Sport Tipps
Spielzusammenfassung
This Liga Pro encounter between Aucas and Tecnico U. promises to be a closely contested affair, with win probabilities pointing to an even matchup. Aucas averages 1.5 goals scored and 1.0 conceded in recent matches. Tecnico U. shows a form average of 0.9 goals scored and 1.3 conceded. Given their contrasting recent form profiles, this matchup is expected to produce a balanced tactical flow. Historical head-to-head records show 2 wins for Aucas, 2 wins for Tecnico U., and 1 draws in their recent direct meetings. Their last direct encounter on 19.03.26 ended in a 0:1 scoreline. Our model projects an expected goals (xG) output of 1.31 for Aucas and 1.00 for Tecnico U., suggesting the primary value lies in the Aucas double chance or over markets.
Siegwahrscheinlichkeits-Meter
Basierend auf 10.000 Simulationen unter Berücksichtigung von Heimvorteil & Form
Modell-Vertrauen
Gesamter Indikatorwert
- Aucas hat zuletzt mehr Punkte geholt als Tecnico U..
- Das Modell prognostiziert eine höhere Torgefahr für die Gastgeber (1.31 vs. 1.00 xG).
- Frühere Begegnungen zeigen einen klaren Vorteil für das Heimteam.
- Starke Defensiven sprechen für ein kontrolliertes, torarmes Spiel.
Torwahrscheinlichkeits-Rechner
Modellschätzungen für Tormärkte basierend auf xG-Historie
Formanalyse der Teams
Durchschnittswerte pro Spiel
| Metrik | Aucas | Tecnico U. |
|---|---|---|
| Spiele | 29 | 28 |
| Siege | 14 | 8 |
| Unentschieden | 7 | 4 |
| Niederlagen | 8 | 16 |
| Erzielte Tore | 1.52 | 0.86 |
| Gegentore | 1.03 | 1.29 |
| Erwartete Tore (xG) | 1.38 | 1.00 |
| Erwartete Gegentore (xGA) | 1.00 | 1.25 |
H2H
Historische Erfolgsquoten in Hauptmärkten
Taktisches Profil
Feldpositionen & Kontrollstile
Aucas
Tecnico U.
Schlüsselspieler-Analyse
Top-Akteure und erwartete Torbeteiligungen
Aucas Vergleich
Tecnico U. Vergleich
Kader-Verfügbarkeit
Sokapicks Momentum-Index
Aktueller Formindex inklusive Belastung und Gegnerstärke (0-100)
Angriffs- & Abwehrstärke
Vorhersage-Engine
Ergebnishäufigkeiten und Hauptmärkte
Value Bet Finder (+EV)
Spiele mit mathematischem Vorteil gegenüber Buchmachern
Erwarteter Spielverlauf
Dominanzkurven in 15-Minuten-Abschnitten
Aucas is expected to start with high intensity, putting pressure on the visitors early.
Tecnico U. will try to absorb the pressure and slow down the tempo of Aucas's attacks.
Expect Aucas to create chances through sustained possession before the break.
Tactical adjustments at half-time will see Aucas vary their attacking width.
Fatigue may set in for Tecnico U., allowing Aucas's midfield to exploit vertical gaps.
Expect a final offensive push from Aucas, while Tecnico U. takes risks to salvage a result.
Offensiv-Heatmaps & Schüsse
Dynamische Heat-Overlays aus Zonen-Statistiken
Smart Insights
Vom System automatisch erkannte Muster
Aucas have found the net in 72% of their last 29 matches.
Tecnico U. have conceded at least one goal in 79% of their last 28 fixtures.
Historical meetings between these sides average 2.20 goals per match.
Aucas remained undefeated in 4 of their last 5 overall matchups.
Tecnico U. suffered defeat in 2 of their last 5 overall games.
Risikoanalyse
Bewertung von Störfaktoren
Fatigue: Match timing requires careful team selection; potential roster adjustments may affect consistency.
Standard league campaign fixture. Both teams have strong incentives to secure maximum points for table positioning.
Match Intensity: High stakes fixture where discipline and tactical patience will be crucial factors.
Teamvergleich
Direkter Statistikvergleich
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Independiente del Valle | 17 | 13 | 1 | 3 | 36:18 | 40 |
| 2 | LDU Quito | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 19:13 | 27 |
| 3 | Dep. Cuenca | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 18:17 | 27 |
| 4 | U. Catolica | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 26:14 | 26 |
| 5 | Barcelona SC | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 18:13 | 26 |
| 6 | Aucas | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 19:16 | 26 |
| 7 | Orense | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 21:22 | 22 |
| 8 | Emelec | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 13:16 | 22 |
| 9 | Tecnico U. | 16 | 6 | 2 | 8 | 17:16 | 20 |
| 10 | Macara | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 15:18 | 20 |
| 11 | Guayaquil City | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 14:19 | 19 |
| 12 | Mushuc Runa | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 19:21 | 18 |
| 13 | Leones del Norte | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 15:18 | 17 |
| 14 | Libertad | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 16:22 | 17 |
| 15 | Delfin | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 8:15 | 16 |
| 16 | Manta | 17 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 7:23 | 12 |