Scoring Trends
Watford
VS
Stoke City
1.75
Goals Scored
0.75
1
Goals Conceded
1.13
75%
Over 1.5
50%
63%
Over 2.5
38%
25%
Over 3.5
13%
Detailed Analysis
Explore Head-to-Head and Form below for more insights.
Expert Analysis by Omoye ThankGod
Watford and Stoke City come into this fixture with very comparable underlying numbers. The match flow could swing back and forth as teams settle into their rhythm.
The historical data reinforces the idea that form often goes out the window here. The data points to a tight game, making 'Under' markets particularly appealing. Our model identifies this as the most rational reading of the game.
Match Possible Outcome Percentage
Match Winner
Home Win38%
Draw27%
Away Win35%
Goals & Scoring
Both Teams to Score47%
Over 1.5 Goals63%
Over 2.5 Goals47%
Match Events
30'
30'
Bozenik R.
46'
46'
Sub
Bozenik R.
In: Gallagher S.
Out: Bozenik R.
59'
59'
Thomas S.
65'
65'
Sub
Lawal B.
In: Seko T.
Out: Lawal B.
65'
65'
Sub
N'Zonzi S.
In: Pearson B.
Out: N'Zonzi S.
65'
65'
Sub
Ince T.
In: Semedo V.
Out: Ince T.
66'
66'
Semedo V.
69'
69'
Pollock M.
74'
74'
Kjerrumgaard L.
Assist: Kyprianou H.
76'
76'
Sub
Kjerrumgaard L.
In: Irankunda N.
Out: Kjerrumgaard L.
76'
76'
Sub
Chakvetadze G.
In: Sissoko M.
Out: Chakvetadze G.
77'
77'
Sub
Bae J.
In: Mubama D.
Out: Bae J.
83'
83'
Talovierov M.
89'
89'
Irankunda N.
90'
90'
Sub
Louza I.
In: Mendy N.
Out: Louza I.
Previous Encounters
20 Dec 25 CHA
Watford
✓
1:0
Stoke City
01 Mar 25 CHA
Stoke City
0:0
Watford
17 Aug 24 CHA
Watford
✓
3:0
Stoke City
29 Dec 23 CHA
Watford
1:1
Stoke City
19 Aug 23 CHA
Stoke City
✓
1:0
Watford
Recent Form (Last 5)
Watford
Home Team 10 Jan
Bristol City
5 : 1 Watford
01 Jan
Watford
3 : 0 Birmingham
29 Dec
Norwich
0 : 1 Watford
26 Dec
Leicester
1 : 2 Watford
20 Dec
Watford
1 : 0 Stoke City
Stoke City
Away Team 10 Jan
Stoke City
1 : 0 Coventry
04 Jan
Norwich
0 : 2 Stoke City
01 Jan
Hull City
0 : 1 Stoke City
29 Dec
Stoke City
1 : 2 Sheffield Utd
26 Dec
Stoke City
0 : 0 Preston
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Coventry | 26 | 15 | 7 | 4 | 57:29 | 52 |
| 2 | Middlesbrough | 26 | 13 | 7 | 6 | 37:26 | 46 |
| 3 | Ipswich | 25 | 12 | 8 | 5 | 42:24 | 44 |
| 4 | Preston | 26 | 11 | 10 | 5 | 36:25 | 43 |
| 5 | Millwall | 26 | 12 | 7 | 7 | 29:33 | 43 |
| 6 | Watford | 25 | 11 | 8 | 6 | 37:29 | 41 |
| 7 | Hull City | 25 | 12 | 5 | 8 | 40:38 | 41 |
| 8 | Stoke City | 26 | 12 | 4 | 10 | 32:23 | 40 |
| 9 | Wrexham | 26 | 10 | 10 | 6 | 38:32 | 40 |
| 10 | Bristol City | 26 | 11 | 6 | 9 | 38:29 | 39 |
| 11 | QPR | 26 | 11 | 5 | 10 | 38:39 | 38 |
| 12 | Leicester | 26 | 10 | 7 | 9 | 37:38 | 37 |
| 13 | Derby | 26 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 35:35 | 35 |
| 14 | Birmingham | 26 | 9 | 7 | 10 | 35:36 | 34 |
| 15 | Southampton | 26 | 8 | 9 | 9 | 38:38 | 33 |
| 16 | Sheffield Utd | 25 | 10 | 2 | 13 | 36:38 | 32 |
| 17 | Swansea | 26 | 9 | 5 | 12 | 27:33 | 32 |
| 18 | West Brom | 26 | 9 | 4 | 13 | 29:35 | 31 |
| 19 | Charlton | 25 | 7 | 8 | 10 | 25:32 | 29 |
| 20 | Blackburn | 25 | 7 | 7 | 11 | 24:30 | 28 |
| 21 | Portsmouth | 24 | 6 | 7 | 11 | 21:35 | 25 |
| 22 | Norwich | 26 | 6 | 6 | 14 | 28:39 | 24 |
| 23 | Oxford Utd | 25 | 5 | 7 | 13 | 25:35 | 22 |
| 24 | Sheffield Wed | 25 | 1 | 8 | 16 | 18:51 | -7 |
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