Israel vs Italy Expected Goals (xG), Forecast & Details

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World

World Cup 2026 Nagyerdei Stadion

Scoring Trends

Israel

Italy

Goals Scored

2.75

2.38

Goals Conceded

1.63

1.81 Expected Goals (xG) 2.56

88%

Over 1.5

100%

88%

Over 2.5

88%

63%

Over 3.5

50%

Detailed Analysis

Explore Head-to-Head and Form below for more insights.

Expert Analysis by Omoye ThankGod

Italy hold a slight statistical advantage, though this match remains competitive. Recent suggest an open game with likely chances at both ends.

Their head-to-head record shows a history of competitive battles. Scoring trends strongly favor an Over 2.5 Goals match. The numbers provide a solid foundation for this match outlook.

Possible Outcome Probability

Match Winner

Home Win32%

Draw15%

Away Win53%

Goals & Scoring

Both Teams to Score56%

Over 1.5 Goals81%

Over 2.5 Goals67%

Match Events

Donnarumma G.

Sub

Lemkin S. In: Shlomo R.

Out: Lemkin S.

16'

Locatelli M.

Previous Encounters

14 Oct 25 WOR

Italy ✓

3:0

Israel

08 Sept 25 WOR

Israel

4:5

✓ Italy

14 Oct 24 UEF

Italy ✓

4:1

Israel

09 Sept 24 UEF

Israel

1:2

✓ Italy

05 Sept 17 WOR

Italy ✓

1:0

Israel

Recent Form (Last 5)

Israel

Home Team

16 Nov

Israel

4 : 1

Moldova

13 Nov

Lithuania

0 : 0

Israel

14 Oct

Italy

3 : 0

Israel

11 Oct

Norway

5 : 0

Israel

08 Sept

Israel

4 : 5

Italy

Away Team

16 Nov

Italy

1 : 4

Norway

13 Nov

Moldova

0 : 2

Italy

14 Oct

Italy

3 : 0

Israel

11 Oct

Estonia

1 : 3

Italy

08 Sept

Israel

4 : 5

Italy

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Germany	6	5	1	16:3	15
2	Slovakia	6	4	2	6:8	12
3	Northern Ireland	6	3	3	7:6	9
4	Luxembourg	6	0	6	1:13	0

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Switzerland	6	4	2	0	14:2	14
2	Kosovo	6	3	2	1	6:5	11
3	Slovenia	6	0	4	2	3:8	4
4	Sweden	6	0	2	4	4:12	2

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Scotland	6	4	1	1	13:7	13
2	Denmark	6	3	2	1	16:7	11
3	Greece	6	2	1	3	10:12	7
4	Belarus	6	0	2	4	4:17	2

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	France	6	5	1	0	16:4	16
2	Ukraine	6	3	1	2	10:11	10
3	Iceland	6	2	1	3	13:11	7
4	Azerbaijan	6	0	1	5	3:16	1

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Spain	6	5	1	0	21:2	16
2	Turkey	6	4	1	1	17:12	13
3	Georgia	6	1	0	5	7:15	3
4	Bulgaria	6	1	0	5	3:19	3

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Portugal	6	4	1	1	20:7	13
2	Ireland	6	3	1	2	9:7	10
3	Hungary	6	2	2	2	11:10	8
4	Armenia	6	1	0	5	3:19	3

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Netherlands	8	6	2	0	27:4	20
2	Poland	8	5	2	1	14:7	17
3	Finland	8	3	1	4	8:14	10
4	Malta	8	1	2	5	4:19	5
5	Lithuania	8	0	3	5	6:15	3

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Austria	8	6	1	1	22:4	19
2	Bosnia & Herzegovina	8	5	2	1	17:7	17
3	Romania	8	4	1	3	19:10	13
4	Cyprus	8	2	2	4	11:11	8
5	San Marino	8	0	0	8	2:39	0

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Norway	8	8	0	0	37:5	24
2	Italy	8	6	0	2	21:12	18
3	Israel	8	4	0	4	19:20	12
4	Estonia	8	1	1	6	8:21	4
5	Moldova	8	0	1	7	5:32	1

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Belgium	8	5	3	0	29:7	18
2	Wales	8	5	1	2	21:11	16
3	North Macedonia	8	3	4	1	13:10	13
4	Kazakhstan	8	2	2	4	9:13	8
5	Liechtenstein	8	0	0	8	0:31	0

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	England	8	8	0	0	22:0	24
2	Albania	8	4	2	2	7:5	14
3	Serbia	8	4	1	3	9:10	13
4	Latvia	8	1	2	5	5:15	5
5	Andorra	8	0	1	7	3:16	1

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Croatia	8	7	1	0	26:4	22
2	Czech Republic	8	5	1	2	18:8	16
3	Faroe Islands	8	4	0	4	11:9	12
4	Montenegro	8	3	0	5	8:17	9
5	Gibraltar	8	0	0	8	3:28	0

Match Preview: Israel vs Italy

Israel welcomes Italy for what is shaping up to be a crucial match in World Cup 2026. Scheduled for Monday, September 8, 2025 at 18:45 UTC, the match will take place at Nagyerdei Stadion. Both sides will be looking to make their mark in this scheduled event.

Team Context & Standings

The context of this match is defined by the current standings and the ambitions of both squads. Israel will look to leverage their competitive standing to gain an advantage, while Italy aims to improve their league position with a positive result on the road.

Head-to-Head & History

History suggests that matches between Israel and Italy are competitively fought. While past results offer a glimpse into tactical matchups, this fresh encounter brings new dynamics. The teams have their own recent history to draw upon as they prepare tactically.

Tactical Overview

Tactically, this game could be decided in the midfield battles. Control of possession, defensive discipline, and clinical finishing in the final third are expected to be the deciding factors. Israel will try to assert dominance early, whereas Italy might look for opportunities on the break or through set-pieces.

Following the Match

The match atmosphere is expected to be electric, and tracking the game minute-by-minute adds to the excitement. From the first whistle to the final moments, fans can follow every goal, momentum shift, and key event as the drama unfolds on the pitch.

Key Statistics

Beyond the scoreline, the match statistics will tell the deeper story of the performance. Expect close scrutiny on metrics such as shots on target, possession percentages, and corner counts. These figures will illustrate which team effectively controlled the tempo and created the most dangerous chances.

Why This Matters

Three points here could be pivotal for the ambitions of either Israel or Italy. Momentum is crucial in World Cup 2026, and a victory in this match would serve as a significant morale booster for the winning side moving forward in the campaign.