Togo vs Equatorial Guinea Expected Goals (xG), Forecast & Details

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Africa

Africa Cup of Nations 2025 Stade de Kégué

Scoring Trends

Togo

Equatorial Guinea

0.57

Goals Scored

0.88

0.71

Goals Conceded

1.5

1.03 Expected Goals (xG) 0.79

29%

Over 1.5

75%

14%

Over 2.5

38%

14%

Over 3.5

13%

Detailed Analysis

Explore Head-to-Head and Form below for more insights.

Expert Analysis by Omoye ThankGod

This clash between Togo and Equatorial Guinea appears balanced with little difference between the two sides. Defensive discipline will likely be the priority for both managers.

Their head-to-head record shows a history of competitive battles. The data points towards a tight game, making 'Under' markets particularly attractive. The numbers provide a solid foundation for this match outlook.

Possible Outcome Probability

Match Winner

Home Win35%

Draw35%

Away Win30%

Goals & Scoring

Both Teams to Score42%

Over 1.5 Goals69%

Over 2.5 Goals36%

Match Events

14'

Annor Y.

Assist: Klidje T.

53'

Denkey K.

Assist: Djene

57'

Sub

Asue L. In: Akogo G.

Out: Asue L.

Previous Encounters

17 Nov 24 AFR

Togo ✓

3:0

Equatorial Guinea

09 Sept 24 AFR

Equatorial Guinea

2:2

Togo

27 Sept 22 FRI

Equatorial Guinea

2:2

Togo

13 Oct 19 FRI

Equatorial Guinea

1:1

Togo

16 Nov 03 WOR

Togo ✓

2:0

Equatorial Guinea

Recent Form (Last 5)

Togo

Home Team

31 Mar

Niger

0 : 1

Togo

27 Mar

Guinea

2 : 2

Togo

13 Oct

South Sudan

0 : 0

Togo

10 Oct

Togo

0 : 1

D.R. Congo

09 Sept

Togo

1 : 0

Sudan

Equatorial Guinea

Away Team

31 Mar

Equatorial Guinea

1 : 1

Madagascar

25 Mar

Kyrgyzstan

0 : 1

Equatorial Guinea

31 Dec

Equatorial Guinea

1 : 3

Algeria

28 Dec

Equatorial Guinea

0 : 1

Sudan

24 Dec

Burkina Faso

2 : 1

Equatorial Guinea

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Comoros	6	3	3	0	7:4	12
2	Tunisia	6	3	1	2	7:6	10
3	Gambia	6	2	2	2	6:6	8
4	Madagascar	6	0	2	4	4:8	2

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Morocco	6	6	0	0	26:2	18
2	Gabon	6	3	1	2	7:9	10
3	Lesotho	6	1	1	4	2:13	4
4	Central Africa	6	1	0	5	3:14	3

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Egypt	6	4	2	0	12:2	14
2	Botswana	6	2	2	2	4:7	8
3	Mauritania	6	2	1	3	3:6	7
4	Cape Verde	6	1	1	4	3:7	4

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Nigeria	6	3	2	1	9:3	11
2	Benin	6	2	2	2	7:7	8
3	Rwanda	6	2	2	2	5:7	8
4	Libya	6	1	2	3	3:7	5

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Algeria	6	5	1	0	16:2	16
2	Equatorial Guinea	6	2	2	2	5:8	8
3	Togo	6	1	2	3	7:10	5
4	Liberia	6	1	1	4	4:12	4

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Angola	6	4	2	0	7:2	14
2	Sudan	6	2	2	2	4:6	8
3	Niger	6	2	1	3	7:6	7
4	Ghana	6	0	3	3	3:7	3

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Zambia	6	4	1	1	7:4	13
2	Ivory Coast	6	4	0	2	12:3	12
3	Sierra Leone	6	1	2	3	5:10	5
4	Chad	6	0	3	3	1:8	3

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	D.R. Congo	6	4	0	2	7:3	12
2	Tanzania	6	3	1	2	5:4	10
3	Guinea	6	3	0	3	9:5	9
4	Ethiopia	6	1	1	4	3:12	4

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Mali	6	4	2	0	10:1	14
2	Mozambique	6	3	2	1	9:5	11
3	Guinea Bissau	6	1	2	3	4:6	5
4	Eswatini	6	0	2	4	2:13	2

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Cameroon	6	4	2	0	8:2	14
2	Zimbabwe	6	2	3	1	6:4	9
3	Kenya	6	1	3	2	4:7	6
4	Namibia	6	0	2	4	2:7	2

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	South Africa	6	4	2	0	16:5	14
2	Uganda	6	4	1	1	8:5	13
3	Congo	6	1	1	4	4:12	4
4	South Sudan	6	1	0	5	6:12	3

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Senegal	6	5	1	0	10:1	16
2	Burkina Faso	6	3	1	2	10:7	10
3	Burundi	6	1	1	4	4:11	4
4	Malawi	6	1	1	4	6:11	4

Match Preview: Togo vs Equatorial Guinea

The upcoming fixture between Togo and Equatorial Guinea promises to be an engaging encounter in Africa Cup of Nations 2025. Scheduled for Sunday, November 17, 2024 at 16:00 UTC, the match will take place at Stade de Kégué. Both sides will be looking to make their mark in this scheduled event.

Team Context & Standings

Entering this game, both Togo and Equatorial Guinea are focused on their respective objectives for the season. Togo will look to leverage their competitive standing to gain an advantage, while Equatorial Guinea aims to improve their league position with a positive result on the road.

Head-to-Head & History

History suggests that matches between Togo and Equatorial Guinea are competitively fought. While past results offer a glimpse into tactical matchups, this fresh encounter brings new dynamics. The teams have their own recent history to draw upon as they prepare tactically.

Tactical Overview

Tactically, this game could be decided in the midfield battles. Control of possession, defensive discipline, and clinical finishing in the final third are expected to be the deciding factors. Togo will try to assert dominance early, whereas Equatorial Guinea might look for opportunities on the break or through set-pieces.

Following the Match

The match atmosphere is expected to be electric, and tracking the game minute-by-minute adds to the excitement. From the first whistle to the final moments, fans can follow every goal, momentum shift, and key event as the drama unfolds on the pitch.

Key Statistics

Beyond the scoreline, the match statistics will tell the deeper story of the performance. Expect close scrutiny on metrics such as shots on target, possession percentages, and corner counts. These figures will illustrate which team effectively controlled the tempo and created the most dangerous chances.

Why This Matters

Ultimately, this fixture carries weight for the season's broader narrative. Momentum is crucial in Africa Cup of Nations 2025, and a victory in this match would serve as a significant morale booster for the winning side moving forward in the campaign.