Sport Tipps
Spielzusammenfassung
This Super League 2018/2019 encounter between Al Bahri and Al Karkh promises to be a closely contested affair, with win probabilities pointing to an even matchup. Al Bahri averages 1.1 goals scored and 1.9 conceded in recent matches. Al Karkh shows a form average of 1.4 goals scored and 1.0 conceded. Given their contrasting recent form profiles, this matchup is expected to produce a balanced tactical flow. Historical head-to-head records show 2 wins for Al Bahri, 2 wins for Al Karkh, and 0 draws in their recent direct meetings. Their last direct encounter on 18.04.19 ended in a 1:3 scoreline. Our model projects an expected goals (xG) output of 0.97 for Al Bahri and 0.86 for Al Karkh, suggesting the primary value lies in the Al Karkh double chance or over markets.
Siegwahrscheinlichkeits-Meter
Basierend auf 10.000 Simulationen unter Berücksichtigung von Heimvorteil & Form
Modell-Vertrauen
Gesamter Indikatorwert
- Al Bahri hat zuletzt mehr Punkte geholt als Al Karkh.
- Das Modell prognostiziert eine höhere Torgefahr für die Gastgeber (0.97 vs. 0.86 xG).
- Frühere Begegnungen zeigen einen klaren Vorteil für die Gäste.
- Hohe Trefferquoten deuten auf ein torreiches Spiel hin (Über 2.5 Wahrscheinlichkeit: 57%).
Torwahrscheinlichkeits-Rechner
Modellschätzungen für Tormärkte basierend auf xG-Historie
Formanalyse der Teams
Durchschnittswerte pro Spiel
| Metrik | Al Bahri | Al Karkh |
|---|---|---|
| Spiele | 29 | 30 |
| Siege | 5 | 13 |
| Unentschieden | 8 | 9 |
| Niederlagen | 16 | 8 |
| Erzielte Tore | 1.1 | 1.4 |
| Gegentore | 1.86 | 1 |
H2H
Historische Erfolgsquoten in Hauptmärkten
Taktisches Profil
Feldpositionen & Kontrollstile
Al Bahri
Al Karkh
Schlüsselspieler-Analyse
Top-Akteure und erwartete Torbeteiligungen
Al Bahri Vergleich
Al Karkh Vergleich
Kader-Verfügbarkeit
Sokapicks Momentum-Index
Aktueller Formindex inklusive Belastung und Gegnerstärke (0-100)
Angriffs- & Abwehrstärke
Vorhersage-Engine
Ergebnishäufigkeiten und Hauptmärkte
Value Bet Finder (+EV)
Spiele mit mathematischem Vorteil gegenüber Buchmachern
Erwarteter Spielverlauf
Dominanzkurven in 15-Minuten-Abschnitten
Al Karkh will likely look to assert dominance early, testing the hosts' defensive structure.
Al Bahri will look to tighten their defensive lines to neutralize Al Karkh's early runs.
Expect Al Karkh to mount counter-attacks, exploiting gaps as Al Bahri tries to push forward.
Tactical adjustments will see Al Karkh increase their pressing intensity in the opposition half.
Fatigue may set in for Al Bahri's defense, opening up opportunities for Al Karkh's forward line.
Expect Al Karkh to manage the closing stages, while Al Bahri searches for late drama.
Offensiv-Heatmaps & Schüsse
Dynamische Heat-Overlays aus Zonen-Statistiken
Smart Insights
Vom System automatisch erkannte Muster
Al Bahri have found the net in 69% of their last 29 matches.
Al Karkh have conceded at least one goal in 73% of their last 30 fixtures.
Historical meetings between these sides average 3.50 goals per match.
Al Bahri remained undefeated in 3 of their last 5 overall matchups.
Al Karkh suffered defeat in 1 of their last 5 overall games.
Risikoanalyse
Bewertung von Störfaktoren
Fatigue: Match timing requires careful team selection; potential roster adjustments may affect consistency.
Standard league campaign fixture. Both teams have strong incentives to secure maximum points for table positioning.
Match Intensity: High stakes fixture where discipline and tactical patience will be crucial factors.
Teamvergleich
Direkter Statistikvergleich
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Al Shorta | 38 | 27 | 8 | 3 | 73:22 | 89 |
| 2 | Al Quwa Al Jawiya | 38 | 25 | 9 | 4 | 58:27 | 84 |
| 3 | Al Zawraa | 38 | 17 | 14 | 7 | 57:40 | 65 |
| 4 | Al Naft | 38 | 16 | 15 | 7 | 60:39 | 63 |
| 5 | Naft Missan | 38 | 15 | 14 | 9 | 57:47 | 59 |
| 6 | Al Karkh | 38 | 15 | 12 | 11 | 44:35 | 57 |
| 7 | Al Wasat | 38 | 11 | 17 | 10 | 38:37 | 50 |
| 8 | Baghdad | 38 | 12 | 14 | 12 | 36:35 | 50 |
| 9 | Al-Hudod | 38 | 12 | 14 | 12 | 35:41 | 50 |
| 10 | Al Kahraba | 38 | 10 | 18 | 10 | 41:41 | 48 |
| 11 | Erbil | 38 | 12 | 12 | 14 | 34:36 | 48 |
| 12 | Al Najaf | 38 | 9 | 17 | 12 | 41:43 | 44 |
| 13 | Al Talaba | 38 | 10 | 14 | 14 | 47:52 | 44 |
| 14 | Al Diwaniya | 38 | 9 | 17 | 12 | 32:43 | 44 |
| 15 | Naft Al-Basra | 38 | 11 | 9 | 18 | 37:53 | 42 |
| 16 | Alsinaat Alkahrabaiya | 38 | 9 | 14 | 15 | 30:38 | 41 |
| 17 | Al Minaa | 38 | 8 | 16 | 14 | 34:42 | 40 |
| 18 | Al Simawa | 38 | 8 | 9 | 21 | 26:59 | 33 |
| 19 | Al Bahri | 38 | 6 | 11 | 21 | 39:66 | 29 |
| 20 | Al Hussein | 38 | 5 | 12 | 21 | 29:52 | 27 |