Sport Picks
Wolves vs Nottingham
England
Premier League 2025/2026 Molineux Stadium, Wolverhampton 
Match Events
19'
19'
Milenkovic N.
38'
38'
Igor Jesus
52'
52'
Joao Gomes
AI Match Summary
The Premier League 2025/2026 game between Wolves and Nottingham finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Nottingham.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
53%
15%
32%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Wolves
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
53%
/ Medium Confidence
- Nottingham carry the better recent record into this one.
- Wolves are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%
Wolves Clean Sheet 68%
Nottingham Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Wolves | Nottingham |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 29 |
| Wins | 9 | 12 |
| Draws | 9 | 8 |
| Losses | 10 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 1.29 | 1.52 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.29 | 1.07 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.38 | 0.94 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Feb 11, 2026 Premier League
Nottingham vs Wolves
0:0
Dec 3, 2025 Premier League
Wolves vs Nottingham
0:1
Jan 6, 2025 Premier League
Wolves vs Nottingham
0:3
Aug 31, 2024 Premier League
Nottingham vs Wolves
1:1
Apr 13, 2024 Premier League
Nottingham vs Wolves
2:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Wolves Compare
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69
Nottingham Compare
Top Goalscorer Igor Jesus
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Wolves 95 / 100
Nottingham 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Wolves Nottingham
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Wolves Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Wolves scored in 68% of their last 28 outings.
Nottingham has conceded goals in 69% of their last 29 outings.
These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.
Wolves went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Wolves VS Nottingham
1.63 Goals Scored 1.25
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Wolves
(Home) 14 Aug
Wolves
2 : 2 Blackburn
07 Aug
Wolves
3 : 0 Port Vale
01 Aug
Wolves
3 : 0 Racing Santander
29 Jul
Doncaster
0 : 2 Wolves
25 Jul
Wolves
1 : 2 Real Sociedad
Page 1 of 6
14 Aug
Wolves
2 : 2 Blackburn
07 Aug
Wolves
3 : 0 Port Vale
01 Aug
Wolves
3 : 0 Racing Santander
25 Jul
Wolves
1 : 2 Real Sociedad
17 May
Wolves
1 : 1 Fulham
Page 1 of 4
Nottingham
(Away) 12 Aug
Nottingham
2 : 1 Bayer Leverkusen
08 Aug
Barcelona
1 : 0 Nottingham
08 Aug
Udinese
1 : 0 Nottingham
31 Jul
Sporting CP
4 : 1 Nottingham
31 Jul
Portimonense
1 : 2 Nottingham
Page 1 of 6
08 Aug
Barcelona
1 : 0 Nottingham
08 Aug
Udinese
1 : 0 Nottingham
31 Jul
Sporting CP
4 : 1 Nottingham
31 Jul
Portimonense
1 : 2 Nottingham
26 Jul
Vitoria Guimaraes
1 : 1 Nottingham
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arsenal | 38 | 26 | 7 | 5 | 71:27 | 85 |
| 2 | Manchester City | 38 | 23 | 9 | 6 | 77:35 | 78 |
| 3 | Manchester United | 38 | 20 | 11 | 7 | 69:50 | 71 |
| 4 | Aston Villa | 38 | 19 | 8 | 11 | 56:49 | 65 |
| 5 | Liverpool | 38 | 17 | 9 | 12 | 63:53 | 60 |
| 6 | Bournemouth | 38 | 13 | 18 | 7 | 58:54 | 57 |
| 7 | Sunderland | 38 | 14 | 12 | 12 | 42:48 | 54 |
| 8 | Brighton | 38 | 14 | 11 | 13 | 52:46 | 53 |
| 9 | Brentford | 38 | 14 | 11 | 13 | 55:52 | 53 |
| 10 | Chelsea | 38 | 14 | 10 | 14 | 58:52 | 52 |
| 11 | Fulham | 38 | 15 | 7 | 16 | 47:51 | 52 |
| 12 | Newcastle Utd | 38 | 14 | 7 | 17 | 53:55 | 49 |
| 13 | Everton | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 47:50 | 49 |
| 14 | Leeds | 38 | 11 | 14 | 13 | 49:56 | 47 |
| 15 | Crystal Palace | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 41:51 | 45 |
| 16 | Nottingham | 38 | 11 | 11 | 16 | 48:51 | 44 |
| 17 | Tottenham | 38 | 10 | 11 | 17 | 48:57 | 41 |
| 18 | West Ham | 38 | 10 | 9 | 19 | 46:65 | 39 |
| 19 | Burnley | 38 | 4 | 10 | 24 | 38:75 | 22 |
| 20 | Wolves | 38 | 3 | 11 | 24 | 27:68 | 20 |
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League (League phase)
Relegation - Championship (Main)
