Southport vs Merthyr Town Expected Goals (xG), Forecast & Details

Sport Picks

England

National League North

Scoring Trends

Southport

Merthyr Town

1.38

Goals Scored

2.38

0.88

Goals Conceded

2.25

1.81 Expected Goals (xG) 1.63

75%

Over 1.5

100%

50%

Over 2.5

100%

13%

Over 3.5

75%

Detailed Analysis

Explore Head-to-Head and Form below for more insights.

Expert Analysis by Omoye ThankGod

This clash between Southport and Merthyr Town appears balanced with little difference between the two sides. Recent suggest an open game with likely chances at both ends.

With no recent competitive history, this is a fresh tactical challenge for both. Considering both teams' scoring consistency, goals on both ends seem highly likely. The numbers provide a solid foundation for this match outlook.

Possible Outcome Probability

Match Winner

Home Win43%

Draw18%

Away Win39%

Goals & Scoring

Both Teams to Score71%

Over 1.5 Goals83%

Over 2.5 Goals64%

Match Events

90'

McKenzie M.

Previous Encounters

24 Jan 26 NAT

Southport ✓

1:0

Merthyr Town

09 Aug 25 NAT

Merthyr Town ✓

2:0

Southport

Recent Form (Last 5)

Southport

Home Team

21 Mar

Chester

1 : 2

Southport

17 Mar

Southport

2 : 1

Alfreton

14 Mar

Southport

1 : 3

Oxford City

10 Mar

Southport

2 : 0

Spennymoor

07 Mar

Peterborough Sports

0 : 1

Southport

Merthyr Town

Away Team

21 Mar

South Shields

4 : 1

Merthyr Town

14 Mar

Merthyr Town

2 : 3

Spennymoor

10 Mar

Merthyr Town

1 : 2

Chester

07 Mar

Radcliffe

1 : 3

Merthyr Town

28 Feb

Merthyr Town

1 : 3

Buxton

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	AFC Fylde	39	27	4	8	94:42	85
2	South Shields	39	25	9	5	85:36	84
3	Kidderminster	38	19	12	7	56:39	69
4	Macclesfield	38	20	7	11	70:55	67
5	Merthyr Town	40	21	3	16	87:73	66
6	Darlington FC	40	19	8	13	71:55	65
7	Scarborough Athletic	40	16	14	10	55:47	62
8	Telford	40	16	12	12	77:54	60
9	Buxton	39	17	6	16	65:53	57
10	Chester	40	15	12	13	58:62	57
11	Spennymoor	39	16	9	14	54:64	57
12	Radcliffe	39	17	5	17	65:63	56
13	Marine	37	16	7	14	51:55	55
14	Southport	40	13	12	15	55:61	51
15	Chorley	39	13	10	16	60:59	49
16	King’s Lynn	40	12	13	15	52:55	49
17	Curzon Ashton	40	12	11	17	59:74	47
18	Worksop	40	13	8	19	52:69	47
19	Bedford	40	11	10	19	56:70	43
20	Oxford City	39	11	9	19	49:59	42
21	Hereford	36	10	8	18	49:65	38
22	Peterborough Sports	40	10	7	23	43:75	37
23	Alfreton	38	9	10	19	36:69	37
24	Leamington	40	5	8	27	30:75	23

Match Preview: Southport vs Merthyr Town

Fans of National League North turn their attention to the clash involving Southport and Merthyr Town. Scheduled for Saturday, January 24, 2026 at 15:00 UTC, the match will take place at the stadium. Both sides will be looking to make their mark in this scheduled event.

Team Context & Standings

Entering this game, both Southport and Merthyr Town are focused on their respective objectives for the season. Southport will look to leverage their competitive standing to gain an advantage, while Merthyr Town aims to improve their league position with a positive result on the road.

Head-to-Head & History

Previous meetings between these two sides often provide context for what to expect. While past results offer a glimpse into tactical matchups, this fresh encounter brings new dynamics. The teams have their own recent history to draw upon as they prepare tactically.

Tactical Overview

The flow of the match will likely depend on which team settles into their rhythm first. Control of possession, defensive discipline, and clinical finishing in the final third are expected to be the deciding factors. Southport will try to assert dominance early, whereas Merthyr Town might look for opportunities on the break or through set-pieces.

Following the Match

The match atmosphere is expected to be electric, and tracking the game minute-by-minute adds to the excitement. From the first whistle to the final moments, fans can follow every goal, momentum shift, and key event as the drama unfolds on the pitch.

Key Statistics

Modern football is often defined by the underlying numbers. Expect close scrutiny on metrics such as shots on target, possession percentages, and corner counts. These figures will illustrate which team effectively controlled the tempo and created the most dangerous chances.

Why This Matters

Three points here could be pivotal for the ambitions of either Southport or Merthyr Town. Momentum is crucial in National League North, and a victory in this match would serve as a significant morale booster for the winning side moving forward in the campaign.