
2	FC Santiago	25	13	7	5	37:21	47
3	Zacatepec	25	12	8	5	29:14	45
4	Halcones de Zapopan	25	11	6	8	44:26	44
5	Calor De San Pedro	25	11	7	7	33:25	41
6	Gavilanes de Matamoros	25	11	5	9	30:22	41
7	Lobos ULMX	25	11	6	8	32:24	40
8	Correcaminos 2	25	8	7	10	26:25	33
9	Chilpancingo	25	8	8	9	31:40	32
10	Cordobes FC	25	7	6	12	26:30	26
11	CS Canamy	25	5	8	12	33:47	26
12	Zitacuaro	25	5	10	10	21:31	25
13	Ciervos	25	4	4	17	19:48	18
14	Atletico Hidalgo	25	4	4	17	22:59	16

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Racing de Veracruz	23	20	3	0	50:9	68
2	Deportiva Venados	23	14	4	5	54:24	49
3	Celaya	23	12	3	8	41:31	42
4	Inter Playa Del Carmen	24	13	4	7	35:28	42
5	Tapachula	23	12	0	11	47:35	41
6	Montaneses	23	12	2	9	35:27	38
7	Pioneros	23	10	2	11	34:34	34
8	Jaguares De Chiapas	23	9	3	11	32:31	33
9	Heroes de Zaci	23	9	2	12	32:46	31
10	Chapulineros	23	5	7	11	20:32	22
11	Canoneros FC	23	7	1	15	25:44	22
12	Neza FC	23	5	2	16	24:66	19
13	Dragones Toluca	23	4	3	16	21:43	17

Match Preview: Gavilanes de Matamoros vs Chilpancingo

Gavilanes de Matamoros welcomes Chilpancingo for what is shaping up to be a crucial match in Liga Premier Serie A. Scheduled for Sunday, February 1, 2026 at 01:00 UTC, the match will take place at the stadium. Both sides will be looking to make their mark in this scheduled event.

Team Context & Standings

The context of this match is defined by the current standings and the ambitions of both squads. Gavilanes de Matamoros will look to leverage their competitive standing to gain an advantage, while Chilpancingo aims to improve their league position with a positive result on the road.

Head-to-Head & History

Previous meetings between these two sides often provide context for what to expect. While past results offer a glimpse into tactical matchups, this fresh encounter brings new dynamics. The teams have their own recent history to draw upon as they prepare tactically.

Tactical Overview

The flow of the match will likely depend on which team settles into their rhythm first. Control of possession, defensive discipline, and clinical finishing in the final third are expected to be the deciding factors. Gavilanes de Matamoros will try to assert dominance early, whereas Chilpancingo might look for opportunities on the break or through set-pieces.

Following the Match

For those following the action, staying updated is key. From the first whistle to the final moments, fans can follow every goal, momentum shift, and key event as the drama unfolds on the pitch.

Key Statistics

Modern football is often defined by the underlying numbers. Expect close scrutiny on metrics such as shots on target, possession percentages, and corner counts. These figures will illustrate which team effectively controlled the tempo and created the most dangerous chances.

Why This Matters

Three points here could be pivotal for the ambitions of either Gavilanes de Matamoros or Chilpancingo. Momentum is crucial in Liga Premier Serie A, and a victory in this match would serve as a significant morale booster for the winning side moving forward in the campaign.