Italy vs Norway Expected Goals (xG), Forecast & Details

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World

World Cup 2026 Stadio Giuseppe Meazza (San Siro)

Scoring Trends

Italy

Norway

2.88

Goals Scored

3.75

1.38

Goals Conceded

0.63

1.75 Expected Goals (xG) 2.56

100%

Over 1.5

75%

Over 2.5

63%

50%

Over 3.5

50%

Detailed Analysis

Explore Head-to-Head and Form below for more insights.

Expert Analysis by Omoye ThankGod

This clash between Italy and Norway appears balanced with little difference between the two sides. Recent suggest an open game with likely chances at both ends.

Their head-to-head record shows a history of competitive battles. Scoring trends strongly favor an Over 2.5 Goals match. The numbers provide a solid foundation for this match outlook.

Possible Outcome Probability

Match Winner

Home Win40%

Draw18%

Away Win42%

Goals & Scoring

Both Teams to Score52%

Over 1.5 Goals83%

Over 2.5 Goals68%

Match Events

11'

Esposito F.

Assist: Dimarco F.

44'

Gattuso G.

45'

Barella N.

Previous Encounters

16 Nov 25 WOR

Italy

1:4

✓ Norway

06 Jun 25 WOR

Norway ✓

3:0

Italy

13 Oct 15 EUR

Italy ✓

2:1

Norway

09 Sept 14 EUR

Norway

0:2

✓ Italy

04 Jun 05 WOR

Norway

0:0

Italy

Recent Form (Last 5)

Italy

Home Team

31 Mar

Bosnia & Herzegovina

2 : 1

Italy

26 Mar

Italy

2 : 0

Northern Ireland

16 Nov

Italy

1 : 4

Norway

13 Nov

Moldova

0 : 2

Italy

14 Oct

Italy

3 : 0

Israel

Norway

Away Team

31 Mar

Norway

0 : 0

Switzerland

27 Mar

Netherlands

2 : 1

Norway

16 Nov

Italy

1 : 4

Norway

13 Nov

Norway

4 : 1

Estonia

14 Oct

Norway

1 : 1

New Zealand

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Germany	6	5	1	16:3	15
2	Slovakia	6	4	2	6:8	12
3	Northern Ireland	6	3	3	7:6	9
4	Luxembourg	6	0	6	1:13	0

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Switzerland	6	4	2	0	14:2	14
2	Kosovo	6	3	2	1	6:5	11
3	Slovenia	6	0	4	2	3:8	4
4	Sweden	6	0	2	4	4:12	2

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Scotland	6	4	1	1	13:7	13
2	Denmark	6	3	2	1	16:7	11
3	Greece	6	2	1	3	10:12	7
4	Belarus	6	0	2	4	4:17	2

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	France	6	5	1	0	16:4	16
2	Ukraine	6	3	1	2	10:11	10
3	Iceland	6	2	1	3	13:11	7
4	Azerbaijan	6	0	1	5	3:16	1

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Spain	6	5	1	0	21:2	16
2	Turkey	6	4	1	1	17:12	13
3	Georgia	6	1	0	5	7:15	3
4	Bulgaria	6	1	0	5	3:19	3

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Portugal	6	4	1	1	20:7	13
2	Ireland	6	3	1	2	9:7	10
3	Hungary	6	2	2	2	11:10	8
4	Armenia	6	1	0	5	3:19	3

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Netherlands	8	6	2	0	27:4	20
2	Poland	8	5	2	1	14:7	17
3	Finland	8	3	1	4	8:14	10
4	Malta	8	1	2	5	4:19	5
5	Lithuania	8	0	3	5	6:15	3

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Austria	8	6	1	1	22:4	19
2	Bosnia & Herzegovina	8	5	2	1	17:7	17
3	Romania	8	4	1	3	19:10	13
4	Cyprus	8	2	2	4	11:11	8
5	San Marino	8	0	0	8	2:39	0

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Norway	8	8	0	0	37:5	24
2	Italy	8	6	0	2	21:12	18
3	Israel	8	4	0	4	19:20	12
4	Estonia	8	1	1	6	8:21	4
5	Moldova	8	0	1	7	5:32	1

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Belgium	8	5	3	0	29:7	18
2	Wales	8	5	1	2	21:11	16
3	North Macedonia	8	3	4	1	13:10	13
4	Kazakhstan	8	2	2	4	9:13	8
5	Liechtenstein	8	0	0	8	0:31	0

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	England	8	8	0	0	22:0	24
2	Albania	8	4	2	2	7:5	14
3	Serbia	8	4	1	3	9:10	13
4	Latvia	8	1	2	5	5:15	5
5	Andorra	8	0	1	7	3:16	1

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Croatia	8	7	1	0	26:4	22
2	Czech Republic	8	5	1	2	18:8	16
3	Faroe Islands	8	4	0	4	11:9	12
4	Montenegro	8	3	0	5	8:17	9
5	Gibraltar	8	0	0	8	3:28	0

Match Preview: Italy vs Norway

Italy welcomes Norway for what is shaping up to be a crucial match in World Cup 2026. Scheduled for Sunday, November 16, 2025 at 19:45 UTC, the match will take place at Stadio Giuseppe Meazza (San Siro). Both sides will be looking to make their mark in this scheduled event.

Team Context & Standings

The context of this match is defined by the current standings and the ambitions of both squads. Italy will look to leverage their competitive standing to gain an advantage, while Norway aims to improve their league position with a positive result on the road.

Head-to-Head & History

History suggests that matches between Italy and Norway are competitively fought. While past results offer a glimpse into tactical matchups, this fresh encounter brings new dynamics. The teams have their own recent history to draw upon as they prepare tactically.

Tactical Overview

Tactically, this game could be decided in the midfield battles. Control of possession, defensive discipline, and clinical finishing in the final third are expected to be the deciding factors. Italy will try to assert dominance early, whereas Norway might look for opportunities on the break or through set-pieces.

Following the Match

For those following the action, staying updated is key. From the first whistle to the final moments, fans can follow every goal, momentum shift, and key event as the drama unfolds on the pitch.

Key Statistics

Beyond the scoreline, the match statistics will tell the deeper story of the performance. Expect close scrutiny on metrics such as shots on target, possession percentages, and corner counts. These figures will illustrate which team effectively controlled the tempo and created the most dangerous chances.

Why This Matters

Three points here could be pivotal for the ambitions of either Italy or Norway. Momentum is crucial in World Cup 2026, and a victory in this match would serve as a significant morale booster for the winning side moving forward in the campaign.