Shrewsbury vs Notts County Expected Goals (xG), Forecast & Details

Sport Picks

England

League Two The Croud Meadow

Scoring Trends

Shrewsbury

Notts County

1.75

Goals Scored

2.38

1.13

Goals Conceded

1.13

1.44 Expected Goals (xG) 1.75

88%

Over 1.5

75%

63%

Over 2.5

63%

25%

Over 3.5

50%

Detailed Analysis

Explore Head-to-Head and Form below for more insights.

Expert Analysis by Omoye ThankGod

This clash between Shrewsbury and Notts County appears balanced with little difference between the two sides. The game flow could swing back and forth as teams find their rhythm.

Their head-to-head record shows a history of competitive battles. With teams so evenly matched, the draw offers significant statistical value. The numbers provide a solid foundation for this match outlook.

Possible Outcome Probability

Match Winner

Home Win37%

Draw17%

Away Win46%

Goals & Scoring

Both Teams to Score56%

Over 1.5 Goals73%

Over 2.5 Goals52%

Match Events

30'

Sub

Scully A. In: McDermott T.

Out: Scully A.

54'

Perry T.

57'

Sub

Tangen H. In: Ndlovu L.

Out: Tangen H.

Previous Encounters

17 Feb 26 LEA

Shrewsbury ✓

1:0

Notts County

20 Aug 25 LEA

Notts County ✓

4:1

Shrewsbury

13 Aug 24 EFL

Shrewsbury ✓

4:3

Notts County

01 Dec 23 FAC

Notts County

2:3

✓ Shrewsbury

29 Jul 23 CLU

Shrewsbury

1:1

Notts County

Recent Form (Last 5)

Shrewsbury

Home Team

21 Mar

Shrewsbury

0 : 4

Crewe

17 Mar

Bristol Rovers

1 : 0

Shrewsbury

14 Mar

Shrewsbury

0 : 2

Cheltenham

07 Mar

Chesterfield

2 : 3

Shrewsbury

28 Feb

Shrewsbury

1 : 2

Walsall

Notts County

Away Team

21 Mar

Notts County

5 : 2

Cheltenham

17 Mar

Accrington

0 : 4

Notts County

14 Mar

Notts County

2 : 3

Chesterfield

07 Mar

Walsall

1 : 2

Notts County

28 Feb

Notts County

0 : 1

Grimsby

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Bromley	39	22	13	4	62:36	79
2	Milton Keynes Dons	39	21	11	7	76:40	74
3	Cambridge Utd	38	20	12	6	56:28	72
4	Notts County	38	21	7	10	65:39	70
5	Swindon	39	21	6	12	63:45	69
6	Salford	39	21	4	14	54:48	67
7	Grimsby	38	17	11	10	56:40	62
8	Chesterfield	39	16	14	9	61:52	62
9	Crewe	39	17	9	13	58:47	60
10	Walsall	39	17	9	13	48:41	60
11	Oldham	37	15	13	9	44:31	58
12	Barnet	39	15	12	12	49:43	57
13	Fleetwood Town	39	14	12	13	48:46	54
14	Colchester	38	14	11	13	50:41	53
15	Accrington	38	13	9	16	38:42	48
16	Gillingham	38	11	12	15	44:56	45
17	Bristol Rovers	39	13	4	22	40:60	43
18	Cheltenham	38	11	9	18	43:65	42
19	Shrewsbury	39	11	8	20	37:63	41
20	Tranmere	39	9	9	21	48:69	36
21	Crawley Town	39	6	13	20	36:60	31
22	Newport	39	8	7	24	39:67	31
23	Harrogate	39	7	9	23	29:58	30
24	Barrow	38	7	8	23	36:63	29

Match Preview: Shrewsbury vs Notts County

The upcoming fixture between Shrewsbury and Notts County promises to be an engaging encounter in League Two. Scheduled for Tuesday, February 17, 2026 at 19:45 UTC, the match will take place at The Croud Meadow. Both sides will be looking to make their mark in this scheduled event.

Team Context & Standings

The context of this match is defined by the current standings and the ambitions of both squads. Shrewsbury will look to leverage their competitive standing to gain an advantage, while Notts County aims to improve their league position with a positive result on the road.

Head-to-Head & History

History suggests that matches between Shrewsbury and Notts County are competitively fought. While past results offer a glimpse into tactical matchups, this fresh encounter brings new dynamics. The teams have their own recent history to draw upon as they prepare tactically.

Tactical Overview

Tactically, this game could be decided in the midfield battles. Control of possession, defensive discipline, and clinical finishing in the final third are expected to be the deciding factors. Shrewsbury will try to assert dominance early, whereas Notts County might look for opportunities on the break or through set-pieces.

Following the Match

The match atmosphere is expected to be electric, and tracking the game minute-by-minute adds to the excitement. From the first whistle to the final moments, fans can follow every goal, momentum shift, and key event as the drama unfolds on the pitch.

Key Statistics

Modern football is often defined by the underlying numbers. Expect close scrutiny on metrics such as shots on target, possession percentages, and corner counts. These figures will illustrate which team effectively controlled the tempo and created the most dangerous chances.

Why This Matters

Three points here could be pivotal for the ambitions of either Shrewsbury or Notts County. Momentum is crucial in League Two, and a victory in this match would serve as a significant morale booster for the winning side moving forward in the campaign.