Nottingham vs Burnley Expected Goals (xG), Forecast & Details

Sport Picks

England

Premier League City Ground

Scoring Trends

Nottingham

Burnley

1.25

Goals Scored

0.63

1.13

Goals Conceded

1.5

1.38 Expected Goals (xG) 0.88

63%

Over 1.5

63%

Over 2.5

25%

Over 3.5

25%

Detailed Analysis

Explore Head-to-Head and Form below for more insights.

Expert Analysis by Omoye ThankGod

Nottingham hold a slight statistical advantage, though this match remains competitive. The game flow could swing back and forth as teams find their rhythm.

Their head-to-head record shows a history of competitive battles. With teams so evenly matched, the draw offers significant statistical value. The numbers provide a solid foundation for this match outlook.

Possible Outcome Probability

Match Winner

Home Win48%

Draw29%

Away Win23%

Goals & Scoring

Both Teams to Score55%

Over 1.5 Goals80%

Over 2.5 Goals52%

Match Events

42'

Sub

Murillo In: Cunha

Out: Murillo

45'

Flemming Z.

Assist: Hartman Q.

46'

Sub

Bakwa D. In: Igor Jesus

Out: Bakwa D.

Previous Encounters

19 Apr 26 PRE

Nottingham ✓

4:1

Burnley

20 Sept 25 PRE

Burnley

1:1

Nottingham

19 May 24 PRE

Burnley

1:2

✓ Nottingham

18 Sept 23 PRE

Nottingham

1:1

Burnley

30 Aug 23 EFL

Nottingham

0:1

✓ Burnley

Recent Form (Last 5)

Nottingham

Home Team

16 Apr

Nottingham

1 : 0

FC Porto

12 Apr

Nottingham

1 : 1

Aston Villa

09 Apr

FC Porto

1 : 1

Nottingham

22 Mar

Tottenham

0 : 3

Nottingham

19 Mar

Midtjylland

1 : 3

Nottingham

Burnley

Away Team

11 Apr

Burnley

0 : 2

Brighton

21 Mar

Fulham

3 : 1

Burnley

14 Mar

Burnley

0 : 0

Bournemouth

03 Mar

Everton

2 : 0

Burnley

28 Feb

Burnley

3 : 4

Brentford

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Arsenal	32	21	7	4	62:24	70
2	Manchester City	31	19	7	5	63:28	64
3	Manchester United	33	16	10	7	58:45	58
4	Aston Villa	32	16	7	9	43:38	55
5	Liverpool	32	15	7	10	52:42	52
6	Chelsea	33	13	9	11	53:42	48
7	Brentford	33	13	9	11	48:44	48
8	Bournemouth	33	11	15	7	50:50	48
9	Brighton	33	12	11	10	45:39	47
10	Everton	32	13	8	11	39:37	47
11	Sunderland	32	12	10	10	33:36	46
12	Fulham	33	13	6	14	43:46	45
13	Crystal Palace	31	11	9	11	35:36	42
14	Newcastle Utd	33	12	6	15	46:49	42
15	Leeds	33	9	12	12	42:49	39
16	Nottingham	32	8	9	15	32:44	33
17	West Ham	32	8	8	16	40:57	32
18	Tottenham	33	7	10	16	42:53	31
19	Burnley	32	4	8	20	33:63	20
20	Wolves	33	3	8	22	24:61	17

Match Preview: Nottingham vs Burnley

Nottingham welcomes Burnley for what is shaping up to be a crucial match in Premier League. Scheduled for Sunday, April 19, 2026 at 13:00 UTC, the match will take place at City Ground. Both sides will be looking to make their mark in this scheduled event.

Team Context & Standings

Entering this game, both Nottingham and Burnley are focused on their respective objectives for the season. Nottingham will look to leverage their competitive standing to gain an advantage, while Burnley aims to improve their league position with a positive result on the road.

Head-to-Head & History

Previous meetings between these two sides often provide context for what to expect. While past results offer a glimpse into tactical matchups, this fresh encounter brings new dynamics. The teams have their own recent history to draw upon as they prepare tactically.

Tactical Overview

The flow of the match will likely depend on which team settles into their rhythm first. Control of possession, defensive discipline, and clinical finishing in the final third are expected to be the deciding factors. Nottingham will try to assert dominance early, whereas Burnley might look for opportunities on the break or through set-pieces.

Following the Match

The match atmosphere is expected to be electric, and tracking the game minute-by-minute adds to the excitement. From the first whistle to the final moments, fans can follow every goal, momentum shift, and key event as the drama unfolds on the pitch.

Key Statistics

Modern football is often defined by the underlying numbers. Expect close scrutiny on metrics such as shots on target, possession percentages, and corner counts. These figures will illustrate which team effectively controlled the tempo and created the most dangerous chances.

Why This Matters

Ultimately, this fixture carries weight for the season's broader narrative. Momentum is crucial in Premier League, and a victory in this match would serve as a significant morale booster for the winning side moving forward in the campaign.