Mali vs Guinea Bissau Expected Goals (xG), Forecast & Details

Sport Picks

Africa

Africa Cup of Nations 2025 Stade du 26 Mars

Scoring Trends

Mali

Guinea Bissau

1.38

Goals Scored

0.38

0.5

Goals Conceded

0.75

1.06 Expected Goals (xG) 0.44

63%

Over 1.5

38%

25%

Over 2.5

13%

Over 3.5

Detailed Analysis

Explore Head-to-Head and Form below for more insights.

Expert Analysis by Omoye ThankGod

Mali hold a slight statistical advantage, though this match remains competitive. Defensive discipline will likely be the priority for both managers.

Their head-to-head record shows a history of competitive battles. The data points towards a tight game, making 'Under' markets particularly attractive. The numbers provide a solid foundation for this match outlook.

Possible Outcome Probability

Match Winner

Home Win53%

Draw27%

Away Win20%

Goals & Scoring

Both Teams to Score39%

Over 1.5 Goals57%

Over 2.5 Goals34%

Match Events

29'

Encada J.

46'

Sub

Sambinha In: Rofino V. G.

Out: Sambinha

59'

Sub

Sinayoko L. In: Traore A.

Out: Sinayoko L.

Previous Encounters

15 Oct 24 AFR

Guinea Bissau

0:0

Mali

11 Oct 24 AFR

Mali ✓

1:0

Guinea Bissau

06 Jan 24 FRI

Mali ✓

6:2

Guinea Bissau

04 Aug 19 AFR

Mali ✓

3:0

Guinea Bissau

27 Jul 19 AFR

Guinea Bissau

0:4

✓ Mali

Recent Form (Last 5)

Mali

Home Team

09 Jan

Mali

0 : 1

Senegal

03 Jan

Mali

2 : 1

Tunisia

29 Dec

Comoros

0 : 0

Mali

26 Dec

Morocco

1 : 1

Mali

22 Dec

Mali

1 : 1

Zambia

Guinea Bissau

Away Team

12 Oct

Egypt

1 : 0

Guinea Bissau

08 Oct

Ethiopia

1 : 0

Guinea Bissau

08 Sept

Guinea Bissau

2 : 0

Djibouti

04 Sept

Guinea Bissau

1 : 1

Sierra Leone

09 Jun

Guinea Bissau

0 : 2

Gabon

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Comoros	6	3	3	0	7:4	12
2	Tunisia	6	3	1	2	7:6	10
3	Gambia	6	2	2	2	6:6	8
4	Madagascar	6	0	2	4	4:8	2

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Morocco	6	6	0	0	26:2	18
2	Gabon	6	3	1	2	7:9	10
3	Lesotho	6	1	1	4	2:13	4
4	Central Africa	6	1	0	5	3:14	3

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Egypt	6	4	2	0	12:2	14
2	Botswana	6	2	2	2	4:7	8
3	Mauritania	6	2	1	3	3:6	7
4	Cape Verde	6	1	1	4	3:7	4

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Nigeria	6	3	2	1	9:3	11
2	Benin	6	2	2	2	7:7	8
3	Rwanda	6	2	2	2	5:7	8
4	Libya	6	1	2	3	3:7	5

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Algeria	6	5	1	0	16:2	16
2	Equatorial Guinea	6	2	2	2	5:8	8
3	Togo	6	1	2	3	7:10	5
4	Liberia	6	1	1	4	4:12	4

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Angola	6	4	2	0	7:2	14
2	Sudan	6	2	2	2	4:6	8
3	Niger	6	2	1	3	7:6	7
4	Ghana	6	0	3	3	3:7	3

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Zambia	6	4	1	1	7:4	13
2	Ivory Coast	6	4	0	2	12:3	12
3	Sierra Leone	6	1	2	3	5:10	5
4	Chad	6	0	3	3	1:8	3

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	D.R. Congo	6	4	0	2	7:3	12
2	Tanzania	6	3	1	2	5:4	10
3	Guinea	6	3	0	3	9:5	9
4	Ethiopia	6	1	1	4	3:12	4

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Mali	6	4	2	0	10:1	14
2	Mozambique	6	3	2	1	9:5	11
3	Guinea Bissau	6	1	2	3	4:6	5
4	Eswatini	6	0	2	4	2:13	2

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Cameroon	6	4	2	0	8:2	14
2	Zimbabwe	6	2	3	1	6:4	9
3	Kenya	6	1	3	2	4:7	6
4	Namibia	6	0	2	4	2:7	2

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	South Africa	6	4	2	0	16:5	14
2	Uganda	6	4	1	1	8:5	13
3	Congo	6	1	1	4	4:12	4
4	South Sudan	6	1	0	5	6:12	3

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Senegal	6	5	1	0	10:1	16
2	Burkina Faso	6	3	1	2	10:7	10
3	Burundi	6	1	1	4	4:11	4
4	Malawi	6	1	1	4	6:11	4

Match Preview: Mali vs Guinea Bissau

Fans of Africa Cup of Nations 2025 turn their attention to the clash involving Mali and Guinea Bissau. Scheduled for Friday, October 11, 2024 at 19:00 UTC, the match will take place at Stade du 26 Mars. Both sides will be looking to make their mark in this scheduled event.

Team Context & Standings

Entering this game, both Mali and Guinea Bissau are focused on their respective objectives for the season. Mali will look to leverage their competitive standing to gain an advantage, while Guinea Bissau aims to improve their league position with a positive result on the road.

Head-to-Head & History

Previous meetings between these two sides often provide context for what to expect. While past results offer a glimpse into tactical matchups, this fresh encounter brings new dynamics. The teams have their own recent history to draw upon as they prepare tactically.

Tactical Overview

Tactically, this game could be decided in the midfield battles. Control of possession, defensive discipline, and clinical finishing in the final third are expected to be the deciding factors. Mali will try to assert dominance early, whereas Guinea Bissau might look for opportunities on the break or through set-pieces.

Following the Match

The match atmosphere is expected to be electric, and tracking the game minute-by-minute adds to the excitement. From the first whistle to the final moments, fans can follow every goal, momentum shift, and key event as the drama unfolds on the pitch.

Key Statistics

Beyond the scoreline, the match statistics will tell the deeper story of the performance. Expect close scrutiny on metrics such as shots on target, possession percentages, and corner counts. These figures will illustrate which team effectively controlled the tempo and created the most dangerous chances.

Why This Matters

Three points here could be pivotal for the ambitions of either Mali or Guinea Bissau. Momentum is crucial in Africa Cup of Nations 2025, and a victory in this match would serve as a significant morale booster for the winning side moving forward in the campaign.