Togo vs Algeria Expected Goals (xG), Forecast & Details

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Africa

Africa Cup of Nations 2025 Stade de Kégué

Scoring Trends

Togo

Algeria

0.6

Goals Scored

2.25

0.6

Goals Conceded

0.63

0.61 Expected Goals (xG) 1.43

20%

Over 1.5

88%

20%

Over 2.5

63%

20%

Over 3.5

25%

Detailed Analysis

Explore Head-to-Head and Form below for more insights.

Expert Analysis by Omoye ThankGod

Algeria hold a slight statistical advantage, though this match remains competitive. The game flow could swing back and forth as teams find their rhythm.

Their head-to-head record shows a history of competitive battles. The data points towards a tight game, making 'Under' markets particularly attractive. The numbers provide a solid foundation for this match outlook.

Possible Outcome Probability

Match Winner

Home Win23%

Draw29%

Away Win48%

Goals & Scoring

Both Teams to Score41%

Over 1.5 Goals70%

Over 2.5 Goals42%

Match Events

18'

Bensebaini R.

(Penalty)

56'

Agbagno Y.

56'

Ait-Nouri R.

Previous Encounters

14 Oct 24 AFR

Togo

0:1

✓ Algeria

10 Oct 24 AFR

Algeria ✓

5:1

Togo

05 Jan 24 FRI

Togo

0:3

✓ Algeria

10 Apr 22 FRI

Algeria

0:0

Togo

07 Apr 22 FRI

Algeria ✓

1:0

Togo

Recent Form (Last 5)

Togo

Home Team

31 Mar

Niger

0 : 1

Togo

27 Mar

Guinea

2 : 2

Togo

13 Oct

South Sudan

0 : 0

Togo

10 Oct

Togo

0 : 1

D.R. Congo

09 Sept

Togo

1 : 0

Sudan

Algeria

Away Team

31 Mar

Algeria

0 : 0

Uruguay

27 Mar

Algeria

7 : 0

Guatemala

10 Jan

Algeria

0 : 2

Nigeria

06 Jan

Algeria

1 : 0

D.R. Congo

31 Dec

Equatorial Guinea

1 : 3

Algeria

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Comoros	6	3	3	0	7:4	12
2	Tunisia	6	3	1	2	7:6	10
3	Gambia	6	2	2	2	6:6	8
4	Madagascar	6	0	2	4	4:8	2

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Morocco	6	6	0	0	26:2	18
2	Gabon	6	3	1	2	7:9	10
3	Lesotho	6	1	1	4	2:13	4
4	Central Africa	6	1	0	5	3:14	3

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Egypt	6	4	2	0	12:2	14
2	Botswana	6	2	2	2	4:7	8
3	Mauritania	6	2	1	3	3:6	7
4	Cape Verde	6	1	1	4	3:7	4

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Nigeria	6	3	2	1	9:3	11
2	Benin	6	2	2	2	7:7	8
3	Rwanda	6	2	2	2	5:7	8
4	Libya	6	1	2	3	3:7	5

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Algeria	6	5	1	0	16:2	16
2	Equatorial Guinea	6	2	2	2	5:8	8
3	Togo	6	1	2	3	7:10	5
4	Liberia	6	1	1	4	4:12	4

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Angola	6	4	2	0	7:2	14
2	Sudan	6	2	2	2	4:6	8
3	Niger	6	2	1	3	7:6	7
4	Ghana	6	0	3	3	3:7	3

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Zambia	6	4	1	1	7:4	13
2	Ivory Coast	6	4	0	2	12:3	12
3	Sierra Leone	6	1	2	3	5:10	5
4	Chad	6	0	3	3	1:8	3

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	D.R. Congo	6	4	0	2	7:3	12
2	Tanzania	6	3	1	2	5:4	10
3	Guinea	6	3	0	3	9:5	9
4	Ethiopia	6	1	1	4	3:12	4

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Mali	6	4	2	0	10:1	14
2	Mozambique	6	3	2	1	9:5	11
3	Guinea Bissau	6	1	2	3	4:6	5
4	Eswatini	6	0	2	4	2:13	2

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Cameroon	6	4	2	0	8:2	14
2	Zimbabwe	6	2	3	1	6:4	9
3	Kenya	6	1	3	2	4:7	6
4	Namibia	6	0	2	4	2:7	2

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	South Africa	6	4	2	0	16:5	14
2	Uganda	6	4	1	1	8:5	13
3	Congo	6	1	1	4	4:12	4
4	South Sudan	6	1	0	5	6:12	3

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Senegal	6	5	1	0	10:1	16
2	Burkina Faso	6	3	1	2	10:7	10
3	Burundi	6	1	1	4	4:11	4
4	Malawi	6	1	1	4	6:11	4

Match Preview: Togo vs Algeria

The upcoming fixture between Togo and Algeria promises to be an engaging encounter in Africa Cup of Nations 2025. Scheduled for Monday, October 14, 2024 at 16:00 UTC, the match will take place at Stade de Kégué. Both sides will be looking to make their mark in this scheduled event.

Team Context & Standings

Entering this game, both Togo and Algeria are focused on their respective objectives for the season. Togo will look to leverage their competitive standing to gain an advantage, while Algeria aims to improve their league position with a positive result on the road.

Head-to-Head & History

Previous meetings between these two sides often provide context for what to expect. While past results offer a glimpse into tactical matchups, this fresh encounter brings new dynamics. The teams have their own recent history to draw upon as they prepare tactically.

Tactical Overview

The flow of the match will likely depend on which team settles into their rhythm first. Control of possession, defensive discipline, and clinical finishing in the final third are expected to be the deciding factors. Togo will try to assert dominance early, whereas Algeria might look for opportunities on the break or through set-pieces.

Following the Match

For those following the action, staying updated is key. From the first whistle to the final moments, fans can follow every goal, momentum shift, and key event as the drama unfolds on the pitch.

Key Statistics

Modern football is often defined by the underlying numbers. Expect close scrutiny on metrics such as shots on target, possession percentages, and corner counts. These figures will illustrate which team effectively controlled the tempo and created the most dangerous chances.

Why This Matters

Three points here could be pivotal for the ambitions of either Togo or Algeria. Momentum is crucial in Africa Cup of Nations 2025, and a victory in this match would serve as a significant morale booster for the winning side moving forward in the campaign.