Thun vs Basel Expected Goals (xG), Forecast & Details

Sport Picks

Switzerland

Super League Stockhorn Arena

Scoring Trends

Thun

Basel

Goals Scored

1.38

Goals Conceded

1.5

1.75 Expected Goals (xG) 1.19

75%

Over 1.5

88%

75%

Over 2.5

50%

25%

Over 3.5

25%

Detailed Analysis

Explore Head-to-Head and Form below for more insights.

Expert Analysis by Omoye ThankGod

Thun enter this game as clear favorites to control the proceedings. Recent suggest an open game with likely chances at both ends.

Their head-to-head record shows a history of competitive battles. Given Thun's consistency at home, backing their victory is logical. The numbers provide a solid foundation for this match outlook.

Possible Outcome Probability

Match Winner

Home Win58%

Draw15%

Away Win27%

Goals & Scoring

Both Teams to Score70%

Over 1.5 Goals84%

Over 2.5 Goals70%

Match Events

14'

Montolio G.

27'

Salah I.

28'

Ibayi C.

Assist: Rastoder E.

Previous Encounters

18 Apr 26 SUP

Thun ✓

3:1

Basel

01 Feb 26 SUP

Basel

1:2

✓ Thun

13 Sept 25 SUP

Thun

1:3

✓ Basel

11 Jan 25 CLU

Basel ✓

2:0

Thun

27 Jun 21 CLU

Basel

2:3

✓ Thun

Recent Form (Last 5)

Thun

Home Team

04 Apr

Lugano

1 : 0

Thun

21 Mar

Zurich

2 : 1

Thun

14 Mar

Thun

5 : 1

Grasshoppers

08 Mar

Young Boys

1 : 2

Thun

05 Mar

Thun

2 : 2

St. Gallen

Basel

Away Team

04 Apr

Basel

3 : 3

Young Boys

26 Mar

Basel

2 : 5

Vaduz

22 Mar

Winterthur

0 : 2

Basel

15 Mar

Basel

3 : 1

Servette

08 Mar

St. Gallen

3 : 0

Basel

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Thun	32	23	2	7	72:36	71
2	St. Gallen	33	17	9	7	64:40	60
3	Lugano	33	16	9	8	50:38	57
4	Basel	32	15	8	9	50:42	53
5	Sion	33	13	13	7	51:35	52
6	Young Boys	33	13	9	11	65:60	48
7	Luzern	33	10	10	13	64:61	40
8	Servette	33	9	13	11	57:57	40
9	Lausanne	33	10	9	14	47:57	39
10	Zurich	33	10	4	19	45:63	34
11	Grasshoppers	33	6	9	18	40:65	27
12	Winterthur	33	4	7	22	35:86	19

Match Preview: Thun vs Basel

Thun welcomes Basel for what is shaping up to be a crucial match in Super League. Scheduled for Saturday, April 18, 2026 at 18:30 UTC, the match will take place at Stockhorn Arena. Both sides will be looking to make their mark in this scheduled event.

Team Context & Standings

The context of this match is defined by the current standings and the ambitions of both squads. Thun will look to leverage their competitive standing to gain an advantage, while Basel aims to improve their league position with a positive result on the road.

Head-to-Head & History

Previous meetings between these two sides often provide context for what to expect. While past results offer a glimpse into tactical matchups, this fresh encounter brings new dynamics. The teams have their own recent history to draw upon as they prepare tactically.

Tactical Overview

The flow of the match will likely depend on which team settles into their rhythm first. Control of possession, defensive discipline, and clinical finishing in the final third are expected to be the deciding factors. Thun will try to assert dominance early, whereas Basel might look for opportunities on the break or through set-pieces.

Following the Match

The match atmosphere is expected to be electric, and tracking the game minute-by-minute adds to the excitement. From the first whistle to the final moments, fans can follow every goal, momentum shift, and key event as the drama unfolds on the pitch.

Key Statistics

Beyond the scoreline, the match statistics will tell the deeper story of the performance. Expect close scrutiny on metrics such as shots on target, possession percentages, and corner counts. These figures will illustrate which team effectively controlled the tempo and created the most dangerous chances.

Why This Matters

Three points here could be pivotal for the ambitions of either Thun or Basel. Momentum is crucial in Super League, and a victory in this match would serve as a significant morale booster for the winning side moving forward in the campaign.