Toluca W vs Pachuca W Expected Goals (xG), Forecast & Details

Sport Picks

Mexico

Liga MX Women Estadio Nemesio Díez

Scoring Trends

Toluca W

Pachuca W

2.25

Goals Scored

2.63

1.25

Goals Conceded

0.5

1.38 Expected Goals (xG) 1.94

88%

Over 1.5

100%

63%

Over 2.5

63%

50%

Over 3.5

25%

Detailed Analysis

Explore Head-to-Head and Form below for more insights.

Expert Analysis by Omoye ThankGod

This clash between Toluca W and Pachuca W appears balanced with little difference between the two sides. Recent suggest an open game with likely chances at both ends.

Their head-to-head record shows a history of competitive battles. Scoring trends strongly favor an Over 2.5 Goals match. The numbers provide a solid foundation for this match outlook.

Possible Outcome Probability

Match Winner

Home Win39%

Draw19%

Away Win42%

Goals & Scoring

Both Teams to Score52%

Over 1.5 Goals89%

Over 2.5 Goals67%

Match Events

15'

Pereira A.

(Penalty)

33'

Sub

Martinez K. In: Guatemala D.

Out: Martinez K.

46'

Sub

Ramirez M. In: Erceg A.

Out: Ramirez M.

Previous Encounters

17 Feb 26 LIG

Toluca W

1:1

Pachuca W

05 Aug 25 LIG

Pachuca W

1:2

✓ Toluca W

21 Mar 25 LIG

Pachuca W

2:3

✓ Toluca W

01 Oct 24 LIG

Toluca W

1:3

✓ Pachuca W

19 Mar 24 LIG

Pachuca W ✓

4:0

Toluca W

Recent Form (Last 5)

Toluca W

Home Team

21 Mar

Toluca W

5 : 1

Necaxa W

17 Mar

Club America W

2 : 0

Toluca W

13 Mar

Toluca W

4 : 2

UNAM Pumas W

21 Feb

Santos Laguna W

0 : 1

Toluca W

17 Feb

Toluca W

1 : 1

Pachuca W

Away Team

15 Mar

Guadalajara Chivas W

1 : 1

Pachuca W

13 Mar

Pachuca W

2 : 0

Club Tijuana W

23 Feb

Pachuca W

3 : 0

Juarez W

17 Feb

Toluca W

1 : 1

Pachuca W

11 Feb

Atletico San Luis W

0 : 3

Pachuca W

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Monterrey W	13	10	3	0	34:4	33
2	Toluca W	13	9	1	3	31:16	28
3	Pachuca W	12	8	3	1	35:5	27
4	Tigres UANL W	12	8	3	1	32:10	27
5	Club America W	12	8	3	1	31:10	27
6	Guadalajara Chivas W	12	8	3	1	21:8	27
7	Cruz Azul W	13	7	3	3	27:15	24
8	Club Tijuana W	13	6	3	4	22:19	21
9	Juarez W	12	6	3	3	16:13	21
10	Mazatlan FC W	13	5	3	5	17:20	18
11	UNAM Pumas W	12	5	2	5	17:20	17
12	Club Leon W	12	3	3	6	19:23	12
13	Atletico San Luis W	12	2	3	7	12:26	9
14	Atlas W	12	2	2	8	17:29	8
15	Puebla W	12	2	0	10	6:35	6
16	Santos Laguna W	13	1	2	10	8:24	5
17	Necaxa W	13	1	1	11	6:44	4
18	Queretaro W	13	0	1	12	8:38	1

Match Preview: Toluca W vs Pachuca W

Toluca W welcomes Pachuca W for what is shaping up to be a crucial match in Liga MX Women. Scheduled for Tuesday, February 17, 2026 at 24:00 UTC, the match will take place at Estadio Nemesio Díez. Both sides will be looking to make their mark in this scheduled event.

Team Context & Standings

Entering this game, both Toluca W and Pachuca W are focused on their respective objectives for the season. Toluca W will look to leverage their competitive standing to gain an advantage, while Pachuca W aims to improve their league position with a positive result on the road.

Head-to-Head & History

Previous meetings between these two sides often provide context for what to expect. While past results offer a glimpse into tactical matchups, this fresh encounter brings new dynamics. The teams have their own recent history to draw upon as they prepare tactically.

Tactical Overview

The flow of the match will likely depend on which team settles into their rhythm first. Control of possession, defensive discipline, and clinical finishing in the final third are expected to be the deciding factors. Toluca W will try to assert dominance early, whereas Pachuca W might look for opportunities on the break or through set-pieces.

Following the Match

The match atmosphere is expected to be electric, and tracking the game minute-by-minute adds to the excitement. From the first whistle to the final moments, fans can follow every goal, momentum shift, and key event as the drama unfolds on the pitch.

Key Statistics

Beyond the scoreline, the match statistics will tell the deeper story of the performance. Expect close scrutiny on metrics such as shots on target, possession percentages, and corner counts. These figures will illustrate which team effectively controlled the tempo and created the most dangerous chances.

Why This Matters

Ultimately, this fixture carries weight for the season's broader narrative. Momentum is crucial in Liga MX Women, and a victory in this match would serve as a significant morale booster for the winning side moving forward in the campaign.