St. Pauli vs Freiburg Expected Goals (xG), Forecast & Details

Sport Picks

Germany

Bundesliga Millerntor-Stadion

Scoring Trends

St. Pauli

Freiburg

0.75

Goals Scored

1.63

Goals Conceded

1.5

1.13 Expected Goals (xG) 1.31

75%

Over 1.5

63%

Over 2.5

50%

13%

Over 3.5

13%

Detailed Analysis

Explore Head-to-Head and Form below for more insights.

Expert Analysis by Omoye ThankGod

Freiburg enter this game as clear favorites to control the proceedings. Recent suggest an open game with likely chances at both ends.

Their head-to-head record shows a history of competitive battles. The data points towards a tight game, making 'Under' markets particularly attractive. The numbers provide a solid foundation for this match outlook.

Possible Outcome Probability

Match Winner

Home Win29%

Draw15%

Away Win56%

Goals & Scoring

Both Teams to Score54%

Over 1.5 Goals75%

Over 2.5 Goals58%

Match Events

14'

Ando T.

24'

Sinani D.

Assist: Ando T.

46'

Sub

Beste J. In: Irie C.

Out: Beste J.

Previous Encounters

22 Mar 26 BUN

St. Pauli

1:2

✓ Freiburg

09 Nov 25 BUN

Freiburg ✓

2:1

St. Pauli

15 Feb 25 BUN

St. Pauli

0:1

✓ Freiburg

28 Sept 24 BUN

Freiburg

0:3

✓ St. Pauli

19 Oct 22 POK

Freiburg ✓

2:1

St. Pauli

Recent Form (Last 5)

St. Pauli

Home Team

22 Mar

St. Pauli

1 : 2

Freiburg

13 Mar

B. Monchengladbach

2 : 0

St. Pauli

08 Mar

St. Pauli

0 : 0

Eintracht Frankfurt

28 Feb

Hoffenheim

0 : 1

St. Pauli

22 Feb

St. Pauli

2 : 1

Werder Bremen

Freiburg

Away Team

22 Mar

St. Pauli

1 : 2

Freiburg

19 Mar

Freiburg

5 : 1

Genk

15 Mar

Freiburg

0 : 1

Union Berlin

12 Mar

Genk

1 : 0

Freiburg

07 Mar

Freiburg

3 : 3

Bayer Leverkusen

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Bayern Munich	27	22	4	1	97:25	70
2	Dortmund	27	18	7	2	58:28	61
3	VfB Stuttgart	27	16	5	6	56:36	53
4	RB Leipzig	27	15	5	7	53:35	50
5	Hoffenheim	27	15	5	7	54:39	50
6	Bayer Leverkusen	27	13	7	7	52:36	46
7	Eintracht Frankfurt	27	10	8	9	50:51	38
8	Freiburg	27	10	7	10	39:44	37
9	Union Berlin	27	8	7	12	31:46	31
10	Augsburg	27	9	4	14	33:50	31
11	Mainz	27	7	9	11	33:42	30
12	Hamburger	27	7	9	11	31:40	30
13	B. Monchengladbach	27	7	8	12	33:46	29
14	Werder Bremen	27	7	7	13	30:47	28
15	1. FC Koln	27	6	8	13	38:47	26
16	St. Pauli	27	6	6	15	24:44	24
17	Wolfsburg	27	5	6	16	35:57	21
18	Heidenheim	27	3	6	18	27:61	15

Match Preview: St. Pauli vs Freiburg

St. Pauli welcomes Freiburg for what is shaping up to be a crucial match in Bundesliga. Scheduled for Sunday, March 22, 2026 at 16:30 UTC, the match will take place at Millerntor-Stadion. Both sides will be looking to make their mark in this scheduled event.

Team Context & Standings

Entering this game, both St. Pauli and Freiburg are focused on their respective objectives for the season. St. Pauli will look to leverage their competitive standing to gain an advantage, while Freiburg aims to improve their league position with a positive result on the road.

Head-to-Head & History

Previous meetings between these two sides often provide context for what to expect. While past results offer a glimpse into tactical matchups, this fresh encounter brings new dynamics. The teams have their own recent history to draw upon as they prepare tactically.

Tactical Overview

The flow of the match will likely depend on which team settles into their rhythm first. Control of possession, defensive discipline, and clinical finishing in the final third are expected to be the deciding factors. St. Pauli will try to assert dominance early, whereas Freiburg might look for opportunities on the break or through set-pieces.

Following the Match

For those following the action, staying updated is key. From the first whistle to the final moments, fans can follow every goal, momentum shift, and key event as the drama unfolds on the pitch.

Key Statistics

Modern football is often defined by the underlying numbers. Expect close scrutiny on metrics such as shots on target, possession percentages, and corner counts. These figures will illustrate which team effectively controlled the tempo and created the most dangerous chances.

Why This Matters

Three points here could be pivotal for the ambitions of either St. Pauli or Freiburg. Momentum is crucial in Bundesliga, and a victory in this match would serve as a significant morale booster for the winning side moving forward in the campaign.