Sport Tipps
Spielzusammenfassung
The Série D 2012 game between Aracruz and Volta Redonda finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Aracruz.
Siegwahrscheinlichkeits-Meter
Basierend auf 10.000 Simulationen unter Berücksichtigung von Heimvorteil & Form
60%
22%
18%
Unentschieden-Quote: 22% Favorit: Aracruz
Modell-Vertrauen
Gesamter Indikatorwert
82%
/ Sehr Hoch Vertrauen
- Look at the last few games and Aracruz come out ahead of Volta Redonda on wins alone.
- Model gives Aracruz a 60% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Hohe Trefferquoten deuten auf ein torreiches Spiel hin (Über 2.5 Wahrscheinlichkeit: 78%).
Torwahrscheinlichkeits-Rechner
Modellschätzungen für Tormärkte basierend auf xG-Historie
Über 0.5 Tore 92%
Über 1.5 Tore 82%
Über 2.5 Tore 78%
Über 3.5 Tore 6.5%
Über 4.5 Tore 3%
Beide treffen (BTTS) 69.8%
Aracruz Ohne Gegentor 20%
Volta Redonda Ohne Gegentor 11%
Formanalyse der Teams
Durchschnittswerte pro Spiel
| Metrik | Aracruz | Volta Redonda |
|---|---|---|
| Spiele | 33 | 31 |
| Siege | 15 | 9 |
| Unentschieden | 9 | 6 |
| Niederlagen | 9 | 16 |
| Erzielte Tore | 1.45 | 0.87 |
| Gegentore | 1.18 | 1.42 |
| Erwartete Tore (xG) | 1.29 | 0.99 |
| Erwartete Gegentore (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historische Erfolgsquoten in Hauptmärkten
29. Juli 2012 Serie D
Volta Redonda vs Aracruz
1:0
14. Juli 2012 Serie D
Aracruz vs Volta Redonda
1:0
SokaPicks Momentum-Index
Aktueller Formindex inklusive Belastung und Gegnerstärke (0-100)
Aracruz 58 / 100
Volta Redonda 18 / 100
Berechnungsgrundlage: Gewichtete Formel aus Formkurve (60%), Tordifferenzen (20%), Heimrecht (10%) und Kadertiefe (10%).
Angriffs- & Abwehrstärke
Aracruz Volta Redonda
Vorhersage-Engine
Ergebnishäufigkeiten und Hauptmärkte
Haupttipp Aracruz Win (1)
Nebentipp Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS-Prognose Yes (GG)
Über/Unter Tipp Over 2.5
Smart Insights
Vom System automatisch erkannte Muster
Aracruz found the back of the net in 76% of recent matches (33 games).
Volta Redonda has conceded goals in 71% of their last 31 outings.
Recent resilience: Aracruz stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.
Away concern: Volta Redonda has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.
Tor-Trends
- VS Volta Redonda
0 Erzielte Tore 0.88
0 Kassierte Tore 1.38
0% Über 1.5 75%
0% Über 2.5 50%
0% Über 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Aracruz
(Home) 24 Aug
Tupi-MG
2 : 1 Aracruz
10 Aug
Aracruz
0 : 0 Araxa
03 Aug
Resende
4 : 1 Aracruz
27 Jul
Aracruz
0 : 0 Nova Iguacu
20 Jul
Aracruz
0 : 0 Resende
Page 1 of 7
10 Aug
Aracruz
0 : 0 Araxa
27 Jul
Aracruz
0 : 0 Nova Iguacu
20 Jul
Aracruz
0 : 0 Resende
01 Jun
Aracruz
3 : 5 Tupi-MG
19 May
Aracruz
1 : 2 Desportiva Ferroviaria
Page 1 of 4
Volta Redonda
(Away) 29 Aug
Barra FC (Santa Catarina)
2 : 0 Volta Redonda
22 Aug
Volta Redonda
1 : 2 Floresta EC
15 Aug
Volta Redonda
1 : 0 Ituano
08 Aug
Internacional de Limeira
2 : 0 Volta Redonda
25 Jul
Volta Redonda
1 : 4 Anapolis
Page 1 of 7
29 Aug
Barra FC (Santa Catarina)
2 : 0 Volta Redonda
08 Aug
Internacional de Limeira
2 : 0 Volta Redonda
16 Jul
Sao Goncalo
2 : 1 Volta Redonda
13 Jul
Figueirense
0 : 0 Volta Redonda
04 Jul
Maringa FC
4 : 0 Volta Redonda
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Remo | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 20:16 | 16 |
| 2 | Vilhena | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 17:10 | 15 |
| 3 | Acreano | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 19:15 | 13 |
| 4 | Penarol | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 16:16 | 9 |
| 5 | Nautico FC | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 9:24 | 6 |
Promotion - Série D 2012 (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sampaio Correa | 8 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 25:2 | 24 |
| 2 | Mixto | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 13:9 | 12 |
| 3 | Comercial PI | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 6:13 | 8 |
| 4 | Santos AP | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 9:16 | 7 |
| 5 | Araguaina | 8 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 4:17 | 3 |
Promotion - Série D 2012 (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 3)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Baraunas | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 12:7 | 15 |
| 2 | Campinense | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 11:8 | 14 |
| 3 | Horizonte | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 9:5 | 13 |
| 4 | Ypiranga | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 13:15 | 8 |
| 5 | Petrolina | 8 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 9:19 | 3 |
Promotion - Série D 2012 (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 4)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CSA | 8 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 15:3 | 20 |
| 2 | Sousa | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 7:5 | 13 |
| 3 | Feirense | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 9:12 | 11 |
| 4 | Itabaiana | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 5:10 | 6 |
| 5 | Vitoria da Conquista | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 7:13 | 4 |
Promotion - Série D 2012 (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 5)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CRAC | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 15:9 | 15 |
| 2 | Ceilandia | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 14:14 | 14 |
| 3 | CENE | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 17:11 | 13 |
| 4 | Aparecidense | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 11:15 | 10 |
| 5 | Sobradinho | 8 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 8:16 | 3 |
Promotion - Série D 2012 (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 6)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Friburguense | 8 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 13:4 | 16 |
| 2 | Nacional MG | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 7:5 | 13 |
| 3 | Aracruz | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 5:7 | 9 |
| 4 | Volta Redonda | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 5:6 | 8 |
| 5 | Guarani-MG | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 3:11 | 6 |
Promotion - Série D 2012 (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 7)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cianorte | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 14:4 | 18 |
| 2 | Mogi Mirim | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 10:7 | 13 |
| 3 | Ceramica AC | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 10:7 | 11 |
| 4 | Marilia | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 7:15 | 7 |
| 5 | Concordia | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 7:15 | 4 |
Promotion - Série D 2012 (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 8)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CA Metropolitano | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 8:7 | 14 |
| 2 | SE Juventude | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 7:4 | 12 |
| 3 | Arapongas | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 6:6 | 10 |
| 4 | Brasil de Pelotas | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 6:7 | 9 |
| 5 | Mirassol | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 8:11 | 7 |
Promotion - Série D 2012 (Play Offs)
