Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Levante vs Villarreal

Spain Spain

LaLiga 2025/2026 Estadi Ciutat de València, Valencia
Our Tip

Match Events

31'
Espi C.
43'
Losada I.
57' Event
Mikautadze G.
Assist: Pepe N.

AI Match Summary

The LaLiga 2025/2026 game between Levante and Villarreal finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Villarreal.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Levante
15%
Draws
49%
Villarreal
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Villarreal

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Villarreal carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 39% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular LaLiga 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Villarreal here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Levante Clean Sheet 14%
Villarreal Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Levante Villarreal
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 12 14
Draws 6 4
Losses 11 11
Goals Scored 1.88 2
Goals Conceded 1.25 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 5, 2026 Club Friendly
Villarreal vs Levante
1:0
May 2, 2026 LaLiga
Villarreal vs Levante
5:1
Feb 18, 2026 LaLiga
Levante vs Villarreal
0:1
Aug 3, 2022 Club Friendly
Villarreal vs Levante
3:1
Apr 2, 2022 LaLiga
Levante vs Villarreal
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Levante Compare

Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Villarreal Compare

Top Goalscorer Mikautadze G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Levante 31 / 100
Villarreal 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Levante Villarreal

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick VIL Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Villarreal let in goals in 90% of their last 29 matches.

Attacking prowess: Levante scored in 69% of their last 29 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Levante stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Levante VS Villarreal
1.88 Goals Scored 2
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Levante

(Home)
05 Aug
Villarreal
1 : 0
Levante
01 Aug
Levante
2 : 1
Albacete
26 Jul
Levante
1 : 0
Al Qadsiah
17 Jul
Levante
1 : 2
Sheffield Utd
11 Jul
Levante
2 : 1
Leganes
Page 1 of 6

Villarreal

(Away)
05 Aug
Villarreal
1 : 0
Levante
01 Aug
Lens
3 : 1
Villarreal
29 Jul
Villarreal
2 : 1
Como
29 Jul
Al-Ula
0 : 3
Villarreal
25 Jul
PSV
1 : 3
Villarreal
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Barcelona 38 31 1 6 95:36 94
2 Real Madrid 38 27 5 6 77:35 86
3 Villarreal 38 22 6 10 72:46 72
4 Atl. Madrid 38 21 6 11 62:44 69
5 Betis 38 15 15 8 59:48 60
6 Celta Vigo 38 14 12 12 53:48 54
7 Getafe 38 15 6 17 32:38 51
8 Rayo Vallecano 38 12 14 12 41:44 50
9 Valencia 38 13 10 15 46:55 49
10 Real Sociedad 38 11 13 14 59:61 46
11 Espanyol 38 12 10 16 43:55 46
12 Ath Bilbao 38 13 6 19 43:58 45
13 Sevilla 38 12 7 19 46:60 43
14 Alaves 38 11 10 17 44:56 43
15 Elche 38 10 13 15 49:57 43
16 Levante 38 11 9 18 47:61 42
17 Osasuna 38 11 9 18 44:50 42
18 Mallorca 38 11 9 18 47:57 42
19 Girona 38 9 14 15 39:55 41
20 Real Oviedo 38 6 11 21 26:60 29
Promotion - Europa League (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Relegation - LaLiga2 (Main)