Mafra vs Santarem Expected Goals (xG), Forecast & Details

Sport Picks

Portugal

Liga 3 Estadio Municipal de Mafra

Scoring Trends

Mafra

Santarem

0.75

Goals Scored

1.13

1.25

Goals Conceded

1.25

1.00 Expected Goals (xG) 1.19

63%

Over 1.5

75%

38%

Over 2.5

50%

13%

Over 3.5

25%

Detailed Analysis

Explore Head-to-Head and Form below for more insights.

Expert Analysis by Omoye ThankGod

Mafra hold a slight statistical advantage, though this match remains competitive. The game flow could swing back and forth as teams find their rhythm.

Their head-to-head record shows a history of competitive battles. The data points towards a tight game, making 'Under' markets particularly attractive. The numbers provide a solid foundation for this match outlook.

Possible Outcome Probability

Match Winner

Home Win45%

Draw24%

Away Win31%

Goals & Scoring

Both Teams to Score52%

Over 1.5 Goals69%

Over 2.5 Goals40%

Match Events

37'

Niang M.

Assist: Iheanacho S.

45'

Niang M.

50'

Teixeira G.

Assist: Machado J.

Previous Encounters

03 Apr 26 LIG

Mafra ✓

2:1

Santarem

04 Mar 26 LIG

Santarem ✓

3:1

Mafra

16 Jan 26 LIG

Mafra

0:0

Santarem

26 Oct 25 LIG

Santarem

1:2

✓ Mafra

02 Oct 22 TAC

Santarem

0:1

✓ Mafra

Recent Form (Last 5)

Mafra

Home Team

03 Apr

Mafra

2 : 1

Santarem

22 Mar

Mafra

1 : 4

CF Os Belenenses

15 Mar

Academica

2 : 0

Mafra

08 Mar

Mafra

1 : 2

Vitoria Guimaraes B

04 Mar

Santarem

3 : 1

Mafra

Santarem

Away Team

03 Apr

Mafra

2 : 1

Santarem

21 Mar

Varzim

1 : 0

Santarem

14 Mar

Santarem

1 : 2

Amarante FC

08 Mar

Santarem

0 : 2

CF Os Belenenses

04 Mar

Santarem

3 : 1

Mafra

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Amarante FC	8	6	1	1	11:6	19
2	CF Os Belenenses	8	5	2	1	16:9	17
3	Academica	8	5	1	2	12:7	16
4	Vitoria Guimaraes B	8	4	1	3	11:8	13
5	Varzim	8	3	0	5	7:10	9
6	Mafra	8	2	1	5	7:14	7
7	Santarem	8	2	0	6	8:13	6
8	Trofense	8	1	2	5	5:10	5

Match Preview: Mafra vs Santarem

Fans of Liga 3 turn their attention to the clash involving Mafra and Santarem. Scheduled for Friday, April 3, 2026 at 10:00 UTC, the match will take place at Estadio Municipal de Mafra. Both sides will be looking to make their mark in this scheduled event.

Team Context & Standings

The context of this match is defined by the current standings and the ambitions of both squads. Mafra will look to leverage their competitive standing to gain an advantage, while Santarem aims to improve their league position with a positive result on the road.

Head-to-Head & History

History suggests that matches between Mafra and Santarem are competitively fought. While past results offer a glimpse into tactical matchups, this fresh encounter brings new dynamics. The teams have their own recent history to draw upon as they prepare tactically.

Tactical Overview

Tactically, this game could be decided in the midfield battles. Control of possession, defensive discipline, and clinical finishing in the final third are expected to be the deciding factors. Mafra will try to assert dominance early, whereas Santarem might look for opportunities on the break or through set-pieces.

Following the Match

The match atmosphere is expected to be electric, and tracking the game minute-by-minute adds to the excitement. From the first whistle to the final moments, fans can follow every goal, momentum shift, and key event as the drama unfolds on the pitch.

Key Statistics

Beyond the scoreline, the match statistics will tell the deeper story of the performance. Expect close scrutiny on metrics such as shots on target, possession percentages, and corner counts. These figures will illustrate which team effectively controlled the tempo and created the most dangerous chances.

Why This Matters

Three points here could be pivotal for the ambitions of either Mafra or Santarem. Momentum is crucial in Liga 3, and a victory in this match would serve as a significant morale booster for the winning side moving forward in the campaign.