Sport Tipps
Aljustrelense vs Estrela Calheta
Portugal
Taça de Portugal 2011/2012 
Spielzusammenfassung
This match ends 2-0, with Aljustrelense advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.
Siegwahrscheinlichkeits-Meter
Basierend auf 10.000 Simulationen unter Berücksichtigung von Heimvorteil & Form
30%
39%
31%
Unentschieden-Quote: 39% Favorit: Draw
Modell-Vertrauen
Gesamter Indikatorwert
65%
/ Mittel Vertrauen
- Aljustrelense carry the better recent record into this one.
- Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
- Aljustrelense have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Aljustrelense, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
- Hohe Trefferquoten deuten auf ein torreiches Spiel hin (Über 2.5 Wahrscheinlichkeit: 78%).
Torwahrscheinlichkeits-Rechner
Modellschätzungen für Tormärkte basierend auf xG-Historie
Über 0.5 Tore 92%
Über 1.5 Tore 82%
Über 2.5 Tore 78%
Über 3.5 Tore 29%
Über 4.5 Tore 13%
Beide treffen (BTTS) 66.2%
Aljustrelense Ohne Gegentor 20%
Estrela Calheta Ohne Gegentor 10%
Formanalyse der Teams
Durchschnittswerte pro Spiel
| Metrik | Aljustrelense | Estrela Calheta |
|---|---|---|
| Spiele | 24 | 9 |
| Siege | 6 | 2 |
| Unentschieden | 3 | 2 |
| Niederlagen | 15 | 5 |
| Erzielte Tore | 0.71 | 0.67 |
| Gegentore | 1.83 | 1.67 |
| Erwartete Tore (xG) | 1.65 | 1.21 |
| Erwartete Gegentore (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historische Erfolgsquoten in Hauptmärkten
11. Sept. 2011 Taça de Portugal
Aljustrelense vs Estrela Calheta
2:0
SokaPicks Momentum-Index
Aktueller Formindex inklusive Belastung und Gegnerstärke (0-100)
Aljustrelense 31 / 100
Estrela Calheta 30 / 100
Berechnungsgrundlage: Gewichtete Formel aus Formkurve (60%), Tordifferenzen (20%), Heimrecht (10%) und Kadertiefe (10%).
Angriffs- & Abwehrstärke
Aljustrelense Estrela Calheta
Vorhersage-Engine
Ergebnishäufigkeiten und Hauptmärkte
Haupttipp Aljustrelense Win (1)
Nebentipp Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS-Prognose Yes (GG)
Über/Unter Tipp Over 2.5
Smart Insights
Vom System automatisch erkannte Muster
Aljustrelense found the back of the net in 63% of recent matches (24 games).
Defensive concern: Estrela Calheta conceded in 67% of 9 recent games.
Games between these two average 2.00 goals.
Solid form: Aljustrelense remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.
Tor-Trends
Aljustrelense VS Estrela Calheta
0.63 Erzielte Tore 0.67
1.75 Kassierte Tore 2.67
63% Über 1.5 67%
25% Über 2.5 33%
25% Über 3.5 33%
Recent Form & Match History
Aljustrelense
(Home) 16 Aug
Aljustrelense
1 : 1 Lagoa
10 Apr
Vitoria Setubal
2 : 0 Aljustrelense
03 Apr
Aljustrelense
2 : 1 Moura AC
14 Mar
Aljustrelense
1 : 2 Louletano
07 Mar
Amora
5 : 0 Aljustrelense
Page 1 of 5
16 Aug
Aljustrelense
1 : 1 Lagoa
03 Apr
Aljustrelense
2 : 1 Moura AC
14 Mar
Aljustrelense
1 : 2 Louletano
25 Feb
Aljustrelense
1 : 2 Pinhalnovense
17 Feb
Aljustrelense
0 : 1 Amora
Page 1 of 3
Estrela Calheta
(Away) 15 Aug
Machico
0 : 0 Estrela Calheta
29 Jul
Maritimo
1 : 1 Estrela Calheta
21 Sept
FC Alpendorada
7 : 1 Estrela Calheta
11 Sept
Aljustrelense
2 : 0 Estrela Calheta
28 Aug
Santana
0 : 1 Estrela Calheta
Page 1 of 2
15 Aug
Machico
0 : 0 Estrela Calheta
29 Jul
Maritimo
1 : 1 Estrela Calheta
21 Sept
FC Alpendorada
7 : 1 Estrela Calheta
11 Sept
