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Burnley vs Derby

England England

EFL Cup Turf Moor
Burnley logo

Burnley

2 - 1
FT
Derby logo

Derby

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Match Preview

Scoring Trends

Burnley
VS
Derby
1.5
Goals Scored
1.25
1.75
Goals Conceded
1.25
88%
Over 1.5
88%
63%
Over 2.5
50%
50%
Over 3.5
13%

Detailed Analysis

Explore Head-to-Head and Form below for more insights.

Expert Analysis by Omoye ThankGod

Derby look slightly stronger on paper, but consistency has been a variable factor. The numbers point towards an entertaining affair with plenty of goalmouth action.

History suggests these rivals know firmly how to exploit each other's weaknesses. Clean sheets have been rare for these two, pointing towards a BTTS outcome. Our model identifies this as the most rational reading of the game.

Match Possible Outcome Percentage

Match Winner

Home Win27%
Draw34%
Away Win39%

Goals & Scoring

Both Teams to Score65%
Over 1.5 Goals77%
Over 2.5 Goals53%

Match Events

4' Event
Ramsey A.
Assist: Broja A.
35' Event
Clark B.
Assist: Elder C.
46'
Sub
Elder C. In: Clarke M.
Out: Elder C.
46'
Sub
Humphreys B. In: Tuanzebe A.
Out: Humphreys B.
56'
Adams E.
62'
Sub
Osborn B. In: Thompson L.
Out: Osborn B.
62'
Sub
Brewster R. In: Weimann A.
Out: Brewster R.
62'
Sub
Clark B. In: Brown D.
Out: Clark B.
62'
Sub
Tchaouna L. In: Banel J.
Out: Tchaouna L.
63'
Sub
Broja A. In: Barnes A.
Out: Broja A.
70'
Sub
Ward J. In: Wilson K.
Out: Ward J.
78'
Sub
Flemming Z. In: Tresor Ndayishimiye M.
Out: Flemming Z.
90' Event
Sonne O.
Assist: Tresor Ndayishimiye M.
90'
Ramsey A.

Previous Encounters

26 Aug 25 EFL
Burnley ✓
2:1
Derby
08 Apr 25 CHA
Derby
0:0
Burnley
10 Dec 24 CHA
Burnley
0:0
Derby
25 Jan 16 CHA
Burnley ✓
4:1
Derby
21 Sept 15 CHA
Derby
0:0
Burnley

Recent Form (Last 5)

Burnley

Home Team
10 Jan
Burnley
5 : 1
Millwall
07 Jan
Burnley
2 : 2
Manchester United
03 Jan
Brighton
2 : 0
Burnley
30 Dec
Burnley
1 : 3
Newcastle Utd
27 Dec
Burnley
0 : 0
Everton

Derby

Away Team
11 Jan
Derby
1 : 3
Leeds
04 Jan
Derby
1 : 2
Wrexham
01 Jan
Derby
1 : 0
Middlesbrough
29 Dec
Leicester
2 : 1
Derby
26 Dec
Birmingham
1 : 1
Derby

League Standings

League table data unavailable.

Quick Tips

1X2 Draw BTTS/GG U/O 1.5 Goals U/O 2.5 Goals Sure Banker View More Tips

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