Perugia vs Gubbio Expected Goals (xG), Forecast & Details

Sport Picks

Italy

Serie C - Group B Stadio Renato Curi

Scoring Trends

Perugia

Gubbio

1.13

Goals Scored

0.88

Goals Conceded

0.5

0.81 Expected Goals (xG) 0.94

75%

Over 1.5

25%

38%

Over 2.5

13%

Over 3.5

Detailed Analysis

Explore Head-to-Head and Form below for more insights.

Expert Analysis by Omoye ThankGod

Gubbio hold a slight statistical advantage, though this match remains competitive. Defensive discipline will likely be the priority for both managers.

Their head-to-head record shows a history of competitive battles. The data points towards a tight game, making 'Under' markets particularly attractive. The numbers provide a solid foundation for this match outlook.

Possible Outcome Probability

Match Winner

Home Win27%

Draw35%

Away Win38%

Goals & Scoring

Both Teams to Score46%

Over 1.5 Goals59%

Over 2.5 Goals29%

Match Events

41'

Megelaitis L.

55'

Sub

Zallu F. In: Di Massimo A.

Out: Zallu F.

55'

Sub

Djankpata H. In: Murru N.

Out: Djankpata H.

Previous Encounters

18 Jan 26 SER

Perugia

0:1

✓ Gubbio

06 Sept 25 SER

Gubbio

1:1

Perugia

20 Jan 25 SER

Gubbio ✓

1:0

Perugia

15 Sept 24 SER

Perugia

1:1

Gubbio

17 Mar 24 SER

Gubbio

0:1

✓ Perugia

Recent Form (Last 5)

Perugia

Home Team

20 Mar

Perugia

1 : 1

Sassari Torres

15 Mar

Arezzo

1 : 1

Perugia

09 Mar

Perugia

2 : 1

US Pontedera

04 Mar

Livorno

1 : 2

Perugia

28 Feb

Perugia

0 : 1

Pineto

Gubbio

Away Team

21 Mar

Juventus U23

2 : 2

Gubbio

15 Mar

Gubbio

1 : 3

Ascoli

08 Mar

Ternana

0 : 1

Gubbio

04 Mar

Gubbio

2 : 1

Carpi

01 Mar

Guidonia 1937

0 : 1

Gubbio

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Arezzo	31	21	7	3	54:20	70
2	Ascoli	31	19	8	4	55:20	65
3	Ravenna	32	18	7	7	45:30	61
4	Pineto	31	13	9	9	41:38	48
5	Campobasso	31	14	8	9	43:35	48
6	Pianese	31	10	14	7	33:30	44
7	Juventus U23	31	12	8	11	39:38	44
8	Gubbio	31	10	13	8	28:26	43
9	Vis Pesaro	31	10	13	8	32:29	43
10	Ternana	31	13	9	9	37:31	43
11	Livorno	32	10	7	15	33:46	37
12	Guidonia 1937	31	8	12	11	25:28	36
13	Forli FC	31	9	8	14	38:46	35
14	Carpi	32	8	10	14	30:42	34
15	Perugia	31	7	11	13	32:38	32
16	Sassari Torres	32	5	16	11	28:41	31
17	Sambenedettese	32	6	11	15	25:34	29
18	Bra	31	5	11	15	32:49	26
19	US Pontedera	31	3	10	18	26:55	19
20	Rimini	0	0	0	0	0:0	0

Match Preview: Perugia vs Gubbio

Perugia welcomes Gubbio for what is shaping up to be a crucial match in Serie C - Group B. Scheduled for Sunday, January 18, 2026 at 13:30 UTC, the match will take place at Stadio Renato Curi. Both sides will be looking to make their mark in this scheduled event.

Team Context & Standings

Entering this game, both Perugia and Gubbio are focused on their respective objectives for the season. Perugia will look to leverage their competitive standing to gain an advantage, while Gubbio aims to improve their league position with a positive result on the road.

Head-to-Head & History

History suggests that matches between Perugia and Gubbio are competitively fought. While past results offer a glimpse into tactical matchups, this fresh encounter brings new dynamics. The teams have their own recent history to draw upon as they prepare tactically.

Tactical Overview

The flow of the match will likely depend on which team settles into their rhythm first. Control of possession, defensive discipline, and clinical finishing in the final third are expected to be the deciding factors. Perugia will try to assert dominance early, whereas Gubbio might look for opportunities on the break or through set-pieces.

Following the Match

The match atmosphere is expected to be electric, and tracking the game minute-by-minute adds to the excitement. From the first whistle to the final moments, fans can follow every goal, momentum shift, and key event as the drama unfolds on the pitch.

Key Statistics

Beyond the scoreline, the match statistics will tell the deeper story of the performance. Expect close scrutiny on metrics such as shots on target, possession percentages, and corner counts. These figures will illustrate which team effectively controlled the tempo and created the most dangerous chances.

Why This Matters

Three points here could be pivotal for the ambitions of either Perugia or Gubbio. Momentum is crucial in Serie C - Group B, and a victory in this match would serve as a significant morale booster for the winning side moving forward in the campaign.