Aljustrelense
2 : 0 Estrela Calheta
28 Aug
Santana
0 : 1 Estrela Calheta
Page 1 of 2
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/128-finals
Sporting CP -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
U. Madeira -
TBD -
Cruzado Canicense 0
Famalicao 3
1º Dezembro -
TBD -
Louletano 0
Operario 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Braga -
Vizela 4
Despertar 1
Marinhense 0
AA Avanca 3
Fabril do Barreiro 2
Riachense 0
TBD -
AD Fafe -
Trofense -
TBD -
Uniao Montemor 2
CDR Quarteirense 3
Esposende 3
AD Valecambrense 2
TBD -
BSAD -
Benfica -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
GD Sourense 2
Melgacense 1
TBD -
Portimonense -
Macedo de Cavaleiros 4
CF Fao 0
TBD -
Atletico CP -
Freamunde -
TBD -
TBD -
Naval -
Juv. Evora 2
Messinense 1
CF Canical 0
Carregado 4
Serzedelo 1
FC Alpendorada 0
TBD -
Esperanca de Lagos -
Beira Mar -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Maritimo -
Moreirense -
TBD -
Maria de Fonte 1
SB Castelo Branco 2
Pinhalnovense -
TBD -
Ribeirao 0
AD Pontassolense 1
Coimbroes -
TBD -
TBD -
Oliveira de Frades -
Lagoa 2
Aguia 1
Aliados Lordelo 1
AD Lousada 2
Rio Ave -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Mafra -
TBD -
Alba 1
Sousense 3
Gil Vicente -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
SC Vila Real 1
1º de Maio Funchal 0
Bustelo 0
Torreense 3
Tirsense -
TBD -
TBD -
Santa Clara -
Beneditense 3
SC Praiense 1
TBD -
Sampedrense -
SC Espinho 3
FC Madalena 1
CU Micaelense 0
Camara de Lobos 3
GD Tourizense 2
Tocha 1
TBD -
Sao Joao de Ver -
Pacos Ferreira -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Sanjoanense 1
FC Cesarense 0
Senhorim 0
Chaves 7
Feirense -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Nacional -
Oliveirense -
TBD -
TBD -
Academico Viseu -
Paredes 5
Montijo 1
GD Braganca 2
SC Pombal 3
Anadia 1
SC Lusitania 0
Santiago FC 0
Amarante FC 6
Electrico FC 4
AD Limianos 0
Alcobaca 4
Tondela 5
Gondomar -
TBD -
TBD -
Sesimbra -
Sporting Ideal 2
Fayal 0
TBD -
GD Joane -
Vitoria Setubal -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Sertanense 1
Nogueirense 0
Oliveira Hospital 0
SC Mirandela 1
Estoril -
TBD -
Porto da Cruz 1
Sacavenense 2
Bairro da Argentina 3
Atletico SC 2
AD Oliveirense 2
Vila Mea 3
Merelinense -
TBD -
TBD -
SC Angrense -
Rebordosa 2
Oliv. Bairro 1
TBD -
Penafiel -
GD Alcochetense 6
Bombarralense 2
Prainha 0
Penalva do Castelo 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Leiria -
FC Pampilhosa 3
Fatima 0
GD Peniche 0
FC Amares 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Olhanense -
Aves -
TBD -
Sintrense 0
Estrela Vendas Novas 2
Machico 2
Varzim 1
Real SC 0
Infesta 2
Moura AC 2
Grijo 0
SC Vianense 1
Cinfaes 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Vitoria Guimaraes -
Covilha -
TBD -
SC Farense 0
Caldas SC 3
Marinhas -
TBD -
Guadalupe 0
Lamego 1
CD Portosantense 2
C.F. Benfica 1
Cerveira 0
Casa Pia 2
Pescadores Caparica 1
Meda 0
Camacha 0
CD Ribeira Brava 1
Leixoes -
TBD -
TBD -
Arouca -
Estrela Calheta 1
Santana 0
CF Andorinha 0
Aljustrelense 2
Monsanto -
TBD -
Boavista Sao Mateus 0
Redondense 1
Padroense 2
O Elvas CAD 1
FC Crato 0
Santa Maria FC 6
FC Porto -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Leca 2
Vilaverdense FC 0
TBD -
Pero Pinheiro -
Oriental 2
SL Cartaxo 1
TBD -
