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St. Louis City vs Austin FC

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MLS CITYPARK
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

St. Louis City play Austin FC in the MLS. It looks like a close match. Recently, St. Louis City averaged 1.63 goals scored and 1.5 conceded. Austin FC averaged 1.38 goals scored and 2.5 conceded. In past meetings, St. Louis City won 3, Austin FC won 2, and they drew 0. Their last match on May 23, 2026 ended 3:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 2.06 for St. Louis City and 1.44 for Austin FC. This points to a St. Louis City double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
St. Louis City
6%
Draws
4%
Austin FC
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: St. Louis City

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • St. Louis City has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Austin FC.
  • Model forecasts a 90% win probability edge for St. Louis City.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in MLS provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
St. Louis City Clean Sheet 16%
Austin FC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric St. Louis City Austin FC
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 11 7
Draws 7 7
Losses 10 16
Goals Scored 1.63 1.38
Goals Conceded 1.5 2.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 2.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 23, 2026 MLS
St. Louis City vs Austin FC
3:0
May 3, 2026 MLS
Austin FC vs St. Louis City
2:0
Feb 7, 2026 Club Friendly
St. Louis City vs Austin FC
1:0
Oct 5, 2025 MLS
Austin FC vs St. Louis City
1:3
Mar 30, 2025 MLS
St. Louis City vs Austin FC
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

St. Louis City Compare

Top Goalscorer Fall F.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Edelman D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Austin FC Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

St. Louis City 84 / 100
Austin FC 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
St. Louis City Austin FC

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SLC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

St. Louis City scored in 79% of their last 28 games.

Austin FC let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

St. Louis City went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Austin FC lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

St. Louis City VS Austin FC
1.63 Goals Scored 1.38
1.5 Goals Conceded 2.5
88% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Vancouver Whitecaps14102234:1232
2San Jose Earthquakes15102334:1532
3Real Salt Lake1482426:1926
4FC Dallas1574430:2225
5Los Angeles FC1573524:1724
6Seattle Sounders1373317:1124
7Houston Dynamo1471619:2322
8Minnesota United1564518:2222
9Los Angeles Galaxy1555522:2220
10San Diego FC1545630:2717
11Colorado Rapids1551925:2416
12St. Louis City1444616:2016
13Portland Timbers1442822:2814
14Austin FC1535719:3114
15Sporting Kansas City1432914:3611
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Nashville SC14103131:1133
2Inter Miami1594239:2831
3Chicago Fire1482427:1626
4New England Revolution1481522:1825
5New York Red Bulls1564525:3222
6Charlotte FC1563624:2321
7FC Cincinnati1555536:3720
8New York City1554625:2119
9DC United1546521:2518
10Columbus Crew1544721:2316
11CF Montreal1442822:3114
12Orlando City1542923:4414
13Toronto FC1435622:2914
14Atlanta United1432914:2311
15Philadelphia Union15141018:307