Sport Tipps
Almirante Brown vs Deportivo Moron - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Argentinien
Primera Nacional Estadio Fragata Presidente Sarmiento, Isidro Casanova 
Spielzusammenfassung
Almirante Brown host Deportivo Moron in the Primera Nacional. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Almirante Brown have averaged 0.83 scored and 0.72 conceded recently, against Deportivo Moron's 1.45 scored and 1.1 conceded. Past meetings favor Deportivo Moron slightly — 1-2-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on 7. Juni 2026, ending 1:0. Model xG sits at 1.00 vs 1.13, favoring Deportivo Moron. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Under 2.5 goals.
Siegwahrscheinlichkeits-Meter
Basierend auf 10.000 Simulationen unter Berücksichtigung von Heimvorteil & Form
40%
33%
27%
Unentschieden-Quote: 33% Favorit: Almirante Brown
Modell-Vertrauen
Gesamter Indikatorwert
70%
/ Mittel Vertrauen
- Deportivo Moron carry the better recent record into this one.
- Model gives Almirante Brown a 40% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Starke Defensiven sprechen für ein kontrolliertes, torarmes Spiel.
Torwahrscheinlichkeits-Rechner
Modellschätzungen für Tormärkte basierend auf xG-Historie
Über 0.5 Tore 85%
Über 1.5 Tore 63%
Über 2.5 Tore 25%
Über 3.5 Tore 13%
Über 4.5 Tore 6%
Beide treffen (BTTS) 28.400000000000002%
Almirante Brown Ohne Gegentor 68%
Deportivo Moron Ohne Gegentor 15%
Formanalyse der Teams
Durchschnittswerte pro Spiel
| Metrik | Almirante Brown | Deportivo Moron |
|---|---|---|
| Spiele | 29 | 29 |
| Siege | 10 | 14 |
| Unentschieden | 10 | 5 |
| Niederlagen | 9 | 10 |
| Erzielte Tore | 0.83 | 1.45 |
| Gegentore | 0.72 | 1.1 |
| Erwartete Tore (xG) | 1.00 | 1.13 |
| Erwartete Gegentore (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historische Erfolgsquoten in Hauptmärkten
7. Juni 2026 Primera Nacional
Deportivo Moron vs Almirante Brown
1:0
14. Juni 2025 Primera Nacional
Deportivo Moron vs Almirante Brown
2:0
9. Feb. 2025 Primera Nacional
Almirante Brown vs Deportivo Moron
1:1
25. Aug. 2024 Primera Nacional
Deportivo Moron vs Almirante Brown
0:1
6. Apr. 2024 Primera Nacional
Almirante Brown vs Deportivo Moron
1:1
SokaPicks Momentum-Index
Aktueller Formindex inklusive Belastung und Gegnerstärke (0-100)
Almirante Brown 50 / 100
Deportivo Moron 27 / 100
Berechnungsgrundlage: Gewichtete Formel aus Formkurve (60%), Tordifferenzen (20%), Heimrecht (10%) und Kadertiefe (10%).
Angriffs- & Abwehrstärke
Almirante Brown Deportivo Moron
Vorhersage-Engine
Ergebnishäufigkeiten und Hauptmärkte
Haupttipp Almirante Brown Win (1)
Nebentipp Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS-Prognose No (NG)
Über/Unter Tipp Under 2.5
Smart Insights
Vom System automatisch erkannte Muster
Deportivo Moron let in goals in 72% of their last 29 matches.
Games between these two average 1.60 goals.
Difficult form: Deportivo Moron registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.
Almirante Brown's goal record stands at 59% scoring rate across 29 recent games.
