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Aliados Lordelo vs Sertanense - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Portugal Portugal

Taça de Portugal 2012/2013
So., 16. Sept. 2012
2 - 1
02:00 PM
Unser Tipp

Spielzusammenfassung

This match ends 2-1, with Aliados Lordelo advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Siegwahrscheinlichkeits-Meter

Basierend auf 10.000 Simulationen unter Berücksichtigung von Heimvorteil & Form

30%
Aliados Lordelo
39%
Unentschieden
31%
Sertanense
Unentschieden-Quote: 39% Favorit: Draw

Modell-Vertrauen

Gesamter Indikatorwert

65% / Mittel Vertrauen
  • Sertanense haven't matched Aliados Lordelo's recent run of results.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Aliados Lordelo have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Aliados Lordelo, who have won 2 of the last 3 encounters.
  • Hohe Trefferquoten deuten auf ein torreiches Spiel hin (Über 2.5 Wahrscheinlichkeit: 78%).
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Aliados Lordelo have taken 2 of them.

Torwahrscheinlichkeits-Rechner

Modellschätzungen für Tormärkte basierend auf xG-Historie

Über 0.5 Tore 92%
Über 1.5 Tore 82%
Über 2.5 Tore 78%
Über 3.5 Tore 0%
Über 4.5 Tore 0%
Beide treffen (BTTS) 70.6%
Aliados Lordelo Ohne Gegentor 20%
Sertanense Ohne Gegentor 14%

Formanalyse der Teams

Durchschnittswerte pro Spiel

Metrik Aliados Lordelo Sertanense
Spiele 30 30
Siege 11 4
Unentschieden 4 11
Niederlagen 15 15
Erzielte Tore 1.27 0.7
Gegentore 1.4 1.23
Erwartete Tore (xG) 1.04 0.93
Erwartete Gegentore (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historische Erfolgsquoten in Hauptmärkten

16. Sept. 2012 Taça de Portugal
Aliados Lordelo vs Sertanense
2:1
20. Feb. 2011 Second Division - Zona Centro
Aliados Lordelo vs Sertanense
2:0
24. Okt. 2010 Second Division - Zona Centro
Sertanense vs Aliados Lordelo
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum-Index

Aktueller Formindex inklusive Belastung und Gegnerstärke (0-100)

Aliados Lordelo 31 / 100
Sertanense 31 / 100
Berechnungsgrundlage: Gewichtete Formel aus Formkurve (60%), Tordifferenzen (20%), Heimrecht (10%) und Kadertiefe (10%).

Angriffs- & Abwehrstärke

ANGRIFF ABWEHR BALLBESITZ DISZIPLIN
Aliados Lordelo Sertanense

Vorhersage-Engine

Ergebnishäufigkeiten und Hauptmärkte

Haupttipp Aliados Lordelo Win (1)
Nebentipp Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS-Prognose Yes (GG)
Über/Unter Tipp Over 2.5

Smart Insights

Vom System automatisch erkannte Muster

Sertanense let in goals in 83% of their last 30 matches.

Attacking prowess: Aliados Lordelo scored in 73% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.67 goals per match.

Sertanense lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Tor-Trends

- VS Sertanense
0 Erzielte Tore 0.75
0 Kassierte Tore 0.88
0% Über 1.5 75%
0% Über 2.5 0%
0% Über 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Aliados Lordelo

(Home)
10 Sept
Aliados Lordelo
1 : 3
SC Vianense
21 Sept
Oriental
1 : 0
Aliados Lordelo
01 Sept
Aliados Lordelo
3 : 2
Manteigas
21 Oct
Aliados Lordelo
0 : 2
Oliveirense
16 Sept
Aliados Lordelo
2 : 1
Sertanense
Page 1 of 6

