Guinea Bissau vs Mali Expected Goals (xG), Forecast & Details

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Africa

Africa Cup of Nations 2025 Estádio 24 de Setembro

Scoring Trends

Guinea Bissau

Mali

0.38

Goals Scored

1.38

0.75

Goals Conceded

0.5

0.44 Expected Goals (xG) 1.06

38%

Over 1.5

63%

Over 2.5

25%

Over 3.5

13%

Detailed Analysis

Explore Head-to-Head and Form below for more insights.

Expert Analysis by Omoye ThankGod

Mali hold a slight statistical advantage, though this match remains competitive. Defensive discipline will likely be the priority for both managers.

Their head-to-head record shows a history of competitive battles. The data points towards a tight game, making 'Under' markets particularly attractive. The numbers provide a solid foundation for this match outlook.

Possible Outcome Probability

Match Winner

Home Win21%

Draw27%

Away Win52%

Goals & Scoring

Both Teams to Score39%

Over 1.5 Goals57%

Over 2.5 Goals34%

Match Events

31'

Bura

46'

Sub

Coulibaly L. In: Haidara A.

Out: Coulibaly L.

62'

Sub

Camara M. In: Koita S.

Out: Camara M.

Previous Encounters

15 Oct 24 AFR

Guinea Bissau

0:0

Mali

11 Oct 24 AFR

Mali ✓

1:0

Guinea Bissau

06 Jan 24 FRI

Mali ✓

6:2

Guinea Bissau

04 Aug 19 AFR

Mali ✓

3:0

Guinea Bissau

27 Jul 19 AFR

Guinea Bissau

0:4

✓ Mali

Recent Form (Last 5)

Guinea Bissau

Home Team

12 Oct

Egypt

1 : 0

Guinea Bissau

08 Oct

Ethiopia

1 : 0

Guinea Bissau

08 Sept

Guinea Bissau

2 : 0

Djibouti

04 Sept

Guinea Bissau

1 : 1

Sierra Leone

09 Jun

Guinea Bissau

0 : 2

Gabon

Mali

Away Team

09 Jan

Mali

0 : 1

Senegal

03 Jan

Mali

2 : 1

Tunisia

29 Dec

Comoros

0 : 0

Mali

26 Dec

Morocco

1 : 1

Mali

22 Dec

Mali

1 : 1

Zambia

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Comoros	6	3	3	0	7:4	12
2	Tunisia	6	3	1	2	7:6	10
3	Gambia	6	2	2	2	6:6	8
4	Madagascar	6	0	2	4	4:8	2

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Morocco	6	6	0	0	26:2	18
2	Gabon	6	3	1	2	7:9	10
3	Lesotho	6	1	1	4	2:13	4
4	Central Africa	6	1	0	5	3:14	3

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Egypt	6	4	2	0	12:2	14
2	Botswana	6	2	2	2	4:7	8
3	Mauritania	6	2	1	3	3:6	7
4	Cape Verde	6	1	1	4	3:7	4

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Nigeria	6	3	2	1	9:3	11
2	Benin	6	2	2	2	7:7	8
3	Rwanda	6	2	2	2	5:7	8
4	Libya	6	1	2	3	3:7	5

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Algeria	6	5	1	0	16:2	16
2	Equatorial Guinea	6	2	2	2	5:8	8
3	Togo	6	1	2	3	7:10	5
4	Liberia	6	1	1	4	4:12	4

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Angola	6	4	2	0	7:2	14
2	Sudan	6	2	2	2	4:6	8
3	Niger	6	2	1	3	7:6	7
4	Ghana	6	0	3	3	3:7	3

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Zambia	6	4	1	1	7:4	13
2	Ivory Coast	6	4	0	2	12:3	12
3	Sierra Leone	6	1	2	3	5:10	5
4	Chad	6	0	3	3	1:8	3

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	D.R. Congo	6	4	0	2	7:3	12
2	Tanzania	6	3	1	2	5:4	10
3	Guinea	6	3	0	3	9:5	9
4	Ethiopia	6	1	1	4	3:12	4

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Mali	6	4	2	0	10:1	14
2	Mozambique	6	3	2	1	9:5	11
3	Guinea Bissau	6	1	2	3	4:6	5
4	Eswatini	6	0	2	4	2:13	2

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Cameroon	6	4	2	0	8:2	14
2	Zimbabwe	6	2	3	1	6:4	9
3	Kenya	6	1	3	2	4:7	6
4	Namibia	6	0	2	4	2:7	2

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	South Africa	6	4	2	0	16:5	14
2	Uganda	6	4	1	1	8:5	13
3	Congo	6	1	1	4	4:12	4
4	South Sudan	6	1	0	5	6:12	3

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Senegal	6	5	1	0	10:1	16
2	Burkina Faso	6	3	1	2	10:7	10
3	Burundi	6	1	1	4	4:11	4
4	Malawi	6	1	1	4	6:11	4

Match Preview: Guinea Bissau vs Mali

The upcoming fixture between Guinea Bissau and Mali promises to be an engaging encounter in Africa Cup of Nations 2025. Scheduled for Tuesday, October 15, 2024 at 16:00 UTC, the match will take place at Estádio 24 de Setembro. Both sides will be looking to make their mark in this scheduled event.

Team Context & Standings

Entering this game, both Guinea Bissau and Mali are focused on their respective objectives for the season. Guinea Bissau will look to leverage their competitive standing to gain an advantage, while Mali aims to improve their league position with a positive result on the road.

Head-to-Head & History

History suggests that matches between Guinea Bissau and Mali are competitively fought. While past results offer a glimpse into tactical matchups, this fresh encounter brings new dynamics. The teams have their own recent history to draw upon as they prepare tactically.

Tactical Overview

The flow of the match will likely depend on which team settles into their rhythm first. Control of possession, defensive discipline, and clinical finishing in the final third are expected to be the deciding factors. Guinea Bissau will try to assert dominance early, whereas Mali might look for opportunities on the break or through set-pieces.

Following the Match

For those following the action, staying updated is key. From the first whistle to the final moments, fans can follow every goal, momentum shift, and key event as the drama unfolds on the pitch.

Key Statistics

Modern football is often defined by the underlying numbers. Expect close scrutiny on metrics such as shots on target, possession percentages, and corner counts. These figures will illustrate which team effectively controlled the tempo and created the most dangerous chances.

Why This Matters

Ultimately, this fixture carries weight for the season's broader narrative. Momentum is crucial in Africa Cup of Nations 2025, and a victory in this match would serve as a significant morale booster for the winning side moving forward in the campaign.