Tanzania vs Ethiopia Expected Goals (xG), Forecast & Details

Sport Picks

Africa

Africa Cup of Nations 2025 Benjamin Mkapa National Stadium

Scoring Trends

Tanzania

Ethiopia

0.5

Goals Scored

0.83

1.25

Goals Conceded

1.17

0.83 Expected Goals (xG) 1.04

38%

Over 1.5

67%

13%

Over 2.5

33%

13%

Over 3.5

17%

Detailed Analysis

Explore Head-to-Head and Form below for more insights.

Expert Analysis by Omoye ThankGod

This clash between Tanzania and Ethiopia appears balanced with little difference between the two sides. Defensive discipline will likely be the priority for both managers.

Their head-to-head record shows a history of competitive battles. The data points towards a tight game, making 'Under' markets particularly attractive. The numbers provide a solid foundation for this match outlook.

Possible Outcome Probability

Match Winner

Home Win37%

Draw26%

Away Win37%

Goals & Scoring

Both Teams to Score33%

Over 1.5 Goals67%

Over 2.5 Goals34%

Match Events

30'

Wolde B.

46'

Sub

Kibabage N. In: Msindo P.

Out: Kibabage N.

46'

Sub

Belay B. In: Fikre B.

Out: Belay B.

Previous Encounters

16 Nov 24 AFR

Ethiopia

0:2

✓ Tanzania

04 Sept 24 AFR

Tanzania

0:0

Ethiopia

30 Nov 15 CEC

Tanzania

1:2

✓ Ethiopia

28 Nov 15 CEC

Tanzania

1:1

Ethiopia

11 Jan 13 FRI

Ethiopia ✓

2:1

Tanzania

Recent Form (Last 5)

Tanzania

Home Team

26 Mar

Tanzania

0 : 1

Liechtenstein

04 Jan

Morocco

1 : 0

Tanzania

30 Dec

Tanzania

1 : 1

Tunisia

27 Dec

Uganda

1 : 1

Tanzania

23 Dec

Nigeria

2 : 1

Tanzania

Ethiopia

Away Team

27 Mar

Sao Tome and Principe

0 : 3

Ethiopia

12 Oct

Burkina Faso

3 : 1

Ethiopia

08 Oct

Ethiopia

1 : 0

Guinea Bissau

09 Sept

Sierra Leone

2 : 0

Ethiopia

05 Sept

Egypt

2 : 0

Ethiopia

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Comoros	6	3	3	0	7:4	12
2	Tunisia	6	3	1	2	7:6	10
3	Gambia	6	2	2	2	6:6	8
4	Madagascar	6	0	2	4	4:8	2

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Morocco	6	6	0	0	26:2	18
2	Gabon	6	3	1	2	7:9	10
3	Lesotho	6	1	1	4	2:13	4
4	Central Africa	6	1	0	5	3:14	3

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Egypt	6	4	2	0	12:2	14
2	Botswana	6	2	2	2	4:7	8
3	Mauritania	6	2	1	3	3:6	7
4	Cape Verde	6	1	1	4	3:7	4

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Nigeria	6	3	2	1	9:3	11
2	Benin	6	2	2	2	7:7	8
3	Rwanda	6	2	2	2	5:7	8
4	Libya	6	1	2	3	3:7	5

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Algeria	6	5	1	0	16:2	16
2	Equatorial Guinea	6	2	2	2	5:8	8
3	Togo	6	1	2	3	7:10	5
4	Liberia	6	1	1	4	4:12	4

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Angola	6	4	2	0	7:2	14
2	Sudan	6	2	2	2	4:6	8
3	Niger	6	2	1	3	7:6	7
4	Ghana	6	0	3	3	3:7	3

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Zambia	6	4	1	1	7:4	13
2	Ivory Coast	6	4	0	2	12:3	12
3	Sierra Leone	6	1	2	3	5:10	5
4	Chad	6	0	3	3	1:8	3

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	D.R. Congo	6	4	0	2	7:3	12
2	Tanzania	6	3	1	2	5:4	10
3	Guinea	6	3	0	3	9:5	9
4	Ethiopia	6	1	1	4	3:12	4

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Mali	6	4	2	0	10:1	14
2	Mozambique	6	3	2	1	9:5	11
3	Guinea Bissau	6	1	2	3	4:6	5
4	Eswatini	6	0	2	4	2:13	2

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Cameroon	6	4	2	0	8:2	14
2	Zimbabwe	6	2	3	1	6:4	9
3	Kenya	6	1	3	2	4:7	6
4	Namibia	6	0	2	4	2:7	2

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	South Africa	6	4	2	0	16:5	14
2	Uganda	6	4	1	1	8:5	13
3	Congo	6	1	1	4	4:12	4
4	South Sudan	6	1	0	5	6:12	3

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Senegal	6	5	1	0	10:1	16
2	Burkina Faso	6	3	1	2	10:7	10
3	Burundi	6	1	1	4	4:11	4
4	Malawi	6	1	1	4	6:11	4

Match Preview: Tanzania vs Ethiopia

Fans of Africa Cup of Nations 2025 turn their attention to the clash involving Tanzania and Ethiopia. Scheduled for Wednesday, September 4, 2024 at 16:00 UTC, the match will take place at Benjamin Mkapa National Stadium. Both sides will be looking to make their mark in this scheduled event.

Team Context & Standings

The context of this match is defined by the current standings and the ambitions of both squads. Tanzania will look to leverage their competitive standing to gain an advantage, while Ethiopia aims to improve their league position with a positive result on the road.

Head-to-Head & History

History suggests that matches between Tanzania and Ethiopia are competitively fought. While past results offer a glimpse into tactical matchups, this fresh encounter brings new dynamics. The teams have their own recent history to draw upon as they prepare tactically.

Tactical Overview

The flow of the match will likely depend on which team settles into their rhythm first. Control of possession, defensive discipline, and clinical finishing in the final third are expected to be the deciding factors. Tanzania will try to assert dominance early, whereas Ethiopia might look for opportunities on the break or through set-pieces.

Following the Match

For those following the action, staying updated is key. From the first whistle to the final moments, fans can follow every goal, momentum shift, and key event as the drama unfolds on the pitch.

Key Statistics

Modern football is often defined by the underlying numbers. Expect close scrutiny on metrics such as shots on target, possession percentages, and corner counts. These figures will illustrate which team effectively controlled the tempo and created the most dangerous chances.

Why This Matters

Ultimately, this fixture carries weight for the season's broader narrative. Momentum is crucial in Africa Cup of Nations 2025, and a victory in this match would serve as a significant morale booster for the winning side moving forward in the campaign.