Sertanense

(Away)
27 Sept
O Elvas CAD
2 : 0
Sertanense
13 Sept
Sertanense
1 : 1
Malveira
30 Aug
Alcains
1 : 0
Sertanense
23 Aug
Sertanense
1 : 3
Mortagua FC
16 Aug
Nogueirense
1 : 1
Sertanense
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/64-finals
Vitoria Guimaraes -
TBD -
FC Felgueiras 1
Vilaverdense FC 2
Tondela 5
Lagoa 0
TBD -
Vitoria Setubal -
Aguiar da Beira 3
Vila Mea 2
SC Barreiro 2
Uniao Lamas 3
AD Oliveirense 1
Alcanenense 0
TBD -
Maritimo -
FC Porto -
TBD -
Amarante FC 0
Santa Eulalia 3
SC Espinho 3
AA Avanca 0
TBD -
Nacional -
FC Pampilhosa 1
GD Sourense 0
Cinfaes 0
Covilha 4
Leixoes 4
Leca 1
TBD -
Braga -
Arouca 1
Trofense 0
Atletico CP 0
Naval 2
Portimonense 2
Academico Viseu 0
TBD -
Rio Ave -
SC Farense 3
CDR Quarteirense 2
Grijo 0
Atletico SC 1
Penafiel 1
Casa Pia 0
TBD -
Beira Mar -
Fabril do Barreiro 2
Paredes 1
Desportivo Moncao 0
Electrico FC 1
Ribeirao 6
Uniao Montemor 0
Oeiras 1
Oliveira Hospital 4
Pedras Rubras 4
Maritimo Graciosa 0
SB Castelo Branco 1
U. Madeira 3
Anadia 3
Vitoria FC Pico 0
Vizela 0
BSAD 4
Pacos Ferreira -
TBD -
TBD -
Estoril -
1º Dezembro 1
Pero Pinheiro 0
TBD -
Olhanense -
Feirense 2
Padroense 0
C.F. Benfica 1
AD Fafe 2
Pinhalnovense 2
Santa Maria FC 1
Louletano 1
SC Lourinhanense 2
Oliveirense 2
Sintrense 1
Sertanense 1
Aliados Lordelo 2
Sacavenense 1
Sampedrense 0
CD Ribeira Brava 0
Leiria 1
SC Mirandela 1
SL Cartaxo 0
Bustelo 0
Varzim 3
Gondomar 1
SC Praiense 0
TBD -
Gil Vicente -
Academica -
TBD -
Melgacense 1
Ponte da Barca 2
Fatima 4
SC Pombal 1
GD Peniche 0
Penalva do Castelo 1
Santa Clara 3
Vasco da Gama Vidigueira 0
Tocha 1
Nogueirense 2
AD Limianos 4
Amora 0
Oriental 0
GD Tourizense 1
Aves 2
Estarreja 0
Chaves 0
Tirsense 2
Caldas SC 3
Operario 0
Sousense 0
Coimbroes 2
Moreirense -
TBD -
TBD -
Sporting CP -
Freamunde 1
SC Salgueiros 0
TBD -
Benfica -
1/32-finals
Vitoria Guimaraes 6
Vilaverdense FC 1
Tondela 0
Vitoria Setubal 1
Aguiar da Beira 1
Uniao Lamas 0
AD Oliveirense 1
Maritimo 2
FC Porto 1
Santa Eulalia 0
SC Espinho 0
Nacional 4
FC Pampilhosa 6
Covilha 5
Leixoes 0
Braga 3
Arouca 3
Naval 1
Portimonense 1
Rio Ave 2
SC Farense 1
Atletico SC 0
Penafiel 0
Beira Mar 1
Fabril do Barreiro 3
Electrico FC 1
Ribeirao 1
Oliveira Hospital 2
Pedras Rubras 3
U. Madeira 2
Anadia 2
BSAD 5
Pacos Ferreira 2
Estoril 1
1º Dezembro 0
Olhanense 3
Feirense 3
AD Fafe 0
Pinhalnovense 0
SC Lourinhanense 3
Oliveirense 2
Aliados Lordelo 0
Sacavenense 2
Leiria 3
SC Mirandela 2
Varzim 1
Gondomar 0
Gil Vicente 2
Academica 3
Ponte da Barca 1
Fatima 0
Penalva do Castelo 1
Santa Clara 3
Nogueirense 1
AD Limianos 0
GD Tourizense 1
Aves 3
Tirsense 1
Caldas SC 0
Coimbroes 1
Moreirense 3
Sporting CP 2
Freamunde 0
Benfica 4
1/16-finals
Vitoria Guimaraes 3
Vitoria Setubal 2
Aguiar da Beira 0
Maritimo 3
FC Porto 3
Nacional 0
FC Pampilhosa 1
Braga 3
Arouca 2
Rio Ave 1
SC Farense 1
Beira Mar 2
Fabril do Barreiro 2
Oliveira Hospital 0
Pedras Rubras 0
BSAD 3
Pacos Ferreira 2
Olhanense 1
Feirense 2
SC Lourinhanense 3
Oliveirense 1
Leiria 0
SC Mirandela 1
Gil Vicente 2
Academica 1
Penalva do Castelo 0
Santa Clara 0
GD Tourizense 1
Aves 2
Coimbroes 1
Moreirense 0
Benfica 2
1/8-finals
Vitoria Guimaraes 2
Maritimo 1
FC Porto 1
Braga 2
Arouca 2
Beira Mar 1
Fabril do Barreiro 0
BSAD 4
Pacos Ferreira 6
SC Lourinhanense 0
Oliveirense 0
Gil Vicente 1
Academica 3
GD Tourizense 0
Aves 0
Benfica 6
Quarter-finals
Vitoria Guimaraes 2
Braga 1
Arouca 1
BSAD 4
Pacos Ferreira 2
Gil Vicente 1
Academica 0
Benfica 4
Semi-finals
Vitoria Guimaraes 3
BSAD 0
Pacos Ferreira 1
Benfica 3
Final
Vitoria Guimaraes 2
Benfica 1