Rijeka vs Varazdin Expected Goals (xG), Forecast & Details

Sport Picks

Croatia

HNL Stadion HNK Rijeka

Scoring Trends

Rijeka

Varazdin

1.63

Goals Scored

0.63

Goals Conceded

1.81 Expected Goals (xG) 0.81

50%

Over 1.5

100%

38%

Over 2.5

63%

38%

Over 3.5

38%

Detailed Analysis

Explore Head-to-Head and Form below for more insights.

Expert Analysis by Omoye ThankGod

This clash between Rijeka and Varazdin appears balanced with little difference between the two sides. The game flow could swing back and forth as teams find their rhythm.

Their head-to-head record shows a history of competitive battles. With teams so evenly matched, the draw offers significant statistical value. The numbers provide a solid foundation for this match outlook.

Possible Outcome Probability

Match Winner

Home Win45%

Draw17%

Away Win38%

Goals & Scoring

Both Teams to Score55%

Over 1.5 Goals72%

Over 2.5 Goals52%

Match Events

10'

Fruk T.

11'

Juric A.

20'

Dantas T.

Assist: Fruk T.

Previous Encounters

14 Feb 26 HNL

Rijeka ✓

3:1

Varazdin

09 Nov 25 HNL

Varazdin ✓

1:0

Rijeka

24 Aug 25 HNL

Rijeka

1:2

✓ Varazdin

13 Apr 25 HNL

Rijeka ✓

1:0

Varazdin

01 Feb 25 HNL

Varazdin ✓

1:0

Rijeka

Recent Form (Last 5)

Rijeka

Home Team

19 Mar

Strasbourg

1 : 1

Rijeka

15 Mar

Rijeka

0 : 2

Istra 1961

12 Mar

Rijeka

1 : 2

Strasbourg

08 Mar

Vukovar 1991

0 : 1

Rijeka

04 Mar

Rijeka

3 : 2

Hajduk Split

Varazdin

Away Team

20 Mar

Istra 1961

2 : 1

Varazdin

13 Mar

Varazdin

2 : 0

Vukovar 1991

07 Mar

Lok. Zagreb

1 : 1

Varazdin

04 Mar

Varazdin

1 : 3

HNK Gorica

28 Feb

Varazdin

1 : 1

Hajduk Split

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Din. Zagreb	27	20	3	4	68:22	63
2	Hajduk Split	27	16	5	6	45:25	53
3	Rijeka	26	10	8	8	37:27	38
4	Varazdin	27	10	7	10	34:38	37
5	Istra 1961	27	10	6	11	33:37	36
6	Slaven Belupo	26	9	8	9	37:42	35
7	Lok. Zagreb	27	7	9	11	31:45	30
8	HNK Gorica	26	7	7	12	29:38	28
9	Osijek	26	5	9	12	22:36	24
10	Vukovar 1991	27	4	8	15	26:52	20

Match Preview: Rijeka vs Varazdin

The upcoming fixture between Rijeka and Varazdin promises to be an engaging encounter in HNL. Scheduled for Saturday, February 14, 2026 at 16:15 UTC, the match will take place at Stadion HNK Rijeka. Both sides will be looking to make their mark in this scheduled event.

Team Context & Standings

The context of this match is defined by the current standings and the ambitions of both squads. Rijeka will look to leverage their competitive standing to gain an advantage, while Varazdin aims to improve their league position with a positive result on the road.

Head-to-Head & History

Previous meetings between these two sides often provide context for what to expect. While past results offer a glimpse into tactical matchups, this fresh encounter brings new dynamics. The teams have their own recent history to draw upon as they prepare tactically.

Tactical Overview

Tactically, this game could be decided in the midfield battles. Control of possession, defensive discipline, and clinical finishing in the final third are expected to be the deciding factors. Rijeka will try to assert dominance early, whereas Varazdin might look for opportunities on the break or through set-pieces.

Following the Match

The match atmosphere is expected to be electric, and tracking the game minute-by-minute adds to the excitement. From the first whistle to the final moments, fans can follow every goal, momentum shift, and key event as the drama unfolds on the pitch.

Key Statistics

Modern football is often defined by the underlying numbers. Expect close scrutiny on metrics such as shots on target, possession percentages, and corner counts. These figures will illustrate which team effectively controlled the tempo and created the most dangerous chances.

Why This Matters

Three points here could be pivotal for the ambitions of either Rijeka or Varazdin. Momentum is crucial in HNL, and a victory in this match would serve as a significant morale booster for the winning side moving forward in the campaign.