Tor-Trends
Almirante Brown VS Deportivo Moron
0.75 Erzielte Tore 1.5
0.75 Kassierte Tore 1.25
38% Über 1.5 88%
13% Über 2.5 88%
13% Über 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Almirante Brown
(Home) 17 Oct
Colon Santa Fe
2 : 2 Almirante Brown
11 Oct
Almirante Brown
1 : 1 San Miguel
04 Oct
San Telmo
3 : 2 Almirante Brown
26 Sept
Almirante Brown
0 : 1 Acassuso
20 Sept
Chaco For Ever
1 : 0 Almirante Brown
Page 1 of 6
11 Oct
Almirante Brown
1 : 1 San Miguel
26 Sept
Almirante Brown
0 : 1 Acassuso
13 Sept
Almirante Brown
0 : 0 Ferro
30 Aug
Almirante Brown
1 : 0 Deportivo Madryn
08 Aug
Almirante Brown
2 : 0 Ciudad Bolivar
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Deportivo Moron
(Away) 18 Oct
Deportivo Moron
0 : 2 CA Mitre
11 Oct
CA Estudiantes
2 : 0 Deportivo Moron
03 Oct
Deportivo Moron
2 : 1 All Boys
27 Sept
Los Andes
2 : 1 Deportivo Moron
20 Sept
Deportivo Moron
1 : 2 Godoy Cruz
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11 Oct
CA Estudiantes
2 : 0 Deportivo Moron
27 Sept
Los Andes
2 : 1 Deportivo Moron
13 Sept
Racing Cordoba
1 : 2 Deportivo Moron
05 Sept
Colon Santa Fe
1 : 2 Deportivo Moron
27 Aug
Central Norte
0 : 0 Deportivo Moron
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League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ferro | 34 | 19 | 8 | 7 | 38:28 | 65 |
| 2 | Godoy Cruz | 34 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 48:32 | 60 |
| 3 | Deportivo Moron | 34 | 17 | 7 | 10 | 51:36 | 58 |
| 4 | Deportivo Madryn | 34 | 14 | 12 | 8 | 47:30 | 54 |
| 5 | Colon Santa Fe | 34 | 14 | 12 | 8 | 41:27 | 54 |
| 6 | Ciudad Bolivar | 34 | 13 | 12 | 9 | 30:29 | 51 |
| 7 | Almirante Brown | 34 | 12 | 12 | 10 | 28:24 | 48 |
| 8 | CA Estudiantes | 34 | 13 | 9 | 12 | 34:33 | 48 |
| 9 | Los Andes | 34 | 9 | 14 | 11 | 26:25 | 41 |
| 10 | Chaco For Ever | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 33:36 | 40 |
| 11 | Racing Cordoba | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 30:40 | 40 |
| 12 | CA Mitre | 34 | 8 | 15 | 11 | 31:39 | 39 |
| 13 | Defensores de Belgrano | 34 | 8 | 14 | 12 | 25:32 | 38 |
| 14 | San Telmo | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 28:37 | 38 |
| 15 | Central Norte | 34 | 7 | 16 | 11 | 23:31 | 37 |
| 16 | All Boys | 34 | 6 | 17 | 11 | 19:29 | 35 |
| 17 | Acassuso | 34 | 8 | 9 | 17 | 25:35 | 33 |
| 18 | San Miguel | 34 | 6 | 14 | 14 | 27:41 | 32 |
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tristan Suarez | 34 | 16 | 14 | 4 | 33:15 | 62 |
| 2 | Temperley | 34 | 16 | 12 | 6 | 41:28 | 60 |
| 3 | Gimnasia Jujuy | 34 | 16 | 10 | 8 | 51:42 | 58 |
| 4 | Atletico Atlanta | 34 | 18 | 4 | 12 | 40:33 | 58 |
| 5 | Gimnasia y Tiro | 34 | 14 | 10 | 10 | 37:31 | 52 |
| 6 | Midland | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 40:29 | 51 |
| 7 | Colegiales | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 35:31 | 50 |
| 8 | Deportivo Maipu | 34 | 13 | 9 | 12 | 40:33 | 48 |
| 9 | San Martin S.J. | 34 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 36:34 | 47 |
| 10 | San Martin T. | 34 | 11 | 13 | 10 | 38:35 | 46 |
| 11 | Atl. Rafaela | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 28:34 | 45 |
| 12 | Almagro | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 31:41 | 41 |
| 13 | Agropecuario | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 27:38 | 40 |
| 14 | Quilmes | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 30:29 | 39 |
| 15 | Patronato | 34 | 7 | 16 | 11 | 29:33 | 37 |
| 16 | Chacarita Juniors | 34 | 10 | 6 | 18 | 26:35 | 36 |
| 17 | Nueva Chicago | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 24:33 | 36 |
| 18 | Club Atletico Guemes | 34 | 6 | 8 | 20 | 25:57 | 26 |
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)
