Scoring Trends
Marseille
VS
Toulouse
2.75
Goals Scored
1.38
0.88
Goals Conceded
1.13
75%
Over 1.5
75%
75%
Over 2.5
63%
50%
Over 3.5
13%
Detailed Analysis
Explore Head-to-Head and Form below for more insights.
Expert Analysis by Omoye ThankGod
We see a lean towards Marseille, yet the outcome is far from guaranteed. Both sides have shown a tendency to prioritize attack over defensive solidity.
The historical data reinforces the idea that form often goes out the window here. The scoring trends heavily favor a match with over 2.5 goals. Our model identifies this as the most rational reading of the game.
Match Possible Outcome Percentage
Match Winner
Home Win40%
Draw34%
Away Win26%
Goals & Scoring
Both Teams to Score55%
Over 1.5 Goals74%
Over 2.5 Goals63%
Match Events
14'
14'
Emersonn
Assist: Sidibe D.
42'
42'
Gomes A.
46'
46'
Sub
Gomes A.
In: Vaz R.
Out: Gomes A.
66'
66'
Paixao I.
Assist: Nadir B.
74'
74'
Hojbjerg P.
Assist: Aubameyang P.
75'
75'
Hojbjerg P.
76'
76'
Sub
Vossah A.
In: Messali R.
Out: Vossah A.
76'
76'
Sub
Aguerd N.
In: Balerdi L.
Out: Aguerd N.
77'
77'
Sub
Nadir B.
In: Kondogbia G.
Out: Nadir B.
78'
78'
Sub
Methalie D.
In: Kamanzi W.
Out: Methalie D.
81'
81'
McKenzie M.
85'
85'
Sub
Sidibe D.
In: Vignolo J.
Out: Sidibe D.
85'
85'
Sub
Emersonn
In: Edjouma N.
Out: Emersonn
89'
89'
Sub
Magri F.
In: Hidalgo S.
Out: Magri F.
90'
90'
Sub
Emerson
In: Egan-Riley C.
Out: Emerson
90'
90'
Sub
Paixao I.
In: O'Riley M.
Out: Paixao I.
90'
90'
Hidalgo S.
Assist: McKenzie M.
Previous Encounters
29 Nov 25 LIG
Marseille
2:2
Toulouse
06 Apr 25 LIG
Marseille
✓
3:2
Toulouse
31 Aug 24 LIG
Toulouse
1:3
✓
Marseille
21 Apr 24 LIG
Toulouse
2:2
Marseille
17 Sept 23 LIG
Marseille
0:0
Toulouse
Recent Form (Last 5)
Marseille
Home Team 08 Jan
PSG
3 : 2 Marseille
04 Jan
Marseille
0 : 2 Nantes
21 Dec
Bourg Peronnas
0 : 6 Marseille
14 Dec
Marseille
1 : 0 Monaco
09 Dec
Royale Union SG
2 : 3 Marseille
Toulouse
Away Team 10 Jan
Angers
1 : 2 Toulouse
02 Jan
Toulouse
0 : 3 Lens
20 Dec
Lyon - La Duchere
1 : 2 Toulouse
13 Dec
Paris FC
0 : 3 Toulouse
06 Dec
Toulouse
1 : 0 Strasbourg
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lens | 17 | 13 | 1 | 3 | 31:13 | 40 |
| 2 | PSG | 17 | 12 | 3 | 2 | 37:15 | 39 |
| 3 | Marseille | 17 | 10 | 2 | 5 | 36:17 | 32 |
| 4 | Lille | 17 | 10 | 2 | 5 | 33:22 | 32 |
| 5 | Lyon | 17 | 9 | 3 | 5 | 25:17 | 30 |
| 6 | Rennes | 17 | 8 | 6 | 3 | 29:24 | 30 |
| 7 | Strasbourg | 17 | 7 | 3 | 7 | 26:21 | 24 |
| 8 | Toulouse | 17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 24:22 | 23 |
| 9 | Monaco | 17 | 7 | 2 | 8 | 27:30 | 23 |
| 10 | Angers | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 18:20 | 22 |
| 11 | Brest | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 23:27 | 22 |
| 12 | Lorient | 17 | 4 | 7 | 6 | 20:29 | 19 |
| 13 | Le Havre | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 15:23 | 18 |
| 14 | Nice | 17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 20:30 | 18 |
| 15 | Paris FC | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 22:31 | 16 |
| 16 | Nantes | 17 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 16:28 | 14 |
| 17 | Auxerre | 17 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 14:27 | 12 |
| 18 | Metz | 17 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 18:38 | 12 |
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