Sport Tipps
Aberystwyth vs Pontardawe
Wales
FA Cup 2023/2024 Park Avenue, Aberystwyth 
Spielzusammenfassung
Aberystwyth in this FA Cup 2023/2024 tie, finishing 2-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.
Siegwahrscheinlichkeits-Meter
Basierend auf 10.000 Simulationen unter Berücksichtigung von Heimvorteil & Form
90%
6%
4%
Unentschieden-Quote: 6% Favorit: Aberystwyth
Modell-Vertrauen
Gesamter Indikatorwert
95%
/ Sehr Hoch Vertrauen
- Aberystwyth have won more games recently than Pontardawe.
- Win probability leans Aberystwyth's way, sitting at 90%.
- Aberystwyth have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Aberystwyth, who have won 2 of the last 2 encounters.
- Hohe Trefferquoten deuten auf ein torreiches Spiel hin (Über 2.5 Wahrscheinlichkeit: 78%).
Torwahrscheinlichkeits-Rechner
Modellschätzungen für Tormärkte basierend auf xG-Historie
Über 0.5 Tore 92%
Über 1.5 Tore 82%
Über 2.5 Tore 78%
Über 3.5 Tore 38%
Über 4.5 Tore 17%
Beide treffen (BTTS) 71.8%
Aberystwyth Ohne Gegentor 20%
Pontardawe Ohne Gegentor 10%
Formanalyse der Teams
Durchschnittswerte pro Spiel
| Metrik | Aberystwyth | Pontardawe |
|---|---|---|
| Spiele | 31 | 30 |
| Siege | 16 | 7 |
| Unentschieden | 3 | 6 |
| Niederlagen | 12 | 17 |
| Erzielte Tore | 1.55 | 1.43 |
| Gegentore | 1.39 | 2.37 |
| Erwartete Tore (xG) | 1.63 | 1.06 |
| Erwartete Gegentore (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historische Erfolgsquoten in Hauptmärkten
28. Aug. 2026 Cymru South
Aberystwyth vs Pontardawe
1:0
14. Okt. 2023 FA Cup
Aberystwyth vs Pontardawe
2:1
SokaPicks Momentum-Index
Aktueller Formindex inklusive Belastung und Gegnerstärke (0-100)
Aberystwyth 85 / 100
Pontardawe 10 / 100
Berechnungsgrundlage: Gewichtete Formel aus Formkurve (60%), Tordifferenzen (20%), Heimrecht (10%) und Kadertiefe (10%).
Angriffs- & Abwehrstärke
Aberystwyth Pontardawe
Vorhersage-Engine
Ergebnishäufigkeiten und Hauptmärkte
Haupttipp Aberystwyth Win (1)
Nebentipp Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS-Prognose Yes (GG)
Über/Unter Tipp Over 2.5
Smart Insights
Vom System automatisch erkannte Muster
Pontardawe's defensive record shows goals conceded in 87% of 30 matches.
Aberystwyth found the back of the net in 71% of recent matches (31 games).
Games between these two average 2.00 goals.
Aberystwyth has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Tor-Trends
Aberystwyth VS Pontardawe
1.5 Erzielte Tore 0.63
1.5 Kassierte Tore 1.75
75% Über 1.5 50%
63% Über 2.5 50%
38% Über 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Aberystwyth
(Home) 31 Aug
Aberystwyth
4 : 0 Llanelli
28 Aug
Aberystwyth
1 : 0 Pontardawe
22 Aug
Aberystwyth
5 : 1 Llantwit Major
08 Aug
Aberystwyth
1 : 2 Treowen
01 Aug
Afan Lido
2 : 5 Aberystwyth
Page 1 of 7
31 Aug
Aberystwyth
4 : 0 Llanelli
28 Aug
Aberystwyth
1 : 0 Pontardawe
22 Aug
Aberystwyth
5 : 1 Llantwit Major
08 Aug
Aberystwyth
1 : 2 Treowen
04 Apr
Aberystwyth
2 : 2 Llantwit Major
Page 1 of 4
Pontardawe
(Away) 28 Aug
Aberystwyth
1 : 0 Pontardawe
21 Aug
Afan Lido
1 : 0 Pontardawe
15 Aug
Pontardawe
0 : 4 Newport City
07 Aug
Pontypridd United
3 : 2 Pontardawe
01 Aug
Pontardawe
3 : 0 Caerphilly
Page 1 of 6
28 Aug
Aberystwyth
1 : 0 Pontardawe
21 Aug
Afan Lido
1 : 0 Pontardawe
07 Aug
Pontypridd United
3 : 2 Pontardawe
26 Jun
Cardiff Metropolitan University
5 : 0 Pontardawe
20 Apr
Baglan Dragons
1 : 2 Pontardawe
Page 1 of 4
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/64-finals
Penrhyncoch 2
Chirk AAA FC 4
Porthmadog 3
Glantraeth FC 0
Newport City 0
