Sport Picks
Sturm Graz vs Hearts
Europe
Champions League Merkur-Arena 
AI Match Summary
Sturm Graz play Hearts in the Champions League. It looks like a close match. Recently, Sturm Graz averaged 1.88 goals scored and 0.75 conceded. Hearts averaged 1.43 goals scored and 1.14 conceded. In past meetings, Sturm Graz won 3, Hearts won 1, and they drew 1. Their last match on May 12, 2025 ended 3-1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.51 for Sturm Graz and 1.09 for Hearts. This points to a Hearts double chance or over markets.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Hearts has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Sturm Graz.
- Model forecasts a 50% win probability edge for Sturm Graz.
- Cup tournament structure in Champions League increases high-stakes performance focus.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Sturm Graz | Hearts |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 29 |
| Wins | 11 | 15 |
| Draws | 11 | 6 |
| Losses | 6 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 1.88 | 1.43 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.75 | 1.14 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.88 | 1.43 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 0.75 | 1.14 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sokapicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Sokapicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Sturm Graz scored in 86% of their last 28 games.
Hearts let in goals in 62% of their last 29 matches.
Games between these two average 3.00 goals.
Sturm Graz went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Hearts lost 2 of their last 5 games.