Togo vs D.R. Congo Expected Goals (xG), Forecast & Details

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World

World Cup 2026 Stade de Kégué

Scoring Trends

Togo

D.R. Congo

0.57

Goals Scored

1.75

0.71

Goals Conceded

0.78 Expected Goals (xG) 1.23

29%

Over 1.5

63%

14%

Over 2.5

50%

14%

Over 3.5

38%

Detailed Analysis

Explore Head-to-Head and Form below for more insights.

Expert Analysis by Omoye ThankGod

D.R. Congo enter this game as clear favorites to control the proceedings. Defensive discipline will likely be the priority for both managers.

Their head-to-head record shows a history of competitive battles. The data points towards a tight game, making 'Under' markets particularly attractive. The numbers provide a solid foundation for this match outlook.

Possible Outcome Probability

Match Winner

Home Win27%

Draw17%

Away Win56%

Goals & Scoring

Both Teams to Score37%

Over 1.5 Goals62%

Over 2.5 Goals29%

Match Events

Bakambu C.

Assist: Mayele F.

33'

Sub

Pickel C. In: Kalulu G.

Out: Pickel C.

34'

Mayele F.

Previous Encounters

10 Oct 25 WOR

Togo

0:1

✓ D.R. Congo

09 Jun 24 WOR

D.R. Congo ✓

1:0

Togo

24 Jan 17 AFR

Togo

1:3

✓ D.R. Congo

08 Sept 13 WOR

Togo ✓

2:1

D.R. Congo

10 Jun 12 WOR

D.R. Congo ✓

2:0

Togo

Recent Form (Last 5)

Togo

Home Team

31 Mar

Niger

0 : 1

Togo

27 Mar

Guinea

2 : 2

Togo

13 Oct

South Sudan

0 : 0

Togo

10 Oct

Togo

0 : 1

D.R. Congo

09 Sept

Togo

1 : 0

Sudan

D.R. Congo

Away Team

31 Mar

D.R. Congo

1 : 0

Jamaica

25 Mar

D.R. Congo

2 : 0

Bermuda

06 Jan

Algeria

1 : 0

D.R. Congo

30 Dec

Botswana

0 : 3

D.R. Congo

27 Dec

Senegal

1 : 1

D.R. Congo

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Egypt	10	8	2	0	20:2	26
2	Burkina Faso	10	6	3	1	23:8	21
3	Sierra Leone	10	4	3	3	12:10	15
4	Guinea Bissau	10	2	4	4	8:10	10
5	Ethiopia	10	2	3	5	9:14	9
6	Djibouti	10	0	1	9	5:33	1

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Senegal	10	7	3	0	22:3	24
2	D.R. Congo	10	7	1	2	15:6	22
3	Sudan	10	3	4	3	8:6	13
4	Togo	10	1	5	4	5:10	8
5	Mauritania	10	1	4	5	4:13	7
6	South Sudan	10	0	5	5	3:19	5

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	South Africa	10	5	3	2	15:9	18
2	Nigeria	10	4	5	1	15:8	17
3	Benin	10	5	2	3	12:11	17
4	Lesotho	10	3	3	4	9:12	12
5	Rwanda	10	3	2	5	5:9	11
6	Zimbabwe	10	0	5	5	5:12	5

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Cape Verde	10	7	2	1	16:8	23
2	Cameroon	10	5	4	1	17:5	19
3	Libya	10	4	4	2	12:10	16
4	Angola	10	2	6	2	9:8	12
5	Mauritius	10	1	3	6	7:17	6
6	Eswatini	10	0	3	7	6:19	3

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Morocco	8	8	0	0	22:2	24
2	Niger	8	5	0	3	11:10	15
3	Tanzania	8	3	1	4	6:7	10
4	Zambia	8	3	0	5	10:10	9
5	Congo	8	0	1	7	4:24	1
6	Eritrea	0	0	0	0	0:0	0

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Ivory Coast	10	8	2	0	25:0	26
2	Gabon	10	8	1	1	22:9	25
3	Gambia	10	4	1	5	27:18	13
4	Kenya	10	3	3	4	18:14	12
5	Burundi	10	3	1	6	13:13	10
6	Seychelles	10	0	0	10	2:53	0

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Algeria	10	8	1	1	24:8	25
2	Uganda	10	6	0	4	14:9	18
3	Mozambique	10	6	0	4	14:17	18
4	Guinea	10	4	3	3	11:8	15
5	Botswana	10	3	1	6	12:16	10
6	Somalia	10	0	1	9	3:20	1

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Tunisia	10	9	1	0	22:0	28
2	Namibia	10	4	3	3	13:10	15
3	Liberia	10	4	3	3	13:11	15
4	Malawi	10	4	1	5	11:10	13
5	Equatorial Guinea	10	3	2	5	8:15	11
6	Sao Tome and Principe	10	1	0	9	5:26	3

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Ghana	10	8	1	1	23:6	25
2	Madagascar	10	6	1	3	17:12	19
3	Mali	10	5	3	2	17:6	18
4	Comoros	10	5	0	5	12:13	15
5	Central Africa	10	2	2	6	11:24	8
6	Chad	10	0	1	9	5:24	1

Match Preview: Togo vs D.R. Congo

Togo welcomes D.R. Congo for what is shaping up to be a crucial match in World Cup 2026. Scheduled for Friday, October 10, 2025 at 13:00 UTC, the match will take place at Stade de Kégué. Both sides will be looking to make their mark in this scheduled event.

Team Context & Standings

The context of this match is defined by the current standings and the ambitions of both squads. Togo will look to leverage their competitive standing to gain an advantage, while D.R. Congo aims to improve their league position with a positive result on the road.

Head-to-Head & History

Previous meetings between these two sides often provide context for what to expect. While past results offer a glimpse into tactical matchups, this fresh encounter brings new dynamics. The teams have their own recent history to draw upon as they prepare tactically.

Tactical Overview

Tactically, this game could be decided in the midfield battles. Control of possession, defensive discipline, and clinical finishing in the final third are expected to be the deciding factors. Togo will try to assert dominance early, whereas D.R. Congo might look for opportunities on the break or through set-pieces.

Following the Match

For those following the action, staying updated is key. From the first whistle to the final moments, fans can follow every goal, momentum shift, and key event as the drama unfolds on the pitch.

Key Statistics

Beyond the scoreline, the match statistics will tell the deeper story of the performance. Expect close scrutiny on metrics such as shots on target, possession percentages, and corner counts. These figures will illustrate which team effectively controlled the tempo and created the most dangerous chances.

Why This Matters

Ultimately, this fixture carries weight for the season's broader narrative. Momentum is crucial in World Cup 2026, and a victory in this match would serve as a significant morale booster for the winning side moving forward in the campaign.