Smouha vs Al Ahly Expected Goals (xG), Forecast & Details

Sport Picks

Egypt

Premier League Alexandria Stadium

Scoring Trends

Smouha

Al Ahly

1.43

Goals Scored

1.25

0.86

Goals Conceded

0.38

0.91 Expected Goals (xG) 1.05

57%

Over 1.5

63%

57%

Over 2.5

13%

14%

Over 3.5

13%

Detailed Analysis

Explore Head-to-Head and Form below for more insights.

Expert Analysis by Omoye ThankGod

This clash between Smouha and Al Ahly appears balanced with little difference between the two sides. Defensive discipline will likely be the priority for both managers.

Their head-to-head record shows a history of competitive battles. The data points towards a tight game, making 'Under' markets particularly attractive. The numbers provide a solid foundation for this match outlook.

Possible Outcome Probability

Match Winner

Home Win31%

Draw29%

Away Win40%

Goals & Scoring

Both Teams to Score41%

Over 1.5 Goals56%

Over 2.5 Goals30%

Match Events

18'

Sub

Marei Y. In: Reyad H.

Out: Marei Y.

30'

Otaka M.

38'

El Ghandour K.

Previous Encounters

23 Feb 26 PRE

Smouha

0:1

✓ Al Ahly

07 Jan 25 PRE

Al Ahly ✓

2:0

Smouha

08 Aug 24 PRE

Smouha

0:1

✓ Al Ahly

28 Nov 23 PRE

Al Ahly

0:0

Smouha

17 Apr 23 PRE

Smouha

0:2

✓ Al Ahly

Recent Form (Last 5)

Smouha

Home Team

07 Mar

Smouha

3 : 0

Modern Sport

01 Mar

National Bank Egypt

1 : 3

Smouha

23 Feb

Smouha

0 : 1

Al Ahly

16 Feb

Al Ittihad Alexandria

1 : 0

Smouha

11 Feb

Zamalek

1 : 0

Smouha

Al Ahly

Away Team

15 Mar

Esperance Tunis

1 : 0

Al Ahly

09 Mar

El Gaish

2 : 1

Al Ahly

05 Mar

Arab Contractors (Al Mokawloon)

1 : 3

Al Ahly

28 Feb

Al Ahly

1 : 1

ZED FC

23 Feb

Smouha

0 : 1

Al Ahly

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Zamalek	20	13	4	3	32:13	43
2	Pyramids	20	13	4	3	33:15	43
3	Al Ahly	20	11	7	2	33:19	40
4	Ceramica Cleopatra	20	11	5	4	29:16	38
5	Al Masry	20	8	8	4	29:20	32
6	Smouha	20	8	7	5	21:13	31
7	Enppi	20	7	9	4	20:16	30
8	Wadi Degla	20	7	8	5	23:20	29
9	ZED FC	20	7	8	5	21:16	29
10	El Gouna	20	6	10	4	16:15	28
11	National Bank Egypt	20	5	11	4	18:14	26
12	Petrojet	20	5	10	5	21:23	25
13	Modern Sport	20	5	8	7	18:24	23
14	El Gaish	20	5	7	8	14:24	22
15	Al Ittihad Alexandria	20	6	2	12	15:24	20
16	Ghazl El Mahallah	20	2	13	5	12:15	19
17	Arab Contractors (Al Mokawloon)	20	3	9	8	13:21	18
18	Haras El Hodood	20	4	5	11	15:29	17
19	Kahrabaa Ismailia	20	4	4	12	22:37	16
20	Pharco FC	20	2	9	9	8:22	15
21	El Ismaily	20	3	2	15	11:28	11

Match Preview: Smouha vs Al Ahly

The upcoming fixture between Smouha and Al Ahly promises to be an engaging encounter in Premier League. Scheduled for Monday, February 23, 2026 at 19:30 UTC, the match will take place at Alexandria Stadium. Both sides will be looking to make their mark in this scheduled event.

Team Context & Standings

Entering this game, both Smouha and Al Ahly are focused on their respective objectives for the season. Smouha will look to leverage their competitive standing to gain an advantage, while Al Ahly aims to improve their league position with a positive result on the road.

Head-to-Head & History

History suggests that matches between Smouha and Al Ahly are competitively fought. While past results offer a glimpse into tactical matchups, this fresh encounter brings new dynamics. The teams have their own recent history to draw upon as they prepare tactically.

Tactical Overview

The flow of the match will likely depend on which team settles into their rhythm first. Control of possession, defensive discipline, and clinical finishing in the final third are expected to be the deciding factors. Smouha will try to assert dominance early, whereas Al Ahly might look for opportunities on the break or through set-pieces.

Following the Match

The match atmosphere is expected to be electric, and tracking the game minute-by-minute adds to the excitement. From the first whistle to the final moments, fans can follow every goal, momentum shift, and key event as the drama unfolds on the pitch.

Key Statistics

Beyond the scoreline, the match statistics will tell the deeper story of the performance. Expect close scrutiny on metrics such as shots on target, possession percentages, and corner counts. These figures will illustrate which team effectively controlled the tempo and created the most dangerous chances.

Why This Matters

Three points here could be pivotal for the ambitions of either Smouha or Al Ahly. Momentum is crucial in Premier League, and a victory in this match would serve as a significant morale booster for the winning side moving forward in the campaign.