Abergavenny Town 2
Cardiff Airport 3
Cefn Fforest 1
Rhyl 1
Menai Bridge Tigers 2
Tregaron Turfs 2
Llanuwchllyn 10
Corwen 0
Bow Street 4
TBD -
Buckley -
Penparcau FC 0
Cefn Albion 1
Holyhead 0
Bangor 1876 4
Cerrigydrudion 2
Denbigh 4
TBD -
Flint Town -
Connahs Q. -
TBD -
TBD -
Caernarfon -
St. Asaph 1
Llandudno Junction 0
TBD -
Prestatyn -
Cardiff Corries 2
Caerau Ely 3
TBD -
Afan Lido -
Llanidloes Town 5
Builth 4
Radnor Valley 0
Gresford 4
Aberystwyth -
TBD -
TBD -
Pontardawe -
Bala -
TBD -
TBD -
Llandudno FC -
NFA 0
Flint Mountain 3
TBD -
Holywell Town FC -
Canton 3
Sully Sports 1
TBD -
Cambrian United -
Penydarren 2
South Gower AFC 3
Rockspur 4
Afan United 2
Chepstow Town 7
Pill 0
Abercarn United 4
St Albans 1
Haverfordwest -
TBD -
Baglan Dragons 5
Cwmaman Institute 1
Goytre Utd 1
Trefelin 3
Ammanford Town 1
Taffs Well 0
Cardiff Metropolitan University -
TBD -
Aber Valley 2
Cwmbran Town 3
Mochdre Sports 0
Nantlle Vale FC 2
Mold Alexandra 13
Montgomery 1
Pwllheli 1
Felinheli 2
TBD -
Newtown -
Colwyn Bay -
TBD -
Llanrwst United 2
Conwy Borough 1
Barry Town -
TBD -
Treharris Athletic 1
Porthcawl Town 2
Brickfield Rangers 3
Caersws FC 1
TBD -
Guilsfield -
Airbus UK Broughton FC -
TBD -
Penycae FC 1
Rhos Aelwyd 4
Aberfan 2
Pontyclun FC 1
TBD -
Briton Ferry -
Llanelli -
TBD -
TBD -
Llantwit Major -
Cwmbran Celtic -
TBD -
TBD -
Penybont -
Carmarthen Town -
TBD -
Mumbles Rangers 1
Evans Williams 2
Pontypridd United -
TBD -
Abertillery Bluebirds 2
Caerphilly 1
Ruthin Town -
TBD -
TBD -
TNS -
Trethomas Bluebirds 4
Ely Rangers 1
Llantwit Fardre 3
Penrhiwceiber Rangers 4
1/32-finals
Chirk AAA FC 1
Porthmadog 2
Abergavenny Town 1
Cardiff Airport 3
Menai Bridge Tigers 0
Llanuwchllyn 2
Bow Street 2
Buckley 3
Cefn Albion 1
Bangor 1876 7
Denbigh 0
Flint Town 3
Connahs Q. 4
Caernarfon 1
St. Asaph 0
Prestatyn 1
Caerau Ely 4
Afan Lido 0
Llanidloes Town 1
Gresford 3
Aberystwyth 2
Pontardawe 1
Bala 3
Llandudno FC 0
Flint Mountain 3
Holywell Town FC 1
Canton 2
Cambrian United 1
South Gower AFC 1
Rockspur 0
Chepstow Town 4
Abercarn United 0
Haverfordwest 1
Baglan Dragons 0
Trefelin 2
Ammanford Town 3
Cardiff Metropolitan University 4
Cwmbran Town 0
Nantlle Vale FC 2
Mold Alexandra 3
Felinheli 0
Newtown 6
Colwyn Bay 6
Llanrwst United 2
Barry Town 6
Porthcawl Town 0
Brickfield Rangers 2
Guilsfield 7
Airbus UK Broughton FC 4
Rhos Aelwyd 0
Aberfan 0
Briton Ferry 3
Llanelli 4
Llantwit Major 0
Cwmbran Celtic 0
Penybont 3
Carmarthen Town 2
Evans Williams 0
Pontypridd United -
Abertillery Bluebirds -
Ruthin Town 0
TNS 5
Trethomas Bluebirds 6
Penrhiwceiber Rangers 1
1/16-finals
Porthmadog 5
Cardiff Airport 1
Llanuwchllyn 1
Buckley 2
Bangor 1876 1
Flint Town 2
Connahs Q. 8
Prestatyn 0
Caerau Ely 4
Gresford 3
Aberystwyth 0
Bala 1
Flint Mountain 2
Canton 1
South Gower AFC 3
Chepstow Town 2
Haverfordwest 2
Ammanford Town 0
Cardiff Metropolitan University 2
Mold Alexandra 1
Newtown 1
Colwyn Bay 2
Barry Town 1
Guilsfield 0
Airbus UK Broughton FC 1
Briton Ferry 2
Llanelli 4
Penybont 3
Carmarthen Town 4
Abertillery Bluebirds 2
TNS 7
Trethomas Bluebirds 0
1/8-finals
Porthmadog 0
Buckley 2
Flint Town 0
Connahs Q. 3
Caerau Ely 1
Bala 4
Flint Mountain 2
South Gower AFC 1
Haverfordwest 1
Cardiff Metropolitan University 2
Colwyn Bay 2
Barry Town 0
Briton Ferry 1
Llanelli 0
Carmarthen Town 0
TNS 3
Quarter-finals
Buckley 1
Connahs Q. 4
Bala 3
Flint Mountain 0
Cardiff Metropolitan University 3
Colwyn Bay 2
Briton Ferry 1
TNS 5
Semi-finals
Connahs Q. 1
Bala 0
Cardiff Metropolitan University 2
TNS 6
Final
Connahs Q. 2
TNS 1