Oeiras -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Academica -
1/64-finals
Sporting CP -
TBD -
U. Madeira 0
Famalicao 1
1º Dezembro 2
Operario 1
TBD -
Braga -
Vizela 2
AA Avanca 0
Fabril do Barreiro 0
AD Fafe 1
Trofense 1
CDR Quarteirense 0
Esposende 1
BSAD 5
Benfica -
TBD -
GD Sourense 0
Portimonense 3
Macedo de Cavaleiros 1
Atletico CP 0
Freamunde 1
Naval 3
Juv. Evora 2
Carregado 1
Serzedelo 0
Esperanca de Lagos 1
Beira Mar -
TBD -
TBD -
Maritimo -
Moreirense 3
SB Castelo Branco 2
Pinhalnovense 0
AD Pontassolense 1
Coimbroes 3
Oliveira de Frades 1
Lagoa 1
AD Lousada 2
Rio Ave -
TBD -
Mafra 1
Sousense 2
Gil Vicente -
TBD -
SC Vila Real 0
Torreense 2
Tirsense 2
Santa Clara 1
Beneditense 0
Sampedrense 1
SC Espinho 4
Camara de Lobos 0
GD Tourizense 1
Sao Joao de Ver 4
Pacos Ferreira -
TBD -
Sanjoanense 0
Chaves 3
Feirense -
TBD -
TBD -
Nacional -
Oliveirense 5
Academico Viseu 2
Paredes 0
SC Pombal 2
Anadia 3
Amarante FC 2
Electrico FC 0
Tondela 1
Gondomar 1
Sesimbra 0
Sporting Ideal 2
GD Joane 3
Vitoria Setubal -
TBD -
Sertanense 2
SC Mirandela 4
Estoril 2
Sacavenense 0
Bairro da Argentina 1
Vila Mea 2
Merelinense 4
SC Angrense 3
Rebordosa 0
Penafiel 6
GD Alcochetense 3
Penalva do Castelo 2
TBD -
Leiria -
FC Pampilhosa 2
FC Amares 1
TBD -
Olhanense -
Aves 2
Estrela Vendas Novas 0
Machico 1
Infesta 2
Moura AC 2
Cinfaes 1
TBD -
Vitoria Guimaraes -
Covilha 4
Caldas SC 0
Marinhas 1
Lamego 2
CD Portosantense 1
Casa Pia 0
Pescadores Caparica 0
CD Ribeira Brava 1
Leixoes 2
Arouca 1
Estrela Calheta 0
Aljustrelense 2
Monsanto 5
Redondense 1
Padroense 0
Santa Maria FC 1
FC Porto -
TBD -
Leca 0
Pero Pinheiro 2
Oriental 1
Oeiras 0
TBD -
Academica -
1/32-finals
Sporting CP 2
Famalicao 0
1º Dezembro 1
Braga 3
Vizela 3
AD Fafe 2
Trofense 1
BSAD 2
Benfica 2
Portimonense 0
Macedo de Cavaleiros 1
Naval 2
Juv. Evora 2
Esperanca de Lagos 0
Beira Mar 0
Maritimo 1
Moreirense 3
AD Pontassolense 1
Coimbroes 0
AD Lousada 1
Rio Ave 5
Sousense 2
Gil Vicente 0
Torreense 1
Tirsense 3
Sampedrense 1
SC Espinho 1
Sao Joao de Ver 2
Pacos Ferreira 1
Chaves 0
Feirense 0
Nacional 1
Oliveirense 7
SC Pombal 1
Anadia 2
Tondela 3
Gondomar 1
GD Joane 0
Vitoria Setubal 0
SC Mirandela 1
Estoril 3
Vila Mea 1
Merelinense 2
Penafiel 3
GD Alcochetense 2
Leiria 1
FC Pampilhosa 0
Olhanense 3
Aves 4
Infesta 0
Moura AC 1
Vitoria Guimaraes 2
Covilha 4
Lamego 1
CD Portosantense 0
CD Ribeira Brava 2
Leixoes 1
Aljustrelense 0
Monsanto 1
Santa Maria FC 2
FC Porto 8
Pero Pinheiro 0
Oriental 0
Academica 1
1/16-finals
Sporting CP 2
Braga 0
Vizela 0
BSAD 2
Benfica 1
Naval 0
Juv. Evora 0
Maritimo 1
Moreirense 7
AD Lousada 1
Rio Ave 2
Torreense 3
Tirsense 3
Sao Joao de Ver 0
Pacos Ferreira 2
Nacional 3
Oliveirense 1
Tondela 0
Gondomar 1
SC Mirandela 2
Estoril 2
Penafiel 1
GD Alcochetense 0
Olhanense 1
Aves 1
Vitoria Guimaraes 0
Covilha 0
CD Ribeira Brava 1
Leixoes 1
Santa Maria FC 0
FC Porto 0
Academica 3
1/8-finals
Sporting CP 2
BSAD 0
Benfica 1
Maritimo 2
Moreirense 2
Torreense 1
Tirsense 0
Nacional 1
Oliveirense 2
SC Mirandela 1
Estoril 2
Olhanense 3
Aves 2
CD Ribeira Brava 1
Leixoes 2
Academica 5
Quarter-finals
Sporting CP 3
Maritimo 0
Moreirense 2
Nacional 3
Oliveirense 2
Olhanense 1
Aves 2
Academica 3
Semi-finals
Sporting CP 5
Nacional 3
Oliveirense 2
Academica 3
Final
Sporting CP 0
Academica 1
