Uganda vs South Sudan Expected Goals (xG), Forecast & Details

Sport Picks

Africa

Africa Cup of Nations 2025 Nelson Mandela National Stadium

Scoring Trends

Uganda

South Sudan

1.25

Goals Scored

0.63

Goals Conceded

1.5

1.38 Expected Goals (xG) 0.81

63%

Over 1.5

50%

Over 2.5

38%

25%

Over 3.5

38%

Detailed Analysis

Explore Head-to-Head and Form below for more insights.

Expert Analysis by Omoye ThankGod

Uganda hold a slight statistical advantage, though this match remains competitive. The game flow could swing back and forth as teams find their rhythm.

Their head-to-head record shows a history of competitive battles. The data points towards a tight game, making 'Under' markets particularly attractive. The numbers provide a solid foundation for this match outlook.

Possible Outcome Probability

Match Winner

Home Win53%

Draw19%

Away Win28%

Goals & Scoring

Both Teams to Score36%

Over 1.5 Goals64%

Over 2.5 Goals45%

Match Events

44'

Thomas A.

46'

Sub

Mutyaba T. In: Okello A.

Out: Mutyaba T.

46'

Sub

Ssekiganda R. In: Byaruhanga B.

Out: Ssekiganda R.

Previous Encounters

15 Oct 24 AFR

South Sudan

1:2

✓ Uganda

11 Oct 24 AFR

Uganda ✓

1:0

South Sudan

16 Nov 20 AFR

South Sudan ✓

1:0

Uganda

12 Nov 20 AFR

Uganda ✓

1:0

South Sudan

02 Aug 19 AFR

Uganda

0:0

South Sudan

Recent Form (Last 5)

Uganda

Home Team

30 Dec

Uganda

1 : 3

Nigeria

27 Dec

Uganda

1 : 1

Tanzania

23 Dec

Tunisia

3 : 1

Uganda

18 Nov

Morocco

4 : 0

Uganda

14 Nov

Uganda

2 : 1

Chad

South Sudan

Away Team

29 Mar

South Sudan

0 : 1

Djibouti

26 Mar

Djibouti

0 : 4

South Sudan

25 Nov

Syria

2 : 0

South Sudan

13 Oct

South Sudan

0 : 0

Togo

10 Oct

South Sudan

0 : 5

Senegal

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Comoros	6	3	3	0	7:4	12
2	Tunisia	6	3	1	2	7:6	10
3	Gambia	6	2	2	2	6:6	8
4	Madagascar	6	0	2	4	4:8	2

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Morocco	6	6	0	0	26:2	18
2	Gabon	6	3	1	2	7:9	10
3	Lesotho	6	1	1	4	2:13	4
4	Central Africa	6	1	0	5	3:14	3

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Egypt	6	4	2	0	12:2	14
2	Botswana	6	2	2	2	4:7	8
3	Mauritania	6	2	1	3	3:6	7
4	Cape Verde	6	1	1	4	3:7	4

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Nigeria	6	3	2	1	9:3	11
2	Benin	6	2	2	2	7:7	8
3	Rwanda	6	2	2	2	5:7	8
4	Libya	6	1	2	3	3:7	5

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Algeria	6	5	1	0	16:2	16
2	Equatorial Guinea	6	2	2	2	5:8	8
3	Togo	6	1	2	3	7:10	5
4	Liberia	6	1	1	4	4:12	4

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Angola	6	4	2	0	7:2	14
2	Sudan	6	2	2	2	4:6	8
3	Niger	6	2	1	3	7:6	7
4	Ghana	6	0	3	3	3:7	3

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Zambia	6	4	1	1	7:4	13
2	Ivory Coast	6	4	0	2	12:3	12
3	Sierra Leone	6	1	2	3	5:10	5
4	Chad	6	0	3	3	1:8	3

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	D.R. Congo	6	4	0	2	7:3	12
2	Tanzania	6	3	1	2	5:4	10
3	Guinea	6	3	0	3	9:5	9
4	Ethiopia	6	1	1	4	3:12	4

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Mali	6	4	2	0	10:1	14
2	Mozambique	6	3	2	1	9:5	11
3	Guinea Bissau	6	1	2	3	4:6	5
4	Eswatini	6	0	2	4	2:13	2

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Cameroon	6	4	2	0	8:2	14
2	Zimbabwe	6	2	3	1	6:4	9
3	Kenya	6	1	3	2	4:7	6
4	Namibia	6	0	2	4	2:7	2

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	South Africa	6	4	2	0	16:5	14
2	Uganda	6	4	1	1	8:5	13
3	Congo	6	1	1	4	4:12	4
4	South Sudan	6	1	0	5	6:12	3

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Senegal	6	5	1	0	10:1	16
2	Burkina Faso	6	3	1	2	10:7	10
3	Burundi	6	1	1	4	4:11	4
4	Malawi	6	1	1	4	6:11	4

Match Preview: Uganda vs South Sudan

Fans of Africa Cup of Nations 2025 turn their attention to the clash involving Uganda and South Sudan. Scheduled for Friday, October 11, 2024 at 16:00 UTC, the match will take place at Nelson Mandela National Stadium. Both sides will be looking to make their mark in this scheduled event.

Team Context & Standings

The context of this match is defined by the current standings and the ambitions of both squads. Uganda will look to leverage their competitive standing to gain an advantage, while South Sudan aims to improve their league position with a positive result on the road.

Head-to-Head & History

Previous meetings between these two sides often provide context for what to expect. While past results offer a glimpse into tactical matchups, this fresh encounter brings new dynamics. The teams have their own recent history to draw upon as they prepare tactically.

Tactical Overview

Tactically, this game could be decided in the midfield battles. Control of possession, defensive discipline, and clinical finishing in the final third are expected to be the deciding factors. Uganda will try to assert dominance early, whereas South Sudan might look for opportunities on the break or through set-pieces.

Following the Match

The match atmosphere is expected to be electric, and tracking the game minute-by-minute adds to the excitement. From the first whistle to the final moments, fans can follow every goal, momentum shift, and key event as the drama unfolds on the pitch.

Key Statistics

Modern football is often defined by the underlying numbers. Expect close scrutiny on metrics such as shots on target, possession percentages, and corner counts. These figures will illustrate which team effectively controlled the tempo and created the most dangerous chances.

Why This Matters

Ultimately, this fixture carries weight for the season's broader narrative. Momentum is crucial in Africa Cup of Nations 2025, and a victory in this match would serve as a significant morale booster for the winning side moving forward in the campaign.